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Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

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The Southern Gas Corridor, starting from<br />

Azerbaijan, crossing Georgia, Turkey,<br />

Greece and Albania, and shipping gas from<br />

<strong>Caspian</strong> Sea into the European Union, fully<br />

bypasses Russia. Thus it seems a very<br />

appropriate and timely solution.<br />

PREFACE<br />

The ongoing crisis in Ukraine has<br />

made the West, and especially the<br />

EU, rethink its strategy toward Moscow.<br />

Once again Western governments<br />

are questioning Russia’s reliability<br />

as a partner in international<br />

affairs. Energy security is high on<br />

the EU agenda. The current crisis<br />

seems unlikely to resolve itself for<br />

some time, and the Kremlin’s threatening<br />

rhetoric is increasingly loud.<br />

Against this background, there is a<br />

powerful understanding that a common<br />

Western policy must be established<br />

in order to protect European<br />

energy security from future threats<br />

from Russia. Consequently, at a<br />

meeting in late March <strong>2014</strong>, European<br />

leaders asked the European Commission<br />

to propose a comprehensive<br />

plan for strengthening EU energy<br />

independence. In that context, the<br />

Southern Gas Corridor (SGC) is being<br />

posited as a possible solution.<br />

The Southern Gas Corridor, starting<br />

from Azerbaijan, crossing Georgia,<br />

Turkey, Greece and Albania, and<br />

shipping gas from <strong>Caspian</strong> Sea into<br />

the European Union, fully bypasses<br />

Russia. Thus it seems a very appropriate<br />

and timely solution. However,<br />

there are also obstacles. Any attempt<br />

by the West to strengthen its<br />

political and economic presence in<br />

the post-Soviet world may be seen<br />

by Moscow as a direct threat to its<br />

strategic interests, especially in the<br />

context of the EU’s energy diversification<br />

strategy. To avert any further<br />

Western engagement in what Russia<br />

conceives of as its sphere of Influence,<br />

any kind of destabilisation in<br />

the already fragile South Caucasus<br />

region may become a useful tool in<br />

Moscow’s hands, ultimately jeopardising<br />

regional security and thereby<br />

the entire project .<br />

While acknowledging both the urgent<br />

need to diversify Europe’s energy<br />

supply, as well as the positive<br />

security and economic impact of the<br />

Southern Corridor on the EU and<br />

the countries of the southern region,<br />

this paper argues that the security<br />

issues in South Caucasus, such as the<br />

unresolved conflicts and Russia’s active<br />

military presence in the region,<br />

cannot be ignored and should be addressed<br />

at a strategic level. Thus restoring<br />

stability to the region should<br />

57<br />

CASPIAN REPORT, FALL <strong>2014</strong>

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