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Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

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who is the real winner here Moreover,<br />

will the sting of the economic<br />

sanctions with the trade between<br />

Russia and the EU be damaged, and<br />

what are the unknown costs Will<br />

this treaty bring important benefits<br />

to both sides Is it a real new beginning<br />

or largely symbolic Why has<br />

this contract impacted so heavily on<br />

global LNG prices In this section, we<br />

aim to analyse the factors that motivated<br />

the parties. First, from the<br />

perspective of capacity, the contract<br />

involves a partnership between the<br />

world’s top energy supplier and the<br />

consumer. Russia has the world’s<br />

largest natural gas reserves and China<br />

is the world’s biggest gas consumer.<br />

However considering the distance<br />

of the pipeline route, why go to China<br />

without Japan, Korea or European direction<br />

One reason is that East Siberian<br />

gas is too far away from Europe.<br />

The gas will be transported along<br />

a new pipeline linking Siberian gas<br />

fields to China’s main consumption<br />

centres near its coast. But, although<br />

the deal has political and commercial<br />

significance for China, it is far from<br />

constituting the cornerstone of a renewed<br />

Sino-Russian alliance against<br />

the United States, and does not fundamentally<br />

alter the dynamics of<br />

Asia’s gas market. 5 But one British<br />

energy expert warned that the move<br />

could drive up prices for European<br />

gas consumers who are becoming increasingly<br />

dependent on Russia, and<br />

now face competition for supplies.<br />

Russia will be responsible for building<br />

the plants, doing field development<br />

and constructing pipelines on<br />

its side, and China will be responsible<br />

for the pipeline construction<br />

within its own borders. (See Figure I)<br />

Second argument is reflecting the<br />

Eurasia hinterlands; this deal highlights<br />

the growing importance of<br />

robust Asian markets. It marks an<br />

important transition by Russia that<br />

shows his pivotal moment determination<br />

can use dual poles face either<br />

in Western side European energy<br />

markets or mirrors turns to the eastward<br />

direction in Russian energy<br />

91<br />

CASPIAN REPORT, FALL <strong>2014</strong><br />

Figure 1: Russia–China gas contract<br />

5.<br />

Michal Meidan, “Don’t Overestimate the China-Russia Gas Deal”, China & US Focus, 29 May, <strong>2014</strong>,<br />

http://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/dont-overestimate-the-china-russia-gas-deal/

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