<str<strong>on</strong>g>Proceedings</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Third</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>C<strong>on</strong>ference</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Invasive</strong> SpartinaChapter 2: Spartina Distributi<strong>on</strong> and SpreadFig. 3. Recruitment <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> S. alterniflora seedlings in plots varying insubstrate texture. Values are means ± 1 S.E.Seedlings/ha25002000150010005000N<strong>on</strong>eC<strong>on</strong>trolFig. 4. The influence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol efforts in 2003 <strong>on</strong> local seedlingrecruitment in 2004. C<strong>on</strong>trol methods included a variety <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> mechanicalmethods and herbicide applicati<strong>on</strong>. Values are means ± 1S.E.did not receive c<strong>on</strong>trol. The local reducti<strong>on</strong> in seed producti<strong>on</strong>influenced local (sub-regi<strong>on</strong>) seed recruitment <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> followingyear (Fig. 4). Areas such as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> Palix and Cedar riversthat did not receive c<strong>on</strong>trol in 2003 had high seed producti<strong>on</strong>that fall and corresp<strong>on</strong>dingly high seedling recruitment<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> following year. In c<strong>on</strong>trast, sites that received c<strong>on</strong>trolin 2003 such as Tarlatt Slough and Diam<strong>on</strong>d Point experiencedlow rates <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> seed producti<strong>on</strong> that fall and had corresp<strong>on</strong>dinglylow recruitment <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> following year.DISCUSSIONCauses <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> variabilitySpartina alterniflora recruitment in Willapa Bay ishighly variable across years and across sub-regi<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>bay. The yearly variati<strong>on</strong> observed in this study corroboratesl<strong>on</strong>ger-term data from historical aerial photographssuggesting that <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re have been str<strong>on</strong>g episodic bursts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> S.alterniflora col<strong>on</strong>izati<strong>on</strong> (Civille et al. 2005). A significantcomp<strong>on</strong>ent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this yearly variati<strong>on</strong> in recruitment appears tobe directly related to levels <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> seed producti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> previousyear. For <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> limited two years that we are able to makecomparis<strong>on</strong>s, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> average estuary-wide recruitment tracksaverage estuary-wide seed producti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> previous year. Inadditi<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re is evidence that S. alterniflora seed set is significantlyinfluenced by pollen availability, and that pollenavailability is significantly reduced by wet and cool c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s(Davis et al. 2004, and this volume). Yearly averagebay-wide recruitment is positively correlated with <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> number<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> August degree days (<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> cumulative number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> growingdegree days in August) and negatively correlated withtotal August precipitati<strong>on</strong> in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> previous year (Lambrinos,unpublished data).Substrate characteristics appear to play an importantrole in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> site-to-site variability in recruitment. Spartinaalterniflora seedlings are far less likely to establish at sandysites than at muddy sites. The mechanisms generating thispattern are still unclear. Spartina seeds may be less frequentlydeposited at more erosive sandy sites. In river systemsseed and sediment depositi<strong>on</strong> are closely related(Goods<strong>on</strong> et al. 2003). In additi<strong>on</strong>, seedlings may be lesslikely to establish at sandy sites because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> higher erosi<strong>on</strong>and physical stress. Alternatively, seedlings could performpoorly in sandy sediments because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> nutriti<strong>on</strong>al limitati<strong>on</strong>s.Increasing sediment sand corresp<strong>on</strong>ds with decreasing sedimentnitrogen (N) c<strong>on</strong>tent at <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>se sites (Tyler et al. 2007).Evidence from transplant experiments and comm<strong>on</strong> gardenexperiments indicate that S. alterniflora seedlings growpoorly <strong>on</strong> sand relative to mud irrespective <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> ambienthydrological c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s (Lambrinos and Bando 2008).Undoubtedly, ano<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r factor in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> site-to-site variabilityin recruitment is seed supply. Spartina alterniflora can potentiallydisperse l<strong>on</strong>g distances (Howard and Sytsma 2010).However, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fact that regi<strong>on</strong>s that received c<strong>on</strong>trol in 2003had corresp<strong>on</strong>dingly reduced recruitment levels in 2004,while no reducti<strong>on</strong>s in recruitment occurred in regi<strong>on</strong>s thatdid not receive c<strong>on</strong>trol suggests that a sizeable porti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>recruitment is derived from local seed sources.Implicati<strong>on</strong>s for managementThe str<strong>on</strong>gly episodic and spatially variable nature <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> S.alterniflora recruitment in Willapa Bay has important implicati<strong>on</strong>sfor management. Years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> poor recruitment haveprobably slowed <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> rate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> invasi<strong>on</strong> in Willapa Bay.Both vegetative growth and recruitment by seed c<strong>on</strong>tribute-89-
Chapter 2: Spartina Distributi<strong>on</strong> and Spread<str<strong>on</strong>g>Proceedings</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Third</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>C<strong>on</strong>ference</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>Invasive</strong> Spartinato <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> spatial expansi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> invasi<strong>on</strong>. However, most <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> expansi<strong>on</strong> in <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> bay has occurred through seedling recruitmentand subsequent growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cl<strong>on</strong>es, not from <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>lateral growth <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> established meadows (Civille et al. 2005).With moderate and low annual budgets, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> optimal c<strong>on</strong>trolstrategy in Willapa Bay is to target nascent populati<strong>on</strong>s(Taylor and Hastings 2004; Taylor et al., this volume).However, a “cl<strong>on</strong>e <strong>on</strong>ly” strategy may be incompatible witho<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>r management objectives such as restoring habitat formigratory birds. Periods <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> low recruitment may provideopportunities to target meadows with little reducti<strong>on</strong> in c<strong>on</strong>troleffort against nascent cl<strong>on</strong>es. In c<strong>on</strong>trast, periods <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>high recruitment would be poor times to allocate treatmentresources to established meadows.At <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> same time, periods <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> low recruitment may fostercomplacency. This is unlikely to occur with a comprehensiveand l<strong>on</strong>g-term management program such as <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>ecurrently being implemented in Willapa Bay. However, poorrecruitment years may hamper implementati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> such comprehensivemanagement plans. For instance, if initial infestati<strong>on</strong>sare followed by years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> low recruitment <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re maybe little impetus to expend resources <strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>trol because <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>spatial expansi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> populati<strong>on</strong>s is limited. Even if c<strong>on</strong>trolis initiated at a particular site, <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> need to develop a regi<strong>on</strong>alc<strong>on</strong>trol strategy may not be obvious. Untreated infestati<strong>on</strong>smay <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>n serve as significant seed sources during subsequentgood seed producti<strong>on</strong> years.The poor seedling recruitment at sandy sites comparedto muddy sites has allowed <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> S. alterniflora managementprogram in Willapa Bay to focus c<strong>on</strong>trol efforts spatially.The sandy L<strong>on</strong>g Beach Peninsula has been given a low priorityfor c<strong>on</strong>trol, and c<strong>on</strong>trol resources will <strong>on</strong>ly be spen<str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g>re during <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> final stages <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>trol program (K. Murphy,pers. comm.). The ability to prioritize estuaries in terms<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> susceptibility to S. alterniflora recruitment is an importantc<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> given <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> limited resources usually availableand <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> wide spatial extent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> most estuaries.The ability to spatially allocate c<strong>on</strong>trol resources is alsoaided by <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> fact that a significant proporti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> local recruitmentis derived from local seed producti<strong>on</strong>. C<strong>on</strong>trolefforts in <strong>on</strong>e area are unlikely to be completely swamped byrecruitment coming from distant or hydrologically disjunctun-c<strong>on</strong>trolled areas. This suggests that S. alterniflora c<strong>on</strong>trolin different sub-regi<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> an estuary can be managedsomewhat independently (e.g., c<strong>on</strong>trolled sequentially) andstill be successful. L<strong>on</strong>g-distance dispersal is certainly nottrivial, however, and l<strong>on</strong>g-term management will requireextensive m<strong>on</strong>itoring and a better understanding <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> dispersalpathways.ACKNOWLEDGMENTSWe thank <str<strong>on</strong>g>the</str<strong>on</strong>g> kind and expert assistance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> several peopleand agencies without whose assistance this work wouldnot have been possible: Brian Couch; Les Holcomb; KyleMurphy; Fritzie Grevstad; Kathleen Sayce; Brett Dumbauld;Dave Heimer; Charlie Stenvall; Todd Brownly; WendyBrown; The Washingt<strong>on</strong> Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Fish and Wildlife;The Washingt<strong>on</strong> Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Agriculture; The Washingt<strong>on</strong>Department <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Natural Resources; The Willapa Bay Nati<strong>on</strong>alWildlife Refuge. Funding was provided by NSF Biocomplexitygrant DEB0083583.REFERENCESCiville, J.C., K. Sayce, S.D. Smith and D.R. Str<strong>on</strong>g. 2005. Rec<strong>on</strong>structinga century <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Spartina alterniflora invasi<strong>on</strong> with historicalrecords and c<strong>on</strong>temporary remote sensing. Ecoscience12(3):330-338.Civille, J.C., S.D. Smith, and D.R. Str<strong>on</strong>g. 2005. Remote sensingLiDAR and GIS inform landscape and populati<strong>on</strong> ecology, WillapaBay, WA. In: Ayres, D.R., D.W. Kerr, S.D. Erics<strong>on</strong> andP.R. 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