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Applied numerical modeling of saturated / unsaturated flow and ...

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88 C. Beyer et al. / Journal <strong>of</strong> Contaminant Hydrology 87 (2006) 73–95<br />

plume lengths only. The estimated contaminant plume lengths Li are displayed in Fig. 5 (single<br />

realization results, ensemble means with st<strong>and</strong>ard deviations as error bars, medians, coefficients <strong>of</strong><br />

variation). As for case A, L1 <strong>and</strong> L2 (Fig. 5 (a)) yield very similar results. However, in comparison to<br />

case A, underestimation is clearly increased. This is most obvious for homogeneous conditions, where<br />

L1 <strong>and</strong> L2 are only about 50% <strong>of</strong> the true length <strong>and</strong> thus no longer yield the correct result.<br />

Underestimation <strong>of</strong> L increases with heterogeneity, yielding mean values <strong>of</strong> L1 <strong>and</strong> L2 <strong>of</strong> 0.45 for<br />

σ Y 2 =4.5. Spread is about 0.75 orders <strong>of</strong> magnitude for low heterogeneity <strong>and</strong> one order <strong>of</strong> magnitude<br />

for high heterogeneities, which is similar to case A. Plume lengths L 3 (Fig. 5 (b)) show the same<br />

general behaviour as the L1 <strong>and</strong> L2, with mean values being slightly lower. In contrast to this, L is<br />

overestimated for most realizations by L4 (Fig. 5 (c)). While for homogeneous conditions a too short<br />

L4 <strong>of</strong> 0.65 is obtained, L4 increases to values larger than one for higher degrees <strong>of</strong> heterogeneity.<br />

Spread <strong>of</strong> single realizations is significantly increased in comparison to case A (compare Figs. 4 (c)<br />

<strong>and</strong> 5(c)), as a spread <strong>of</strong> about one order <strong>of</strong> magnitude can be observed for all degrees <strong>of</strong> heterogeneity.<br />

The additional error introduced by using methods 1 through 4 for plumes following Michaelis–<br />

Menten kinetics degradation is most pronounced for low heterogeneities. Compared to case A,<br />

plume lengths are underestimated to a larger extent, as can be seen by the lower mean values <strong>and</strong><br />

Fig. 6. Normalized Michaelis–Menten kinetics parameters kmax vs. MC estimated for σY 2 =0.38 (a), 1.71 (b), 2.7 (c) <strong>and</strong> 4.5<br />

(d), respectively.

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