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Botkin Environmental Science Earth as Living Planet 8th txtbk

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4.4 The Demographic Transition 69<br />

Male<br />

3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5<br />

Population (in millions)<br />

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Data B<strong>as</strong>e.<br />

Kenya: 2008<br />

100+<br />

95–99<br />

90–94<br />

85–89<br />

80–84<br />

75–79<br />

70–74<br />

65–69<br />

60–64<br />

55–59<br />

50–54<br />

45–49<br />

40–44<br />

35–39<br />

30–34<br />

25–29<br />

20–24<br />

15–19<br />

10–14<br />

5–9<br />

0–4<br />

Few older people<br />

Many young<br />

people<br />

Female<br />

Male<br />

Female<br />

6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6<br />

Population (in millions)<br />

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Data B<strong>as</strong>e.<br />

Japan: 2008<br />

100+<br />

95–99<br />

90–94<br />

85–89<br />

80–84<br />

75–79<br />

70–74<br />

65–69<br />

60–64<br />

55–59<br />

50–54<br />

45–49<br />

40–44<br />

35–39<br />

30–34<br />

25–29<br />

20–24<br />

15–19<br />

10–14<br />

5–9<br />

0–4<br />

Fewer young<br />

people<br />

Male<br />

United States: 2008<br />

Female<br />

85+<br />

80–84<br />

75–79<br />

70–74<br />

65–69<br />

60–64<br />

55–59<br />

50–54<br />

Baby<br />

45–49<br />

40–44<br />

boom<br />

35–39<br />

30–34<br />

25–29<br />

20–24<br />

15–19<br />

10–14<br />

5–9<br />

0–4<br />

16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16<br />

Population (in millions)<br />

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Data B<strong>as</strong>e.<br />

FIGURE 4.7 Age structure of Kenya, the United States, and Japan, 2008. The bars to<br />

the left are males; those to the right are females. (Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census.)<br />

ture also shows the baby boom that occurred in the<br />

United States after World War II; a great incre<strong>as</strong>e in<br />

births from 1946 through 1964 forms a pulse in the<br />

population that can be seen <strong>as</strong> a bulge in the age structure,<br />

especially of those aged 45–55 in 2008. At each<br />

age, the baby boomers incre<strong>as</strong>ed demand for social and<br />

economic resources; for example, schools were crowded<br />

when the baby boomers were of primary- and secondary-school<br />

age.<br />

4.4 The Demographic<br />

Transition<br />

The is a three-stage pattern of<br />

change in birth rates and death rates that h<strong>as</strong> occurred<br />

during the process of industrial and economic development<br />

of Western nations. It leads to a decline in population<br />

growth.

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