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Environmental Problems, Their Causes, and Sustainability 1

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Burning natural gas emits CO 2 but at a lower rate perunit of energy than other fossil fuels (Figure 17-16). Forthese reasons, natural gas use is expected to growworldwide (Figure 17-4) <strong>and</strong> in the United States (Figures17-5 <strong>and</strong> 17-6).T rade-OffsConventional Natural GasAdvantagesDisadvantagesWho Has the World’s Natural Gas Supplies<strong>and</strong> How Long Will the Supplies Last? MoreAbundant than OilRussia <strong>and</strong> Iran have almost half of the world’sreserves of conventional natural gas, <strong>and</strong> globalreserves should last 62–125 years.Russia has about 31% of the world’s proven naturalgas reserves, followed by Iran (15%) <strong>and</strong> Qatar (9%).About 36% of the world’s natural gas reserves are inMiddle Eastern countries. The United States has only3% of the world’s proven reserves. Geologists expectto find more natural gas, especially in unexplored developingcountries.The long-term global outlook for natural gas suppliesis better than for conventional oil. At the currentconsumption rate, geologists estimate that known reserves<strong>and</strong> undiscovered potential reserves of conventionalnatural gas should last the world for 62–125years <strong>and</strong> the United States for 55–80 years, dependingon how rapidly it is used.They project that conventional <strong>and</strong> unconventionalsupplies of natural gas (the latter available at higherprices) should last at least 200 years at the current consumptionrate <strong>and</strong> 80 years if consumption rates rise2% per year.Figure 17-19 lists the advantages <strong>and</strong> disadvantagesof natural gas as an energy resource. Energy expertsproject greatly increased global use of natural gasduring this century because of its fairly abundant supply,<strong>and</strong> lower pollution <strong>and</strong> CO 2 rates per unit ofenergy compared to other fossil fuels (Figure 17-16).Because of its advantages over oil, coal, <strong>and</strong> nuclearenergy, some analysts see natural gas as the bestfuel to help make the transition to improved energy efficiency<strong>and</strong> greater use of solar energy <strong>and</strong> hydrogenover the next 50 years.What Is the Future of Natural Gas in theUnited States? Declining Supplies <strong>and</strong> RisingImportsNatural gas production in the United States is expectedto continue declining, resulting in increaseddependence on imports from Canada, Russia, <strong>and</strong> theMiddle East.In 2002, natural gas was burned to provide 53% of theheat in U.S. homes <strong>and</strong> 16% of the country’s electricity.By 2020, the U.S. Department of Energy projects thatnatural gas will be burned to produce about one-thirdAmple supplies(125 years)High net energyyieldLow cost (withhuge subsidies)Less air pollutionthan otherfossil fuelsLower CO 2emissions thanother fossil fuelsModerate environmentalimpactEasily transportedby pipelineLow l<strong>and</strong> useGood fuel forfuel cells <strong>and</strong>gas turbinesAnode (-)CatalystCathode (+) (+)NonrenewableresourceReleases CO 2when burnedMethane(a greenhousegas) can leakfrom pipelinesDifficult to transferfrom one countryto anotherShipped acrossocean as highlyexplosive LNGSometimesburned off <strong>and</strong>wasted at wellsbecause of lowpriceRequires pipelinesFigure 17-19 Trade-offs: advantages <strong>and</strong> disadvantages ofusing conventional natural gas as an energy resource. Pick thesingle advantage <strong>and</strong> disadvantage that you think are the mostimportant.of the country’s electricity, if the natural gas pipelinedistribution system is greatly exp<strong>and</strong>ed.Bad news. U.S. production of natural gas has beendeclining for a long time, <strong>and</strong> most geologists do notbelieve this situation will be reversed. More naturalgas could be imported from Canada, but this will requirebuilding a major pipeline between the two countries.Also, production in Canada is expected to peakbetween 2020 <strong>and</strong> 2030. Then the United States <strong>and</strong> therest of the world would have to rely increasingly onRussia <strong>and</strong> the Middle East for supplies of natural gas.More liquefied natural gas could be imported byship. But this requires cooling the gas to a very lowtemperature to liquefy it, shipping it in special tankers,<strong>and</strong> building special LNG receiving terminals. This isquite expensive <strong>and</strong> reduces the net energy yield fornatural gas. Also, LNG is highly flammable <strong>and</strong> couldlead to large-scale fires at receiving terminals.http://biology.brookscole.com/miller14363

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