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The State of Minority- and Women- Owned ... - Cleveland.com

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Anecdotal Evidence <strong>of</strong> Disparities in the City <strong>of</strong> Clevel<strong>and</strong>’s Market Area<br />

Some courts <strong>and</strong> other observers have asserted that findings such as those in Tables 8.3 <strong>and</strong> 8.4<br />

tell us nothing about discrimination against M/WBEs since, even though they are current, even<br />

though they <strong>com</strong>e directly from the businesses alleging disparate treatment, even though they are<br />

restricted to the relevant geographic <strong>and</strong> product markets, even though they are disaggregated by<br />

procurement category, <strong>and</strong> even though they are disaggregated by race <strong>and</strong> sex, they still do not<br />

<strong>com</strong>pare firms <strong>of</strong> similar size, qualifications, or experience. We have argued elsewhere against<br />

such flawed logic (<strong>and</strong> economics) since size, qualifications, <strong>and</strong> experience are precisely the<br />

factors that are adversely impacted by discrimination. 310 Nevertheless, if disparities are still<br />

observed even when such “capacity” factors are held constant, the case be<strong>com</strong>es even more<br />

<strong>com</strong>pelling. <strong>The</strong> results reported below in Table 8.5 show that even when levels <strong>of</strong> size,<br />

qualifications, <strong>and</strong> experience are held constant across firms, measures <strong>of</strong> disparate treatment <strong>of</strong><br />

minority-owned businesses are still large, adverse, <strong>and</strong> statistically significant.<br />

In Table 8.5, we report the results from a series <strong>of</strong> Probit regressions using the mail survey data<br />

on disparate treatment. 311 As indicated earlier, the survey questionnaire collected data related to<br />

each firm’s size, qualifications, <strong>and</strong> experience. <strong>The</strong> reported estimates from these models can be<br />

interpreted as changes or differences in the probability <strong>of</strong> disparate treatment conditional on the<br />

control variables. <strong>The</strong> estimates in the table show large differences in disparate treatment<br />

probabilities between M/WBEs <strong>and</strong> non-M/WBEs. In column (1) <strong>of</strong> Table 8.5 (in which the<br />

regression model contains only M/WBE status <strong>and</strong> procurement category indicators), the<br />

estimated coefficient <strong>of</strong> 0.115 on the M/WBE indicator indicates that the likelihood <strong>of</strong><br />

experiencing disparate treatment for M/WBE firms is 11.5 percentage points higher than that for<br />

non-M/WBE firms. 312 This difference is statistically significant within a 99 percent confidence<br />

interval or better. Column (2) <strong>of</strong> Table 8.5 includes additional explanatory variables to hold<br />

constant differences in the characteristics <strong>of</strong> firms that may vary by race or sex, including the<br />

owner’s education, the age <strong>of</strong> the firm, <strong>and</strong> the size <strong>of</strong> the firm measured by employment <strong>and</strong> by<br />

sales. Even after controlling for these differences, however, M/WBE firms remain 9.0 percentage<br />

points more likely than non-M/WBE firms to experience disparate treatment. This difference is<br />

also statistically significant within a 99 percent confidence interval. Firm size <strong>and</strong> other<br />

characteristics account for little <strong>of</strong> the disparate treatment reported by M/WBEs in the Clevel<strong>and</strong><br />

market area.<br />

<strong>The</strong> exercise is repeated in columns (3) <strong>and</strong> (4). <strong>The</strong> only difference is that the M/WBE indicator<br />

is separated into two <strong>com</strong>ponents—one for minority-owned firms <strong>and</strong> one for nonminorityfemale<br />

owned firms. <strong>The</strong> results in column (3) indicate that minority-owned firms in the City’s<br />

market area are 26.3 percentage points more likely to experience disparate treatment than<br />

nonminority firms. When controls are added in column (4), this difference falls to 22.0<br />

percentage points. Non-minority female-owned firms are 6.0 percentage points <strong>and</strong> 3.7<br />

310 Wainwright <strong>and</strong> Holt (2010, 65-67) <strong>and</strong> Wainwright (2000, 86-87).<br />

311 See Chapter V for a description <strong>of</strong> Probit regression.<br />

312 This estimate largely replicates the raw difference in disparate treatment rates between M/WBE <strong>and</strong> non-M/WBE<br />

firms reported in the last row <strong>of</strong> Table 8.3. <strong>The</strong> raw differential observed there (44.4% – 23.3% = 21.2%) differs<br />

slightly from the 22.1% differential reported here since the regression specification also controls for industry<br />

category.<br />

NERA Economic Consulting 274

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