World agriculture towards 2030/2050: the 2012 revision - Fao

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PROOF COPY Table 4.19 Meat production: number of animals and carcass weight 1961/ 1963 Number of animals Number of animals Carcass weight (million) 2005/ 2007 2050 annual growth (% p.a.) 1961- 2007 2005/ 2007-2050 1961/ 1963 (kg / animal) 2005/ 2007 World Cattle and buffaloes 1 045 1 532 2 032 0.8 0.6 158 202 227 Sheep and goat 1 356 1 915 2 939 0.8 1.0 14 14 17 Pigs 424 917 1 141 1.6 0.5 65 79 84 Poultry 4 435 19 160 37 030 3.6 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.7 Developed countries Cattle and buffaloes 352 318 320 -0.4 0.0 163 271 283 Sheep and goat 577 389 460 -0.9 0.4 15 17 18 Pigs 248 288 294 0.4 0.1 71 87 92 Poultry 2 568 5 239 7 212 1.6 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.9 Developing countries Cattle and buffaloes 692 1 215 1 712 1.3 0.8 150 166 209 Sheep and goat 779 1 526 2 478 1.5 1.1 12 13 17 Pigs 176 629 846 2.5 0.7 49 74 81 Poultry 1 867 13 921 29 817 5.0 1.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 Sub-Saharan Africa Cattle and buffaloes 106 232 332 1.6 0.8 135 129 204 Sheep and goat 151 456 855 2.5 1.4 11 12 18 Pigs 4 22 62 4.1 2.4 45 45 64 Poultry 218 790 2 625 2.8 2.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 Latin America Cattle and buffaloes 178 395 517 1.7 0.6 191 213 241 Sheep and goat 154 117 146 -0.7 0.5 14 14 16 Pigs 51 78 110 0.7 0.8 64 81 93 Poultry 376 2 716 4 812 4.6 1.3 1.2 1.8 1.9 Near East / North Africa Cattle and buffaloes 34 42 69 0.3 1.2 110 169 215 Sheep and goat 183 255 419 0.8 1.1 14 16 19 Pigs 0 0 0 -1.2 0.2 53 34 49 Poultry 133 1 534 3 248 6.0 1.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 South Asia Cattle and buffaloes 277 372 473 0.8 0.5 96 123 181 Sheep and goat 136 329 595 2.2 1.4 10 11 18 Pigs 5 15 21 2.7 0.8 35 35 49 Poultry 165 1026 4 007 4.2 3.1 0.9 1.0 1.6 East Asia Cattle and buffaloes 97 173 319 1.5 1.4 150 141 191 Sheep and goat 154 363 457 2.0 0.5 12 14 15 Pigs 115 512 647 2.8 0.5 45 75 81 Poultry 969 7 770 14 801 5.5 1.5 1.1 1.4 1.5 2050 139
Argentina Bolivia (Plurinational State of) Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Cuba Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi Cameroon Central African Rep. Chad Congo Côte d'Ivoire Afghanistan Algeria Egypt Iran, Islamic Rep. Bangladesh India Cambodia China China, Hong Kong SAR Dem. Rep. of Korea PROOF COPY Appendix 1 Countries and commodities included in the analysis Developing countries and territories* Latin America and the Caribbean Dominican Rep. Honduras Ecuador Jamaica El Salvador Mexico Guatemala Nicaragua Guyana Panama Haiti Paraguay Dem. Rep. of the Congo Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Gambia Ghana Guinea Kenya Lesotho Liberia Iraq Jordan Lebanon Libya Nepal Pakistan Indonesia Lao People's Dem. Rep. Malaysia Mongolia Sub-Saharan Africa Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Mozambique Namibia Niger Nigeria Rwanda Near East/North Africa Morocco Saudi Arabia Syrian Arab Rep. Tunisia South Asia Sri Lanka East Asia Myanmar Philippines Rep. of Korea * All other countries and territories are aggregated into one: “Other developing” region. Peru Suriname Trinidad and Tobago Uruguay Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Senegal Sierra Leone Somalia Sudan Swaziland Togo Uganda United Rep. of Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe Turkey Yemen Thailand Viet Nam 140
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WORLD AGRICULTURE TOWARDS 2030/2050
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Acknowledgements PROOF COPY This pa
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Boxes PROOF COPY Box 1.1 Measuring
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PROOF COPY Figure A.2.1.6 India: fo
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PROOF COPY producing countries rema
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PROOF COPY may fall from 2.3 billio
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PROOF COPY Minimum Dietary Energy R
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PROOF COPY Concerning the main prod
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PROOF COPY vegetable oil imports fo
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PROOF COPY constraints can be signi
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PROOF COPY Figure 1.8 Irrigated are
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PROOF COPY Figure 1.9 World cereals
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PROOF COPY for both food and non-fo
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PROOF COPY 2050, reaching a peak of
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PROOF COPY 436 million in the over
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PROOF COPY CHAPTER 2 PROSPECTS FOR
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PROOF COPY Figure 2.1 kcal/person/d
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PROOF COPY The FAO estimates of und
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PROOF COPY by people. In particular
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PROOF COPY production potential. Th
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PROOF COPY Table: Growth in Populat
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PROOF COPY (Figure2.6), at 7.4 bill
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PROOF COPY Table 2.4 GDP assumption
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PROOF COPY Modest reductions in the
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PROOF COPY Such optimism notwithsta
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PROOF COPY in North Africa have hig
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PROOF COPY (which in our data appea
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PROOF COPY The other major commodit
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PROOF COPY Table 2.6 Changes in the
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PROOF COPY • Despite this slow pa
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PROOF COPY undernourishment and the
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PROOF COPY commodities and waste. F
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PROOF COPY Where does this leave us
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PROOF COPY Figure A.2.1.6 shows the
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PROOF COPY cereals for ethanol 41 .
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PROOF COPY consumption was heavily
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PROOF COPY Figure 3.2 Net agricultu
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PROOF COPY It is noted, however, th
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PROOF COPY Figure 3.4 Per capita fo
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PROOF COPY 2005/07. 45 Not all of t
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PROOF COPY Table 3.3 Net trade bala
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PROOF COPY growth in the ruminant s
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PROOF COPY Table 3.4 Meat: aggregat
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PROOF COPY countries in per capita
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PROOF COPY associated with such lar
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PROOF COPY Figure 3.8 World feed us
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PROOF COPY The production of biodie
Page 95 and 96: PROOF COPY the exports of the two m
Page 97 and 98: 3.5 Roots, tubers and plantains 3.5
Page 99 and 100: PROOF COPY the two factors that mak
Page 101 and 102: PROOF COPY Net exports from develop
Page 103 and 104: PROOF COPY Figure 3.14 Sugar net tr
Page 105 and 106: PROOF COPY Climate change In evalua
Page 107 and 108: PROOF COPY Table 4.1 Increases in p
Page 109 and 110: PROOF COPY involved are considerabl
Page 111 and 112: PROOF COPY cropping intensities (6
Page 113 and 114: PROOF COPY No data exist on total h
Page 115 and 116: PROOF COPY Box 4.2 Agro-ecological
Page 117 and 118: PROOF COPY under cultivation. It is
Page 119 and 120: PROOF COPY products facing finite n
Page 121 and 122: PROOF COPY place in sub-Saharan Afr
Page 123 and 124: PROOF COPY The bulk of arable land
Page 125 and 126: PROOF COPY Figure 4.7 Area equipped
Page 127 and 128: PROOF COPY The developed countries
Page 129 and 130: PROOF COPY 4.2.5 Irrigation water r
Page 131 and 132: PROOF COPY harvested irrigated area
Page 133 and 134: PROOF COPY Figure 4.10 Annual growt
Page 135 and 136: PROOF COPY million ha at an average
Page 137 and 138: PROOF COPY producers 81 are about h
Page 139 and 140: PROOF COPY the often unfavourable a
Page 141 and 142: PROOF COPY Table 4.15 Fertilizer co
Page 143 and 144: PROOF COPY under way for some time,
Page 145: PROOF COPY Livestock production is
Page 149 and 150: Wheat Rice Maize Barley Millet Sorg
Page 151 and 152: PROOF COPY and yields by irrigated
Page 153 and 154: PROOF COPY References Alexandratos,
Page 155 and 156: PROOF COPY FAO (1996), Food, Agricu
Page 157 and 158: PROOF COPY Ma, Hengyun, Jikun Huang
Page 159 and 160: PROOF COPY van der Mensbrugghe, D.,
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