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The State of Minority- and Women- Owned ... - Cleveland.com

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Market-Based Disparities in Business Formation <strong>and</strong> Business Owner Earnings<br />

<strong>and</strong> Davila, 2006; Robles <strong>and</strong> Cordero-Gúzman, 2007), 229 immigration policy (Borjas <strong>and</strong><br />

Bronars, 1989), <strong>and</strong> retirement policies (Quinn, 1980). Studies by Long (1982), Blau (1987), <strong>and</strong><br />

Schuetze (1998), have considered the role <strong>of</strong> taxes. 230 A number <strong>of</strong> other studies have also<br />

considered the cyclical aspects <strong>of</strong> self-employment <strong>and</strong> in particular how movements <strong>of</strong> selfemployment<br />

are correlated with movements in unemployment. Meager (1992) provides a useful<br />

summary <strong>of</strong> much <strong>of</strong> this work. 231<br />

Blanchflower, Oswald <strong>and</strong> Stutzer (2001) found that there is a strikingly large latent desire to<br />

own a business. <strong>The</strong>re exists frustrated entrepreneurship on a huge scale in the U.S. <strong>and</strong> other<br />

Organization for Economic Co-operation <strong>and</strong> Development (OECD) countries. 232 In the U.S., 7<br />

out <strong>of</strong> 10 people say they would prefer to be self-employed. This <strong>com</strong>pares to an actual<br />

proportion <strong>of</strong> self-employed people in 2001 <strong>of</strong> 7.3 percent <strong>of</strong> the civilian labor force, which also<br />

shows that the proportion <strong>of</strong> the labor force that is self-employed has declined steadily since<br />

1990 following a small increase in the rate from 1980 to 1990. This raises an important question.<br />

Why do so few individuals in the U.S. <strong>and</strong> OECD countries manage to translate their preferences<br />

into action? Lack <strong>of</strong> start-up capital is one likely explanation. This factor is <strong>com</strong>monly cited by<br />

small-business managers themselves (Blanchflower <strong>and</strong> Oswald, 1998). <strong>The</strong>re is also<br />

econometric evidence that confirms this barrier. Holding other influences constant, people who<br />

229 Fairlie <strong>and</strong> Meyer (1998) found that immigration had no statistically significant impact at all on African<br />

American self-employment. In a subsequent paper, Fairlie <strong>and</strong> Meyer (2003) found that self-employed<br />

immigrants did displace self-employed native non-African Americans. <strong>The</strong>y found that immigration has a large<br />

negative effect on the probability <strong>of</strong> self-employment among native non-African Americans, although,<br />

surprisingly, they found that immigrants increase native self-employment earnings.<br />

230 In an interesting study pooling individual level data for the U.S. <strong>and</strong> Canada from the Current Population Survey<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Survey <strong>of</strong> Consumer Finances, respectively, Schuetze (1998) finds that increases in in<strong>com</strong>e taxes have<br />

large <strong>and</strong> positive effects on the male self-employment rate. He found that a 30 percent increase in taxes<br />

generated a rise <strong>of</strong> 0.9 to 2.0 percentage points in the male self-employment rate in Canada <strong>com</strong>pared with a rise<br />

<strong>of</strong> 0.8 to 1.4 percentage points in the U.S. over 1994 levels.<br />

231 Evans <strong>and</strong> Leighton (1989) found that nonminority men who are unemployed are nearly twice as likely as wage<br />

workers to enter self-employment. Bogenhold <strong>and</strong> Staber (1991) also find evidence that unemployment <strong>and</strong> selfemployment<br />

are positively correlated. Blanchflower <strong>and</strong> Oswald (1990) found a strong negative relationship<br />

between regional unemployment <strong>and</strong> self-employment for the period 1983-1989 in the U.K. using a pooled<br />

cross-section time-series data set. Blanchflower <strong>and</strong> Oswald (1998) confirmed this result, finding that the log <strong>of</strong><br />

the county unemployment rate entered negatively in a cross-section self-employment model for young people<br />

age 23 in 1981 <strong>and</strong> for the same people aged 33 in 1991. Taylor (1996) confirmed this result using data from the<br />

British Household Panel Study <strong>of</strong> 1991, showing that the probability <strong>of</strong> being self-employed rises when expected<br />

self-employment earnings increase relative to employee earnings, i.e., when unemployment is low. Acs <strong>and</strong><br />

Evans (1994) found evidence from an analysis <strong>of</strong> a panel <strong>of</strong> countries that the unemployment rate entered<br />

negatively in a fixed effect <strong>and</strong> r<strong>and</strong>om effects formulation. However, Schuetze (1998) found that for the U.S.<br />

<strong>and</strong> Canada the elasticity <strong>of</strong> the male self-employment rate with respect to the unemployment rate was<br />

considerably smaller than found for the effect from taxes discussed above. <strong>The</strong> elasticity <strong>of</strong> self-employment<br />

associated with the unemployment rate is about 0.1 in both countries using 1994 figures. A decrease <strong>of</strong> 5<br />

percentage points in the unemployment rate in the U.S. (about the same decline occurred from 1983-1989) leads<br />

to about a 1 percentage point decrease in self-employment. Blanchflower (2000) found that there is generally a<br />

negative relationship between the self-employment rate <strong>and</strong> the unemployment rate. It does seem then that there<br />

is some disagreement in the literature on whether high unemployment acts to discourage self-employment<br />

because <strong>of</strong> the lack <strong>of</strong> available opportunities or encourage it because <strong>of</strong> the lack <strong>of</strong> viable alternatives.<br />

232 <strong>The</strong> OECD is an international organization <strong>of</strong> those developed countries that accept the principles <strong>of</strong><br />

representative democracy <strong>and</strong> a free market economy. <strong>The</strong>re are currently 30 full members.<br />

NERA Economic Consulting 148

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