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RD&D-Programme 2004 - SKB

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20.3 Understanding and conceptual models<br />

The authorities’ regulations require that future safety assessments provide a more realistic<br />

description of the biosphere and an estimation of the consequences of a release for surrounding<br />

fauna and flora /20-3/. The site investigations make the biosphere concrete, which entails that<br />

simplifications in how the biosphere is conceptualized must be valid for the site in question.<br />

The development of process-based models is deemed to be an appropriate way to demonstrate<br />

understanding at the same time as a numerical result is obtained for the safety assessment, see<br />

section 20.4. A systems ecology approach is taken, where both biotic and abiotic processes in<br />

the ecosystems are taken into account. Knowledge of the processes is found within many areas,<br />

for example in conceptual and numerical models for forestry, and in studies of the cycling of<br />

nutrients in lakes and seas or of the cycling of toxic pollutants. On the other hand, this information<br />

has seldom been used for studies of radionuclide cycling. Generalizations are also required<br />

for the long time horizons and varying environments that are considered in a safety assessment<br />

for a deep repository.<br />

In order to get a credible description of the evolution of the biosphere, the conceptual models<br />

that are used must be in harmony with scientific opinion within the fields of not only radioecology,<br />

but also ecology, ecotoxicology and environmental protection.<br />

Conclusions in RD&D 2001 and its review<br />

See section 20.2.<br />

Newfound knowledge since RD&D 2001<br />

<strong>SKB</strong> has begun the work of compiling process descriptions in a similar manner as for other<br />

repository parts /20-4/. It is a large task due to the multitude of processes in the biosphere.<br />

Interaction matrices have been a useful tool for identifying important processes and for defining<br />

the parameters and variables that need to be determined in the site investigations /20-5/, see<br />

further section 20.11.<br />

<strong>SKB</strong> has continued to adapt the systems ecology approach to describe the cycling of radionuclides<br />

in the biosphere. Long-term work with doctoral candidates is being pursued at the<br />

Department of Systems Ecology at Stockholm University, the Department of Limnology at<br />

Uppsala University and at the University of Kalmar. The results of this work are presented<br />

below within the relevant programme area.<br />

Several general studies have been published which compile current radioecological knowledge.<br />

A review of bioaccumulation factors in aquatic environments and a statistical analysis of<br />

relationships between various environmental factors have been done /20-6/. A knowledge<br />

compilation has been made of biosphere parameters for the radionuclides in the most recent<br />

safety assessments /20-7/ and comprises the basis for a radionuclide catalogue. Knowledge<br />

regarding radioecology and environmental effects is being compiled in the international<br />

programmes Bioprota, Embras, the IUR’s waste task group and the EU projects Fasset and<br />

Erica, see section 20.9.<br />

Several international symposiums have been followed up: Ecorad 2001, IUR-Setac in Antwerp<br />

and IUR-Andra in Nancy have provided valuable information and good contacts for this work.<br />

<strong>Programme</strong><br />

The long-term support for competence development continues as described above.<br />

Documentation for the biosphere matrix will be supplemented during the upcoming period.<br />

Submatrices will be created for the subprogrammes described below. The process compilation<br />

RD&D-<strong>Programme</strong> <strong>2004</strong> 275

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