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Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

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such as the 20<strong>08</strong> amendment to<br />

the Law of Subsoil, which stipulates<br />

that offshore projects are to be carried<br />

out by companies in which the<br />

Russian Federation is to hold an<br />

interest of at least 50%, with more<br />

than five years of industry experience.<br />

In addition, if Russia conducts<br />

further petroleum operations in the<br />

offshore blocs adjoining Crimea, it<br />

would face a technical and logistical<br />

challenge: transportation of crude<br />

oil and natural gas production to petroleum<br />

terminals or mains. In this<br />

respect, Russia will seek to develop<br />

an energy transport infrastructure<br />

over the Kerch Strait. Accordingly,<br />

control over Crimea is a major cost<br />

generator for Moscow.<br />

The most important question for<br />

countries in the region is a potential<br />

reconsideration of borders of their<br />

territorial seas, continental shelves<br />

and EEZs, with Russia having taken<br />

control of Crimea. Ukraine’s situation<br />

has dramatic consequence from<br />

multiple perspectives: economic,<br />

military, and energy. According to<br />

the UN Convention on Law of the Sea<br />

(UNCLOS) (to which both Russia and<br />

Ukraine are parties), a redefinition<br />

of territorial borders in the Black<br />

Sea and the Sea of Azov between<br />

Ukraine and Russia would place a<br />

virtual stranglehold on Ukraine’s access<br />

to the Black Sea.<br />

Ukraine would be left with a small<br />

area throughout the southeastern<br />

coast from the north point of Crimea<br />

up to the mouth of the Danube and<br />

a small part in the Sea of Azov, and<br />

no access to the Kerch Strait. 11 Obviously,<br />

the maritime borders, the<br />

continental shelf and the EEZ are<br />

elements that ought to be subject to<br />

negotiation and agreement by the<br />

riparian states, in compliance with<br />

FOLLOWING THE SECESSION AND ANNEXATION<br />

OF CRIMEA BY RUSSIA, ROMANIA HAS A DE FACTO<br />

SITUATION COMMON BORDER WITH THE RUSSIAN<br />

FEDERATION IN THE BLACK SEA.<br />

UNCLOS requirements. However, in<br />

this case, Ukraine would be forced<br />

to negotiate under the presence of<br />

the Russian Black Sea fleet (which<br />

will be felt even more strongly in<br />

the future) and in the context of a<br />

Russian-speaking population and<br />

dependence on Russian gas supply.<br />

In addition, Ukraine would not be<br />

able to gain access to the open sea<br />

other than through waters under<br />

the jurisdiction of Romania or Russia.<br />

Regarding access to the crossborder<br />

waters of the Sea of Azov,<br />

Russia holds full control through the<br />

Kerch Strait.<br />

Regardless of the validity of Russia’s<br />

claim over Crimea, a redefinition<br />

of borders in the Black Sea would<br />

only directly affect Ukraine, raising<br />

its security risks. For Bucharest, it<br />

is important to know whether the<br />

exercise of Russian sovereignty over<br />

Crimea could justify – under the<br />

treaties, the principles of international<br />

law and the UNCLOS – a reconsideration<br />

of the maritime borders<br />

between Russia and Romania,<br />

as an adjoining riparian state.<br />

4. IMPLICATIONS FOR ROMANIA<br />

Romania and Ukraine have concluded<br />

the Basic Treaty on good neighborliness<br />

and friendly cooperation,<br />

in force as of October 22, 1997. The<br />

Treaty binds bilateral relationships<br />

81<br />

CASPIAN REPORT, FALL <strong>2014</strong><br />

11.<br />

In the context of Moscow’s efforts to strengthen an onshore link between Crimea and the<br />

Russian mainland – a belt about 10 km wide along the coast of the Sea of Azov – the involvement<br />

from mid-May of iron workers in Mariupol in taking over control from the breakaway pro-Russian<br />

forces in the name of civil order and economic stability has been remarkable. In fact, it is obvious<br />

that Ukrainian oligarchs are further playing an active role, demonstrating a striking sense of<br />

opportunity.

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