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waders and their estuarine food supplies - Vlaams Instituut voor de ...

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PREDICTING SEASONAL AND ANNUAL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE LOCAL EXPLOITION OF DIFFERENT PREY<br />

10 100<br />

prey weight (mg)<br />

1000<br />

Fig. 13, Msiilus. Density of Mussels belonging In two different cohorts<br />

as a function ot llesh weighl during two years. I lie lines conned<br />

ihe course of the change in <strong>de</strong>nsity <strong>and</strong> average pnsy weighl as<br />

long as the cohort existed: based on monthly samples in the Nes<br />

area, from October Of August in the year ol settlement. I*'K4 <strong>and</strong><br />

l l 'K5 respectively, onwards. In each winter there was ,i <strong>de</strong>crease ..I<br />

Ihe prey weight due to a <strong>de</strong>cline in ihe body condilion.<br />

- Macomay-Scrobicularia<br />

-Mya rCockle<br />

latum disappeared in ihe first year of life (Fig. 13) by<br />

which time the survivors had attained 30 to 60 mg<br />

AFDW. It is unlikely thai Oystercatchers will take first<br />

year Mussels. Even second year Mussels provi<strong>de</strong> a<br />

rather low intake rate. Hence, in our study period, the<br />

Mussels did not reach a weight sufficient to make them<br />

a harvestable prey for Oystercatchers ((loss-Custard cl<br />

al. 1996c).<br />

Did prey selection conform to prediction?<br />

The previous sections predicted the highest possible<br />

intake for birds feeding on Cockles I Fig. 8D). Scrobicularia<br />

(Fig. 9D), Macoma (Fig. I0D). Scrobicularia +<br />

Macoma (Fig. 4), Mya (see text) <strong>and</strong> Mussels (Fig.<br />

13). II birds maximized <strong>their</strong> intake rate, we would expect<br />

thai they selected the prey species that <strong>de</strong>livered<br />

the highesi iniake rate. The predicted highest intake<br />

rale varied between 0.2 <strong>and</strong> 5 mg s ' (Fig. 14). To<br />

achieve this intake rate, the birds had to change <strong>their</strong><br />

prey choice as indicated in Fig. 14. Mussels should<br />

never be taken in the study area. Scrobicularia <strong>and</strong><br />

Macoma were predicted to be the dominant <strong>food</strong> resources<br />

in summer, whereas Oystercatchers were expected<br />

to take Mya <strong>and</strong> Cockles predominantly in winter.<br />

Did the birds behave as predicted in Fig. 14? There<br />

were four periods for which this could be cheeked.<br />

(1) It was predicted thai the birds should take Mya<br />

Fig. 14. Predicted intake rate when ihe fcxxl supply consists of Cockles. Scrobicularia, Macoma, Mya <strong>and</strong> Mussel-, assuming that the birds<br />

lake the prey providing the highesi iniake rate: based on Figs. 8D. 9D. 10D <strong>and</strong> 13. lor Mya see text. The predicted prey selection is indicated.<br />

Mussels should never he selected.<br />

250

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