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waders and their estuarine food supplies - Vlaams Instituut voor de ...

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PREDICTING SEASONAL AND ANNUAL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE LOCAL EXPLOITION OF DIFFERENT PREY<br />

1977 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86<br />

year<br />

Nereis<br />

I Arenicola<br />

B Mytilus<br />

I I Scrobicularia<br />

• Mya<br />

1 Macoma<br />

• Cerasto<strong>de</strong>rma<br />

Fig. 16. Variation in A. total biomass, B. harvestable biomass. C.<br />

the average bird <strong>de</strong>nsity <strong>and</strong> predicted intake rate in December. Har-<br />

vcsiahle biomass is <strong>de</strong>fined as the summed biomass. excluding<br />

Cockles < 10 mm long. Scrobicularia < 13 mm long or living > 6 cm<br />

<strong>de</strong>ep. Macoma < 11 mm long or h\ ing > 4 cm <strong>de</strong>ep, Mya < 17 mm<br />

or lit ing > 6 cm <strong>de</strong>ep, <strong>and</strong> Mussels < 25 mm. Original data are given<br />

in Figs. 8A. 9 A, I0A <strong>and</strong> 12 for biomass values. Fig. 14 for pre­<br />

dicted intake rates <strong>and</strong> Fig. 6A for bird <strong>de</strong>nsiiies: no bird counts are<br />

available for December I "85 <strong>and</strong> 1986<br />

252<br />

Seasonal variation in intake rate <strong>and</strong> prey<br />

selection<br />

In all prey species there was a seasonal variation in the<br />

predicted intake rate, particularly in birds feeding on<br />

Scrobicularia (Fig. 9D) or Macoma (Fig. I0D). The<br />

iniake rate of cockle-eating Oystercalchers was also<br />

predicted lo be higher in summer than in winter (Fig,<br />

8Dl. but the seasonal variation was not as large as in<br />

the two <strong>de</strong>ep-living bivalve species I Fig. 15 A). The explanation<br />

for this difference was that the seasonal variation<br />

in burying <strong>de</strong>pth of the <strong>de</strong>ep-living bivalves<br />

ma<strong>de</strong> them very unattractive to feed on in winter, because<br />

the majority of prey were inaccessible to the<br />

probing bird, <strong>and</strong> if the prey were accessible, they were<br />

hardly profitable (Zwarts el al. 1996b). In contrast.<br />

Cockles remained living at. or just beneath, the surface<br />

for Ihe entire year, so thai the accessible fraciion did<br />

not vary seasonally.<br />

Since the seasonal amplitu<strong>de</strong> in iniake rate differed<br />

so much between the prev species. Oystercatchers<br />

achieved the highesi intake rate when they took the<br />

buried prey. Scrobicularia <strong>and</strong> Macoma. in summer<br />

<strong>and</strong> Cockles in winter (Fig. 15B). In this figure we<br />

lumped Scrobicularia <strong>and</strong> Macoma because, as explained<br />

before, we could not predict accurately enough<br />

which of the two species should be taken.<br />

Annual variation in bird <strong>de</strong>nsity, intake rate, prey<br />

selection <strong>and</strong> <strong>food</strong> supply<br />

Although the number of Oystercatchers present in the<br />

study area varied seasonally, a close look at Fig. 6 reveals<br />

that, in some years, the monthly numbers were<br />

systematically lower than in other years. To analyse<br />

whether these year-to-year variations were due to variation<br />

in the <strong>food</strong> supply, we examined the data from<br />

December. There was a gradual <strong>de</strong>crease in the total<br />

winter biomass of the prey species combined over the<br />

years, but the annual fluctuations were large, varying<br />

between 40 <strong>and</strong> 100 g m 2 during ten years (Fig. 16A).<br />

After subtraction of the biomass of prey either too<br />

small or too <strong>de</strong>ep to be taken, the biomass harvestable<br />

for Oystercatchers appeared to differ even more, being<br />

extremely low in 1979-1982 (Fig. I6B). In the first<br />

three of these years. Scrobicularia contributed about<br />

3/4 to the total biomass, but this part of the <strong>food</strong> supply<br />

was largely nol accessible to Oystercatchers. The variation<br />

in wa<strong>de</strong>r <strong>de</strong>nsity was even larger, being less than

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