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Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

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Figure 10. Electricity generation in the EU by fuel.<br />

Source: EU Energy in Figures. Statistical Pocketbook 2012. European Commission<br />

MUBARIZ HASANOV<br />

It is expected that renewable energy<br />

sources will account for about<br />

half of total electricity generation by<br />

2050. In particular, according to calculations<br />

of DG Energy (<strong>2014</strong>), solar,<br />

wind, hydro and biofuels will account<br />

for 9%, 26%, 10% and 8% respectively<br />

of total electricity generation<br />

in 2050. Figure 12 below presents<br />

historical shares of fuels in power<br />

generation over the previous decade<br />

as well as expected shares till 2050.<br />

Furthermore, note that total share<br />

of renewable sources and nuclear<br />

energy will increase to 74% by 2050.<br />

Therefore, it can be expected that<br />

52<br />

Figure 11. End user electricity prices for households in Austria. Euro per kwh<br />

Source: Europe’s Energy Portal. http://www.energy.eu/<br />

electricity prices in the EU countries<br />

will diverge further from international<br />

oil prices.<br />

As with natural gas, retail electricity<br />

prices varied considerably across<br />

member countries. In fact, lowest<br />

prices were observed in the lower<br />

income CEE countries. Figure 13<br />

presents a breakdown of electricity<br />

prices in European countries for<br />

the second half of 2013. Notice that<br />

highest base prices (including market<br />

price and distribution costs, but<br />

excluding taxes) were observed in island<br />

countries such as the UK, Cyprus,<br />

Malta and Ireland, which are isolated<br />

from other markets. Note also that<br />

the CEE countries imposed lower tax<br />

rates in comparison to high-income<br />

countries.

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