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waders and their estuarine food supplies - Vlaams Instituut voor de ...

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PREDICTING SEASONAL AND ANNUAL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE LOCAL EXPLOITION OF DIFFERENT PREY<br />

Fig. 17. Flimination of biomass for A.-D. four different bivalve<br />

species (g m : month) <strong>and</strong> R. calculated consumption<br />

(g m : month ')by Oystercatcher assuming lhat all birds lor<br />

aged each month onlv on the prev species thai <strong>de</strong>livered the<br />

highest intake rale (Fig. 14). The elimination, summed for<br />

different cohorts, has been <strong>de</strong>fine hid of average<br />

prey weighl <strong>and</strong> the numbers thai disappeared in -' month'<br />

The apparent negative elimination in Macoma is due to resettlement<br />

by which the <strong>de</strong>nsity rose from March to May.<br />

The elimination of the small size classes, which would have<br />

been ignored by Oysteicatchers. <strong>and</strong> the large Mya. lhat<br />

would have been out of reach of ihe Oysicreatcher's bill, are<br />

marked separately The total bird consuinpiion is ihe product<br />

of Oystercatcher <strong>de</strong>nsity (Fig. 6A) <strong>and</strong> consumption per bird<br />

(varying between 36 g day ' in summer, <strong>and</strong> <strong>de</strong>pending on<br />

ambient temperature, increasing to SO g on cold winter days).<br />

3 Oystercatchers ha ' in die three years when<br />

Scrobicularia was ihe dominani fcxxl supply <strong>and</strong><br />

more than 25 birds ha ' in four years when the<br />

prey biomass of the Cockles reached high values.<br />

The predicted intake rate was clearly below the<br />

critical lower acceptance level of 1 mg s ' in the<br />

four poor winters in succession, 1979-1982.<br />

Comparing elimination of biomass <strong>and</strong> predation<br />

pressure<br />

The average total predation pressure by Oystercatchers<br />

was estimated at 12 g nr 2 year 1 , but due<br />

to the very large variation in <strong>de</strong>nsity (Fig. 6A),<br />

the predation pressure varied consi<strong>de</strong>rably between<br />

<strong>and</strong> within years. Assuming that the birds<br />

only took the prey which would have given the<br />

highest intake rate (Fig. 14), the predation pressure<br />

on the different prey species could be compared<br />

to the total biomass that was actually eliminated<br />

(Fig. 17). Note that me production by<br />

elimination of the small prey was usually very<br />

low. except for first year Cockles in 1985 <strong>and</strong><br />

1986, <strong>and</strong> Macoma <strong>and</strong> Mya in the first year after<br />

the spatfall 1979.<br />

Cockles The prediction was that Oystercatchers<br />

would have fed on Cockles in 1978 <strong>and</strong> in the<br />

winters of 1984. 1985 <strong>and</strong> 1986 (Fig. 17E). In<strong>de</strong>ed,<br />

these were periods of high losses of cockle<br />

253

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