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Educational Research - the Ethics and Aesthetics of Statistics

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170 P. Smeyers<br />

are steps (a plan as in a script), <strong>the</strong>re are procedures to be followed (to ascertain that<br />

<strong>the</strong> obtained evidence will be acceptable in a court <strong>of</strong> law which necessitates search<br />

warrants) <strong>and</strong> evidently, if <strong>the</strong> investigator is in one way or ano<strong>the</strong>r herself related or<br />

o<strong>the</strong>rwise involved, she cannot be part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> investigating team (it may jeopardize<br />

her objectivity or even corrupt <strong>the</strong> investigation).<br />

Of course that does not mean that <strong>the</strong> above is not relevant if a different approach<br />

is taken, but crime stories which focus on historical circumstances (<strong>the</strong> past) <strong>and</strong><br />

characters approach <strong>the</strong> problems to be resolved somewhat differently. Physical evidence<br />

remains important. But <strong>the</strong> way to ga<strong>the</strong>r it <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> ways in which sense is<br />

made <strong>of</strong> what is found are somewhat different. For instance, by employing a pr<strong>of</strong>iler,<br />

‘Waking <strong>the</strong> Dead’ holds in some sense a middle ground between <strong>the</strong> ra<strong>the</strong>r impressionistic<br />

approach <strong>of</strong> Morse (who <strong>of</strong>ten gets it wrong) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> almost exclusive<br />

attention given to physical evidence by Horatio Caine in CSI. An example <strong>of</strong> this<br />

middle ground can be found for instance in ‘Deathwatch’ episode 2 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> second<br />

season. When trying to identify a person investigators combine different sorts <strong>of</strong><br />

evidence. The individual suffered from emphysema (asbestosis) <strong>and</strong> had been in <strong>the</strong><br />

military. These factors, taken toge<strong>the</strong>r with o<strong>the</strong>r elements, meant that investigators<br />

decided to search for someone who has worked in confined spaces, perhaps an engineer<br />

or a submariner. In <strong>the</strong> same episode a clue is given to <strong>the</strong> audience when <strong>the</strong><br />

executioner (Truelove) says ‘I always thought <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> police as my colleagues <strong>and</strong><br />

now what do you make me think <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m’. The audience are alerted to police corruption<br />

<strong>and</strong> that <strong>the</strong>y should look <strong>the</strong>re to underst<strong>and</strong> what happened in <strong>the</strong> past (<strong>the</strong><br />

hanging <strong>of</strong> an innocent man) <strong>and</strong> a more recent murder. 2<br />

<strong>Statistics</strong> I argued are attractive because <strong>the</strong>y inform us about how things are <strong>and</strong><br />

how <strong>the</strong>y work. Crime stories <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> first kind create suspense by postponing <strong>the</strong><br />

answer to <strong>the</strong> question ‘who committed <strong>the</strong> crime’; crime stories <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> second type<br />

are doing much more, i.e. <strong>the</strong>y open up <strong>the</strong> complexity that is involved, yet <strong>the</strong>y too<br />

have a plot <strong>and</strong> a ‘solution’. They would not be (so) attractive if <strong>the</strong>se things were<br />

left out. Indeed, if <strong>the</strong>y were left out, we might say that <strong>the</strong> show belonged to a different<br />

genre. Anyway stories <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> second type are not only concerned with ‘why’<br />

but also ‘how’. Would we criticize someone for being interested in ‘who did it’?<br />

Would this be legitimate? If so, why not make an analogy with <strong>the</strong> enthusiasm for<br />

statistics? The same element presses itself forward. Some people are only interested,<br />

so it would seem, in simple answers (to complex things). Maybe <strong>the</strong>y do not want<br />

to live with complexity. Do we really have an argument against seeing things in this<br />

way, or is it really only a matter <strong>of</strong> taste (defined as preferring cola to lemonade<br />

everything else being equal)?<br />

Incidentally I am not trying to draw a parallel with <strong>the</strong> conceptual element present<br />

in a <strong>the</strong>oretical research approach (in <strong>the</strong> sense <strong>of</strong> a logic <strong>of</strong> discovery) that is supposed<br />

to be operative in educational research. The parallel I am interested in is about<br />

‘how something works’ <strong>and</strong> ‘who committed <strong>the</strong> crime’. In comparing <strong>the</strong> two types<br />

<strong>of</strong> crime stories I am trying to make <strong>the</strong> point that <strong>the</strong> approach <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CSI-kind is<br />

limited <strong>and</strong> that <strong>the</strong> Morse-type is much broader. By <strong>the</strong> same token, in some cases<br />

physical evidence can be decisive. Studying causal interactions may explain what is<br />

happening in a particular case <strong>and</strong> reasons beyond a more minimal conceptual level

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