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PNNL-13501 - Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

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Enhancing Emissions Pre-Processing Capabilities for Atmospheric Chemistry<br />

Study Control Number: PN00040/1447<br />

Elaine G. Chapman, Jerome D. Fast, W. Richard Barchet<br />

Atmospheric chemical transport models are used in research ranging from global climate change to pollution abatement<br />

strategies for meeting urban air quality standards. Emissions are an essential input to these models. This project<br />

enhanced the efficiency, effectiveness, and accuracy with which model-ready emissions may be generated.<br />

Project Description<br />

The purpose of this project was to enhance our capability<br />

for modeling atmospheric pollutants. Observed pollutant<br />

concentrations result from local emissions reacting with<br />

chemical species transported into an area from long<br />

distances. To accurately model and understand such<br />

situations, we need to capture the local, regional, and<br />

synoptic meteorological and chemical factors, as well as<br />

to provide accurate local-, regional- and continental-scale<br />

emissions inputs. We designed algorithms and developed<br />

computer codes to combine different pollutant emissions<br />

inventories with differing spatial and temporal scales.<br />

The resulting nested emissions provide substantially<br />

improved model input relative to the standard procedure<br />

of using only one inventory. We also expanded the<br />

chemical detail and number of emissions inventories<br />

available for routine use with our models, and generalized<br />

our in-house emissions preprocessing programs. This<br />

project advanced our ability to readily and efficiently<br />

assemble the most appropriate emissions input for a given<br />

model application.<br />

Results and Accomplishments<br />

We successfully realized substantial increases in<br />

efficiency by generalizing, standardizing, and automating<br />

selected in-house emissions processing programs. Staff<br />

prepared emissions inputs for two separate modeling<br />

efforts, one of which involved emissions inputs from a<br />

new global inventory that we had not previously worked<br />

with. Using programs enhanced under this project, one<br />

person was able to generate the necessary model-ready<br />

emissions inputs, with selected graphics and summary<br />

information, in less than 8 hours. We estimate it would<br />

have required 3 days for each modeling effort (6 days<br />

total) prior to the improvements realized under this<br />

project.<br />

The more efficient processing programs were used to<br />

generate a prototype nested emissions data set for<br />

modeling applications. We successfully wrote and tested<br />

216 FY 2000 <strong>Laboratory</strong> Directed Research and Development Annual Report<br />

computer codes for reading, regridding, speciating, and<br />

nesting emissions inventories with different temporal and<br />

spatial scales. The codes were developed in a generic<br />

format, to permit ready use in future modeling efforts.<br />

We used these programs to generate a prototype doublenested,<br />

model-ready emissions input data set for modeling<br />

air quality in the vicinity of Phoenix, Arizona. The final,<br />

model-ready emissions data set included California Air<br />

Resources Board emissions for southern California and<br />

Arizona Department of Environmental Quality emissions<br />

for Phoenix nested within the continental-scale <strong>National</strong><br />

Emissions Trends Inventory of the U.S. EPA, all nested<br />

within global emissions data from the Global Emissions<br />

Inventory Activity. Model predictions capture the major<br />

features, and many minor features, of chemical<br />

measurements taken in Phoenix, and unequivocally show<br />

that ozone concentrations in the Phoenix area are<br />

governed mainly by hydrocarbons, rather than by locally<br />

emitted nitrogen oxide (NOx) compounds. Interpretation<br />

of regional influences on Phoenix urban chemistry was<br />

significantly enhanced through use of the detailed nested<br />

emissions input, emphasizing the importance of emissions<br />

on overall model results.<br />

Summary and Conclusions<br />

Although significant improvements in processing<br />

capabilities were realized and a novel, nested emissions<br />

set successfully generated and used, the major conclusion<br />

of this work is that such advances represent only a<br />

stopgap measure relative to the direction of atmospheric<br />

chemistry modeling. Publicly available, gridded<br />

emissions inventories represent static levels. These<br />

inventories generated assuming average conditions over a<br />

given time period. Such inventories are processed offline<br />

to produce model-ready emission fluxes. We foresee<br />

modeling efforts, particularly regional-scale modeling<br />

programs, moving toward needing dynamically derived<br />

emissions that reflect specific meteorological conditions<br />

in a specific time period in a specific geographic region.<br />

We also foresee a need to eventually couple emissionsgenerating<br />

modules directly with the chemical,

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