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Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics

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5 Constructing Social Unity <strong>and</strong> Presenting Clear Predictions 67<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

83<br />

55<br />

53<br />

51<br />

54<br />

45<br />

39<br />

32<br />

35<br />

36<br />

28 26<br />

13<br />

1953 1964 1967 1972 1976 1981 2005<br />

Can Trust Cannot trust<br />

Fig. 5.1 Mistrustful Germans = undemocratic Germans? ‘Do you think that most people can be<br />

trusted?’<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1950<br />

1952<br />

55 55<br />

30 28<br />

54<br />

26<br />

51 50<br />

28<br />

31<br />

53<br />

46<br />

43<br />

33<br />

1960<br />

1961<br />

1967<br />

1971<br />

1972<br />

1973<br />

46<br />

30<br />

1975<br />

For<br />

49<br />

35<br />

42<br />

36<br />

Against<br />

44<br />

39<br />

30<br />

Fig. 5.2 ‘Are you, on principle, for or against capital punishment?’<br />

51<br />

59<br />

24<br />

1976<br />

1977<br />

1979<br />

1983<br />

1986<br />

1992<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

57 56<br />

22<br />

24<br />

53<br />

45<br />

35<br />

30<br />

2000<br />

53<br />

23<br />

different opinions <strong>and</strong> attitudes into two camps. At <strong>the</strong> same time <strong>the</strong>se data series<br />

seem to guarantee a future in which mass democracy can be observed, controlled,<br />

<strong>and</strong> formed. But this simplification <strong>of</strong> public affairs <strong>and</strong> communication does not<br />

improve public participation in <strong>the</strong> sense put forward by Dewey.<br />

It should be noted that even <strong>the</strong> Allensbach pollsters doubted if this dichotomy<br />

correctly represents <strong>the</strong> complexity <strong>of</strong> opinion formation. Therefore, for a long time<br />

<strong>the</strong>y preferred so-called open questions because <strong>the</strong> answers to closed questions<br />

are ‘directly impregnated with <strong>the</strong> atmosphere <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> interrogation’. 4 Up until <strong>the</strong><br />

middle <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1950s, many reports by <strong>the</strong> Allensbach Institute contain a collection

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