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ANNEx: METhODOLOGICAL NOTES<br />

100 R<strong>en</strong>ewable Energy Sources in Figures<br />

4. Calculating avoidance factors and avoided emissions for r<strong>en</strong>ewables­based<br />

heat g<strong>en</strong>eration<br />

The emissions of gr<strong>ee</strong>nhouse gases and air pollutants that are avoided by using r<strong>en</strong>ewable<br />

<strong>en</strong>ergy in the heat sector are calculated in thr<strong>ee</strong> stages:<br />

First, the substitution factors are determined for each of the r<strong>en</strong>ewable heat supply paths.<br />

These indicate which fossil primary and also secondary <strong>en</strong>ergy sources such as district heating<br />

or electricity would have to take over the r<strong>en</strong>ewable heat supply if the latter were not<br />

available. Important information for this purpose is provided by the findings of an empirical<br />

survey on the use of solar thermal <strong>en</strong>ergy, heat pumps and wood-burning systems in private<br />

households [87]. Use was also made of information from the Working Group on Energy Balances<br />

(AGEB) on <strong>en</strong>ergy consumption by the sectors: processing of mined and quarried products,<br />

the paper industry, and other industries (including timber industry) and private households.<br />

In the case of supplies of r<strong>en</strong>ewable district and local heating from wood, biog<strong>en</strong>ic<br />

compon<strong>en</strong>ts of waste and geothermal <strong>en</strong>ergy, it is assumed that these are a 100 % substitute<br />

for fossil district heating and that the distribution losses are comparable.<br />

In a second step, emission factors for r<strong>en</strong>ewable heat supplies in private households, agriculture<br />

and industry, and also for the relevant savings in fossil heat supplies, are tak<strong>en</strong> from or<br />

deduced from UBA [92], Öko-Institut [90], Ecoinv<strong>en</strong>t [84], Vogt et al. [89], Ciroth [83], Frick et<br />

al. [86]. The emission factors used take account of the <strong>en</strong>tire upstream chain for supplies of<br />

fossil and r<strong>en</strong>ewable <strong>en</strong>ergy sources. In the case of combined heat-and-power g<strong>en</strong>eration, allocation<br />

to heat and power is in accordance with the “Finnish method” laid down in EU<br />

Directive 2004/8/EC.<br />

In the final step, the fossil emissions avoided are compared with the emissions arising from<br />

the use of r<strong>en</strong>ewables to determine the net avoidance of gr<strong>ee</strong>nhouse gases and air pollutants.<br />

Detailed information on the calculation methods and data sources can be found in UBA [75].<br />

Substitution factors for r<strong>en</strong>ewables­based heat<br />

Heating oil Natural gas Hard coal lignite District heat Elec. heating<br />

[%]<br />

Wood – stand-alone stoves (hh) 41 50 0 1 2 6<br />

Wood – c<strong>en</strong>tral heating systems (hh) 65 20 2 3 0 10<br />

Solid biomass (industry) 13 54 10 14 9 0<br />

Solid biomass (hP/ChP) 0 0 0 0 100 0<br />

Liquid biomass (industry) 7 67 10 3 13 0<br />

Liquid biomass (hh) 29 51 1 1 9 9<br />

Biogas, sewage gas, landfill gas (BChP) 58 37 5 0 0 0<br />

Biog<strong>en</strong>ic fraction of waste (hP/ChP) 0 0 0 0 100 0<br />

D<strong>ee</strong>p geothermal <strong>en</strong>ergy (hP/ChP) 0 0 0 0 100 0<br />

Solar thermal <strong>en</strong>ergy (hh) 45 51 0 0 1 3<br />

heat pumps (hh) 45 44 1 2 5 3<br />

Total 35 38 3 3 17 4<br />

Sources: UBA [75], [92] on the basis of AGEE-Stat and Frondel et al. [87]; AGEB [2], [4]

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