World agriculture towards 2030/2050: the 2012 revision - Fao

Boxes
PROOF COPY
Box 1.1 Measuring the increase in aggregate agricultural production
(all crop and livestock products) .................................................................... 7
Box 2.1 Measuring the incidence of undernourishment: the key role of
the estimates of food available for direct human consumption .................... 28
Box 2.2 Countries with high population growth to 2050 and limited
agricultural resources: an untenable combination? ...................................... 32
Box 2. 3 Population growth and global food demand ................................................. 33
Box 4.1 Projecting land use and yield growth ......................................................... 105
Box 4.2 Agro-ecological zone (AEZ) methodology ................................................ 108
Box 4. 3 Assumed levels of inputs and management ................................................ 108
Tables
Table 1.1 Key Variables Beyond 2050 ......................................................................... 21
Table 2.1 Per capita food consumption (kcal/person/day) ........................................... 25
Table 2.2 Incidence of undernourishment, developing countries ................................. 27
Table 2.3 Population data and projections .................................................................... 33
Table 2.4 GDP assumptions and implied convergence indicators ............................... 38
Table 2.5 Changes in the commodity composition of food by major
country groups .............................................................................................. 49
Table 2.6 Changes in the commodity composition of food, developing regions ......... 50
Table 3.1 Growth Rates of Demand and Production, percent p.a. ............................... 66
Table 3.2 Cereal balances, world and major country groups ....................................... 73
Table 3.3 Net trade balances, wheat, rice, coarse grains, developing countries
by region (million tonnes) ............................................................................ 74
Table 3.4 Meat: aggregate production and demand ...................................................... 78
Table 3.5 Milk and Dairy Products (liquid milk equivalent) ........................................ 79
Table 3.6 Major oilcrops, world production ................................................................. 86
Table 3.7 Net trade balances for oilseeds, oils and products (in oil equivalent) .......... 87
Table A.3.1 World use of crops for biofuels ........................................................................ 97
Table 4.1 Increases in population, calorie supply and agricultural production .......... 100
Table 4.2 Agricultural production growth rates (percent p.a.) ................................... 101
Table 4.3 Annual crop production growth (percent p.a.) ........................................... 102
Table 4.4 Sources of growth in crop production (percent) ......................................... 103
Table 4.5 Sources of growth for major cereals in developing countries .................... 104
Table 4.6 Land with rain-fed crop production potential (world; million ha) ............. 109
Table 4.7 Land with rain-fed crop production potential by region (million ha) ......... 111
Table 4.8 Total arable land in use: data and projections ............................................ 114
Table 4.9 Arable land in use, cropping intensities and harvested land ....................... 116
Table 4.10 Area equipped for irrigation ....................................................................... 119
Table 4.11 Annual renewable water resources and irrigation water withdrawal.......... 124
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