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Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

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MUBARIZ HASANOV<br />

48<br />

Figure 4. Real crude oil prices. Constant (2012) USD per barrel. Source: BP (2013)<br />

3. ENERGY PRICES IN THE EU<br />

In this section we provide a brief<br />

overview of energy price dynamics in<br />

the EU. We concentrate first of all on<br />

primary energy commodities such as<br />

oil, coal and natural gas.<br />

3.1. INTERNATIONAL PRICES OF<br />

PRIMARY ENERGY COMMODITIES<br />

Crude oil prices were relatively stable<br />

till the 1973 oil crisis, when oil<br />

exporting Arab countries declared an<br />

oil embargo. After reaching a historical<br />

high in 1980, oil prices dropped<br />

significantly and remained relatively<br />

at lower levels until early 2000s. Oil<br />

prices then skyrocketed starting<br />

from 2004, mainly driven by increasing<br />

demand for energy commodities.<br />

Although oil prices have fallen significantly<br />

in 2009 as a result of the global<br />

economic recession, the market soon<br />

recovered and hit a new historical<br />

high in 2011.<br />

The prices of other energy commodities<br />

have followed similar patterns.<br />

Figure 5 below provides coal and<br />

natural gas prices in main energy<br />

markets. As can be seen from the<br />

figure, international gas prices have<br />

moved in the same direction as oil<br />

prices. In particular, although the<br />

price of gas was relatively stable until<br />

2003, it began to rise in all markets<br />

from 2004. While gas prices also fell<br />

in 2009 during the economic recession,<br />

they recovered quickly, by 2010<br />

in all markets except for the US. That<br />

deviation is a consequence of the<br />

Gas prices, USD per MBtu Coal prices, USD per tonne.<br />

Figure 5. International gas and coal prices. Source BP (2013)

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