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Market Economics | Interest Rate Strategy - BNP PARIBAS ...

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through higher taxes. Given the problem of<br />

inefficiency whenever the government gets involved,<br />

the multiplier is surely less than 1. The same holds<br />

for the other sectors that the Kan government has<br />

identified in its growth strategy.<br />

Correct growth strategy is deregulation<br />

We have long been saying that the source of<br />

sustainable growth is the freedom to discover and<br />

innovate. Innovation leads to the goods and services<br />

that people are willing to pay for. At the same time,<br />

the value-added that is thereby created leads to<br />

improved labour productivity and a sustainable<br />

increase in income for the people involved.<br />

The most effective way to encourage innovation is<br />

free economic activity, not the expansion of the<br />

government’s sphere of influence. While there are<br />

areas where government involvement is needed to<br />

address market failure, the authorities should<br />

basically leave the private sector alone. Thus,<br />

deregulation is the most effective growth strategy.<br />

‘Policy failure’ can be more harmful than ‘market<br />

failure’<br />

History has shown that government intervention<br />

aimed at fostering the development of a particular<br />

industry will not only deprive other (growing)<br />

industries of valuable economic resources but it will<br />

also end up removing the ‘sheltered’ industry’s<br />

potential to grow by undermining all incentives to<br />

innovate. When government gives support to a<br />

company, industry or geographical area, it usually<br />

ends up depriving the recipient of its ability to stand<br />

on its own feet. Thus, people who support<br />

government involvement to address cases of market<br />

failure should not forget that ‘policy failure’ can have<br />

more damaging effects.<br />

Kan’s fundamentally flawed assertion<br />

To conclude, the Kan Government has lofty goals of<br />

achieving a “strong economy, robust public finances<br />

and strong social security system”. But if it deems tax<br />

hikes and increased government spending to be the<br />

way to boost economic growth, the nation’s potential<br />

to grow could be further damaged and improving<br />

Japan’s fiscal condition could be further delayed.<br />

With the DPJ having lost an Upper House majority, it<br />

now seems likely that the debate on tax hikes will<br />

slow, making it difficult for discussions on new<br />

spending to even begin (see accompanying article,<br />

Post-Election Outlook for Tax Reform). In any event,<br />

the Kan government should change this way of<br />

thinking to prevent its policies being harshly judged<br />

by history.<br />

Ryutaro Kono 16 July 2010<br />

<strong>Market</strong> Mover<br />

20<br />

www.Global<strong>Market</strong>s.bnpparibas.com

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