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RD&D-Programme 2004 - SKB

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model that includes these factors and processes. Such a model can then be used to describe<br />

historical and possible future shorelines. The project will use the calibrated ice sheet model<br />

described above. The GIA modelling can also provide feedback to the ice sheet modelling,<br />

since the change in the shoreline is evidence of what ice load the earth’s crust may have been<br />

subjected to.<br />

21.2 Permafrost domain<br />

Permafrost is divided with respect to its thickness into sporadic, discontinuous and continuous.<br />

The presence of permafrost, or rather of frozen ground, affects the hydrological conditions.<br />

Groundwater recharge is assumed to decrease and the groundwater flow is limited to unfrozen<br />

ground. Salt exclusion affects the groundwater composition.<br />

Conclusions in RD&D 2001 and its review<br />

<strong>SKB</strong> observes that current knowledge concerning the occurrence of permafrost in Scandinavia<br />

far in the future is limited. Moreover, the hydrological conditions and groundwater composition<br />

caused by permafrost should be studied more closely. SKI considers it positive that <strong>SKB</strong> is<br />

planning co-ordinated efforts to investigate permafrost.<br />

Newfound knowledge since RD&D 2001<br />

A literature review of permafrost, with a focus on hydrology and conditions in the bedrock, has<br />

been carried out /21-22/. The study concludes that even though some information is available on<br />

permafrost at greater depth from e.g. the arctic mining industry, most references deal with nearsurface<br />

processes. An important observation is that permafrost in general does not occur beneath<br />

large lakes and rivers. Furthermore, exclusion of salt and hydrates occurs in today’s permafrost<br />

areas. It can also be observed that mechanical effects of freezing are limited to the surface or<br />

near the surface.<br />

(m)<br />

Continuous Discontinuous Sporadic<br />

100<br />

200<br />

300<br />

400<br />

500<br />

0 5<br />

(km) 0 5 (km) 0 5<br />

(km)<br />

Figure 21-4. Illustration of sporadic, discontinuous and continuous permafrost.<br />

Permafrost<br />

Unfrozen ground<br />

Lake, sea<br />

298 RD&D-<strong>Programme</strong> <strong>2004</strong>

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