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Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics

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172 P. Smeyers<br />

to <strong>the</strong> simple fact that if we do nothing people will die. There is a real danger that<br />

knowing too much may push o<strong>the</strong>r aspects out <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> way. It is not only that reductionism<br />

looms, but that it becomes quite difficult to get <strong>the</strong> balance right. Too much<br />

particularity thus turns out to be potentially dangerous. It is to <strong>the</strong> issue <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r<br />

statistics can do justice to reality, to one or o<strong>the</strong>r kind <strong>of</strong> complexity, to which I now<br />

turn.<br />

11.4 In <strong>the</strong> Structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Language: Living with Complexity<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Statistics</strong><br />

In <strong>the</strong> Philosophical Investigations Ludwig Wittgenstein argues against essences<br />

<strong>and</strong> metaphysics, or more precisely against our metaphysical disposition. For<br />

Wittgenstein, this is exemplified in <strong>the</strong> general propositional form <strong>of</strong> a sentence.<br />

Against <strong>the</strong> Augustinian picture <strong>of</strong> language (all propositions are or contain a<br />

description), he argues that ‘language plays us entirely new tricks’ (Wittgenstein,<br />

1966, Aes<strong>the</strong>tics, I, # 3). And in section 115 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Philosophical Investigations he<br />

writes ‘A picture held us captive. And we could not get outside it, for it lay in our<br />

language <strong>and</strong> language seemed to repeat it to us inexorably’ (Wittgenstein, 1953, I).<br />

The reason for this is that in a proposition, something <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> subject <strong>of</strong> that sentence<br />

is always said. His move is in <strong>the</strong> opposite direction, towards particularity, <strong>and</strong> thus<br />

philosophy <strong>of</strong>fers reminders for a particular purpose. In this sense (<strong>and</strong> only in this<br />

sense, because Wittgenstein is wary <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory generally <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong> looking for hypo<strong>the</strong>ses<br />

or ‘what is hidden from us’), statistics may not be that different at all from our<br />

‘normal’ way <strong>of</strong> speaking. The antidote against <strong>the</strong> latter may give us some clues<br />

to how we might develop an antidote against <strong>the</strong> former. We might also ask what<br />

<strong>the</strong> place <strong>of</strong> policy in such a framework could be. However, clearly retreating into<br />

‘a new way <strong>of</strong> looking at things’ as one or o<strong>the</strong>r kind <strong>of</strong> aes<strong>the</strong>tic existence may<br />

not be enough to convince <strong>the</strong> sceptic. Though much can be said for particularity at<br />

some point we may want to transgress such a stance because resources are limited<br />

<strong>and</strong> we are urged to make decisions on a larger scale. There is much more to be said<br />

about this, but I should return now to <strong>the</strong> central focus <strong>of</strong> this chapter, namely, <strong>the</strong><br />

attraction <strong>of</strong> statistical explanation.<br />

Interestingly, <strong>the</strong> aes<strong>the</strong>tic dimension we touched upon has also been addressed<br />

more generally in regard to research methodologies in <strong>the</strong> social sciences. David<br />

Fenner (2006) for instance argues that quantitative <strong>and</strong> qualitative methodologies<br />

could be seen as exemplifying respectively a disinterested <strong>and</strong> an engaged approach.<br />

He maintains that <strong>the</strong>re exists a strong parallel between current research methodologies<br />

in <strong>the</strong> social sciences <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> two most central <strong>and</strong> popular approaches to<br />

aes<strong>the</strong>tics over <strong>the</strong> last 4 centuries. Fenner approvingly quotes Eddy Zemach who<br />

argues that within <strong>the</strong> stance <strong>of</strong> scientific realism, ‘Scientists apply criteria to <strong>the</strong>ories,<br />

such that those <strong>the</strong>ories that best meet those criteria are those <strong>the</strong>ories judged<br />

to most closely approximate <strong>the</strong> truth’ <strong>and</strong> that ‘[a]t least in part, <strong>the</strong>se criteria are

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