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Caspian Report - Issue: 08 - Fall 2014

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Figure II: Russian energy infrastructure<br />

MESUT HAKKI CASIN<br />

94<br />

ent on its energy sales to generate<br />

hard currency but China’s hard negotiating<br />

tactics won out. 12 China<br />

bargained well, taking the advantage<br />

of Russia’s weakening gas sales<br />

in Europe thanks to the ongoing<br />

crisis in Ukraine. They demanded<br />

cheaper rates from Putin and got<br />

them. As Putin himself explained,<br />

“Our Chinese friends are difficult,<br />

hard negotiators.” Russian expert’s<br />

asking price has likely come down to<br />

a level much closer to China’s Turkmen<br />

import price. Lower prices, of<br />

course, will force LNG developers in<br />

British Columbia, Australia, East Africa,<br />

the Mediterranean and Middle<br />

East to cut costs and or cancel projects.<br />

13 The Russia-China agreement<br />

will also set a long-term price floor<br />

of $4 per million Btu for U.S. gas<br />

as regasification, liquefaction and<br />

transport costs of as much as $7 per<br />

million Btu from the U.S. to Asia becoming<br />

a “key component” of Henry<br />

Hub pricing, Bank of America said.<br />

Demand from Asia will likely keep<br />

Western Europe gas prices well bid,<br />

it added. 14<br />

Russia originally wanted China to<br />

pay the same price as Europe for gas,<br />

$380.50 per thousand cubic meters.<br />

But China rejected this proposal.<br />

Since discussions with Russia began,<br />

China has found alternative partners,<br />

most notably Turkmenistan.<br />

Turkmenistan supplies China with<br />

gas at a much lower price. In 2009,<br />

Gazprom and the Chinese state oil<br />

company, China National Petroleum<br />

Corporation (CNPC), signed a memorandum<br />

of agreement on supplying<br />

natural gas from Russia to China. But<br />

this deal was never implemented,<br />

mainly because China demanded<br />

lower prices. Due to mutual suspicion<br />

and price disputes, there have<br />

been repeated delays.<br />

Following this deadlock in negotiations,<br />

who was able re-open the bar-<br />

12.<br />

“China is the Winner in Energy Deal With Russia”, http://www.lignet.com/ArticleAnalysis/China-Isthe-Winner-in-Energy-Deal-With-Russia.aspx.<br />

13.<br />

Andrew Nikiforuk: “Russia-China Gas Deal a Train Wreck for BC”, 27 May <strong>2014</strong>, http://thetyee.ca/<br />

Opinion/<strong>2014</strong>/05/27/Russia-China-Gas-Deal/<br />

14.<br />

Isis Almeida: “Russia-China Natural Gas Deal to Set LNG Price Floor, BofA Says”, 27 May, <strong>2014</strong>, http://<br />

www.bloomberg.com/news/<strong>2014</strong>-05-27/russia-china-natural-gas-deal-to-set-lng-price-floorbofa-says.html.

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