Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

More documents

Recommendations

Info

THE SOUTHERN GAS CORRIDOR – WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY OR CHALLENGE FOR THE WEST NINO KALANDADZE NINO KALANDADZE FORMER DEPUTY MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS, GEORGIA 56
The Southern Gas Corridor, starting from Azerbaijan, crossing Georgia, Turkey, Greece and Albania, and shipping gas from Caspian Sea into the European Union, fully bypasses Russia. Thus it seems a very appropriate and timely solution. PREFACE The ongoing crisis in Ukraine has made the West, and especially the EU, rethink its strategy toward Moscow. Once again Western governments are questioning Russia’s reliability as a partner in international affairs. Energy security is high on the EU agenda. The current crisis seems unlikely to resolve itself for some time, and the Kremlin’s threatening rhetoric is increasingly loud. Against this background, there is a powerful understanding that a common Western policy must be established in order to protect European energy security from future threats from Russia. Consequently, at a meeting in late March 2014, European leaders asked the European Commission to propose a comprehensive plan for strengthening EU energy independence. In that context, the Southern Gas Corridor (SGC) is being posited as a possible solution. The Southern Gas Corridor, starting from Azerbaijan, crossing Georgia, Turkey, Greece and Albania, and shipping gas from Caspian Sea into the European Union, fully bypasses Russia. Thus it seems a very appropriate and timely solution. However, there are also obstacles. Any attempt by the West to strengthen its political and economic presence in the post-Soviet world may be seen by Moscow as a direct threat to its strategic interests, especially in the context of the EU’s energy diversification strategy. To avert any further Western engagement in what Russia conceives of as its sphere of Influence, any kind of destabilisation in the already fragile South Caucasus region may become a useful tool in Moscow’s hands, ultimately jeopardising regional security and thereby the entire project . While acknowledging both the urgent need to diversify Europe’s energy supply, as well as the positive security and economic impact of the Southern Corridor on the EU and the countries of the southern region, this paper argues that the security issues in South Caucasus, such as the unresolved conflicts and Russia’s active military presence in the region, cannot be ignored and should be addressed at a strategic level. Thus restoring stability to the region should 57 CASPIAN REPORT, FALL 2014
Page 1:
CASPIAN PUBLISHED BY CASPIAN STRATE
Page 4 and 5:
Dear Readers, CASPIAN REPORT 2 It i
Page 6 and 7:
CASPIAN CASPIAN REPORT 4 06 FATIH M
Page 8 and 9: FATIH MACIT, HOLLY REHM 6 THE U.S.
Page 10 and 11: FATIH MACIT, HOLLY REHM 8 shale rev
Page 12 and 13: FATIH MACIT, HOLLY REHM 10 in the 1
Page 14 and 15: FATIH MACIT, HOLLY REHM 12 SINCE TH
Page 16 and 17: FATIH MACIT, HOLLY REHM 14 these tw
Page 18 and 19: FATIH MACIT, HOLLY REHM 16 LNG’s
Page 20 and 21: FATIH MACIT, HOLLY REHM 18 kets, pa
Page 22 and 23: MANFRED HAFNER 20 THE SOUTHERN GAS
Page 24 and 25: MANFRED HAFNER 22 THE DOCUMENT RECO
Page 26 and 27: MANFRED HAFNER 24 Notwithstanding t
Page 28 and 29: MANFRED HAFNER 26 TANAP, A PROJECTE
Page 30 and 31: MANFRED HAFNER 28 by the Shah Deniz
Page 32 and 33: MANFRED HAFNER 30 Snam Rete Gas has
Page 34 and 35: MANFRED HAFNER 32 THE ESTABLISHMENT
Page 36 and 37: MATTEO VERDA 34 LNG MARKET: TRENDS
Page 38 and 39: MATTEO VERDA 36 traditionally accou
Page 40 and 41: MATTEO VERDA 38 bcm), Brunei (9 bcm
Page 42 and 43: MATTEO VERDA 40 for transport vesse
Page 44 and 45: MATTEO VERDA 42 of the global LNG m
Page 46 and 47: MUBARIZ HASANOV 44 AN OVERVIEW OF E
Page 48 and 49: MUBARIZ HASANOV 46 Figure 1. Primar
Page 50 and 51: MUBARIZ HASANOV 48 Figure 4. Real c
Page 52 and 53: Figure 7. Price of transport fuels
Page 54 and 55: Figure 10. Electricity generation i
Page 56 and 57: Figure 13. Breakdown of electricity
Page 60 and 61: NINO KALANDADZE 58 become comprise
Page 62 and 63: NINO KALANDADZE 60 This picture mak
Page 64 and 65: NINO KALANDADZE 62 Security policy.
Page 66 and 67: NINO KALANDADZE 64 There are benefi
Page 68 and 69: NINO KALANDADZE 66 tion of Crimea b
Page 70 and 71: RADU DUDAU 68 THE UKRAINE CRISIS: L
Page 72 and 73: RADU DUDAU 70 RUSSIA HAS FREQUENTLY
Page 74 and 75: RADU DUDAU 72 Russia, which depends
Page 76 and 77: RADU DUDAU 74 WHAT INTERNATIONAL LA
Page 78 and 79: RADU DUDAU 76 THE NEAR FUTURE WILL
Page 80 and 81: RADU DUDAU 78 THE UKRAINIAN GOVERNM
Page 82 and 83: RADU DUDAU 80 parliament decided to
Page 84 and 85: Black Sea Serpents’ Island. RADU
Page 86 and 87: RADU DUDAU 84 (where Russia holds v
Page 88 and 89: RADU DUDAU 86 IN TERMS OF ENERGY, A
Page 90 and 91: WHY RUSSIA SIGNED A MAJOR GAS CONTR
Page 92 and 93: MESUT HAKKI CASIN 90 I will focus o
Page 94 and 95: Russian President Vladimir Putin sh
Page 96 and 97: Figure II: Russian energy infrastru
Page 98 and 99: Kazakhstan President Nursultan Naza
Page 100 and 101: MESUT HAKKI CASIN 98 economic devel
Page 102 and 103: Figure IV: China’s gas import sou
Page 104 and 105: THANOS DOKOS, THEODORE TSAKIRIS 102
Page 106 and 107: THANOS DOKOS, THEODORE TSAKIRIS 104
Page 108 and 109:
THANOS DOKOS, THEODORE TSAKIRIS 106
Page 110 and 111:
Page 112 and 113:
Page 114 and 115:
Page 116 and 117:
ARZU YORKAN 114 TURKEY’S RENEWABL
Page 118 and 119:
ARZU YORKAN 116 is 12 th in the wor
Page 120 and 121:
Figure 4: Solar Energy Potential At
Page 122 and 123:
ARZU YORKAN 120 Figure 8: The share
Page 124 and 125:
ARZU YORKAN 122 THE STRATEGY PAPER
Page 126 and 127:
ARZU YORKAN 124 TURKEY HAS NOT YET
Page 128 and 129:
CASPIAN
Page 130 and 131:
THE EU AGREEMENT ON THE 2030 FRAMEW
Page 132 and 133:
EU Commission President Jean Claude
Page 134 and 135:
ROMAN RUKOMEDA 132 THE PHANTOM OF R
Page 136 and 137:
Russia’s gas giant Gazprom CEO, A
Page 138:
CASPIAN CALL FOR PAPERS 136 Caspian
show all

Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?