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natIonal r<strong>en</strong>eWaBle <strong>en</strong>erGy actIon plan<br />

60 R<strong>en</strong>ewable Energy Sources in Figures<br />

Future developm<strong>en</strong>t of r<strong>en</strong>ewable <strong>en</strong>ergies in the EU –<br />

Estimate based on the National R<strong>en</strong>ewable Energy Action<br />

Plans of the Member States<br />

Planned developm<strong>en</strong>t of r<strong>en</strong>ewable <strong>en</strong>ergy supplies in the EU<br />

on the basis of the National Action Plans of the EU Member States<br />

Energy supply<br />

[TWh]<br />

Average annual growth rate<br />

[% per annum]<br />

Share<br />

[%]<br />

2005 2010 2015 2020 2005/2010 2010/2015 2015/2020 2020<br />

re – electricity 492 652 902 1,216 5.8 6.7 6.2 34.0<br />

re – heating/cooling 635 789 985 1,297 4.4 4.6 5.7 21.4<br />

re – transport 1) 36 164 230 345 35.0 7.1 8.5 10.2<br />

Total r<strong>en</strong>ewable <strong>en</strong>ergy 1,163 1,605 2,117 2,859 6.6 5.7 6.2 20.7<br />

1) having regard to art. 5.1 of eU directive 2009/28/ec<br />

source: ecn [119]<br />

Since 2009 the EU has had the binding requirem<strong>en</strong>t that by the year 2020 one fifth of gross<br />

final <strong>en</strong>ergy consumption is to be met by r<strong>en</strong>ewable <strong>en</strong>ergy sources. The way to achieving<br />

this target is described in the National Action Plans of the EU Member States, which detail<br />

the existing and planned measures, instrum<strong>en</strong>ts and policies for supporting the expansion<br />

of r<strong>en</strong>ewable <strong>en</strong>ergy in relation to the individual national targets. In their National Action<br />

Plans, elev<strong>en</strong> EU Member States have expressed the expectation that they will exc<strong>ee</strong>d the<br />

national targets set out in the EU Directive: Germany, Lithuania, Malta, the Netherlands,<br />

Austria, Poland, Swed<strong>en</strong>, Slov<strong>en</strong>ia, Spain, the Czech Republic and Hungary.<br />

In February 2011 the Energy Research C<strong>en</strong>tre of the Netherlands (ECN) published a summary<br />

of the developm<strong>en</strong>t docum<strong>en</strong>ted in the National Action Plans. The analysis shows that the<br />

binding EU target of 20 % in 2020 will not only be achieved, but will probably be exc<strong>ee</strong>ded<br />

with a figure of 20.7 %. The publication also predicts a share of 34.0 % for electricity g<strong>en</strong>erated<br />

from r<strong>en</strong>ewable sources in 2020, 21.4 % for <strong>en</strong>ergy from r<strong>en</strong>ewables in the heat/cold sector,<br />

and 10.2 % in the transport sector.

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