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Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

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MANFRED HAFNER<br />

30<br />

Snam Rete Gas has already begun investments<br />

in the Italian network to<br />

enable substantial physical south to<br />

north flows at the Italian-Swiss border<br />

at Passo Gries. For the TENP and<br />

Transitgas systems, investments to<br />

make the infrastructure bi-directional<br />

are in the planning stage and<br />

SNAM RETE GAS HAS ALREADY BEGUN INVESTMENTS<br />

IN THE ITALIAN NETWORK TO ENABLE SUBSTANTIAL<br />

PHYSICAL SOUTH TO NORTH FLOWS AT THE ITALIAN-<br />

SWISS BORDER AT PASSO GRIES.<br />

would create not only physical south<br />

to north capacity but also additional<br />

capacity from Germany to Belgium.<br />

In December 2012, Fluxys Belgium,<br />

Fluxys TENP, FluxSwiss and Snam<br />

Rete Gas launched a coordinated<br />

market process for interested shippers<br />

to book long-term gas transmission<br />

capacity from the Italian<br />

trading point PSV through Switzerland<br />

to the NCG and GASPOOL trading<br />

points and/or the ZTP trading<br />

point in Belgium.<br />

The joint approach of the four TSOs<br />

resulted from the Memorandum<br />

of Understanding agreed between<br />

parent companies Snam and Fluxys<br />

in August 2012 for developing and<br />

marketing reverse flow capacities<br />

from south to north between Italy<br />

and the UK.<br />

Though shippers showed strong<br />

interest in south to north capacity<br />

they were uncomfortable with making<br />

binding commitments as it was<br />

not clear when a few remaining outstanding<br />

issues would be resolved.<br />

The potential of South to North gas<br />

flows could represent a tool to enable<br />

Southern suppliers -such as perspective<br />

TAP suppliers- to compete<br />

with Northern suppliers (mainly<br />

Russia and Norway) in the wider EU<br />

gas market. Just as in the past Italy’s<br />

Eni imported more expensive (in<br />

relation to Russian prices) gas from<br />

Norway and the Netherlands for diversification<br />

and therefore security<br />

of supply reasons, it is possible to<br />

imagine that operators North of the<br />

Alps will import gas from Italy (and<br />

beyond) for diversification of supply<br />

reasons.<br />

For this reason the development of<br />

TAP could have a positive impact on<br />

the development of reverse-flow capacity<br />

on the TransitGas-TENP pipeline<br />

system, as supply diversification<br />

is expected to be the main rational<br />

for reverse flows of this system. The<br />

recent events in Crimea and Ukraine<br />

and the reaction in Europe where<br />

many officials push for a reduced<br />

dependency on Russian gas, could<br />

further favor such a diversification<br />

policy.<br />

With a future gas demand North of<br />

the Alps of around 300 bcm/year, a<br />

reverse flow of 10 bcm represents<br />

just a 3% diversification and a reverse<br />

flow of 15 bcm represents a<br />

5% diversification. Large wholesalers/operators/clients<br />

active North<br />

of the Alps with a large gas demand<br />

might be willing to pay a certain<br />

price premium for additional supply<br />

diversification in their supply portfolio<br />

and therefore increasing their<br />

supply security.<br />

It is understood that the gas volumes<br />

that will reach Italy via TAP<br />

are being priced in view to be able<br />

to compete also North of the Alps.<br />

In fact, large wholesalers like E.ON<br />

or GDF Suez might want to diversify<br />

their gas supply portfolio directly<br />

with the producers from the <strong>Caspian</strong><br />

basin (in addition to North Africa),<br />

while industrial and other clients<br />

will most likely diversify by buying<br />

from wholesalers South of the Alps<br />

(e.g. Eni) which have a different sup-

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