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waders and their estuarine food supplies - Vlaams Instituut voor de ...

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PREDICTING SEASONAL AND ANNUAL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE LOCAL EXPLOITION OF DIFFERENT PREY<br />

Mortality due to Starvation implies an exhaustion of<br />

the nutrient reserves. The feeding circumstances in our<br />

siudy area were poor between autumn 1979 <strong>and</strong> spring<br />

1982. compared to the lime before <strong>and</strong> after. However,<br />

the body weight of ihe Oystercatchers in these four<br />

years appeared not to <strong>de</strong>viate from the long-term average<br />

monthly means i Fig. 231. Hence, the average Oystercatcher<br />

was. even in these winters, able to satisfy its<br />

energy requirements. This seems inconsistent with the<br />

higher mortality in the poor years (Fig. 22B). However,<br />

as shown elsewhere (Zwarts el al. I996e). Oystercatchers<br />

attempt to increase iheir body weighl as<br />

soon as <strong>their</strong> fcxxl supply is less predictable. Thus a<br />

higher bcxly weight is to be expected if the average iniake<br />

rale is low. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, some marginal<br />

birds will possibly not be able lo attain the required<br />

higher consumption. II this is so. we would expect a<br />

larger variation in the body weights within the population<br />

in years with a poor <strong>food</strong> supply. The frequency<br />

distribution of the bcxly weights in the three poor<br />

years, however, appeared not <strong>de</strong>viate from those of the<br />

other years. Possibly, the fraction of marginal birds<br />

266<br />

which run a high risk of dying in periods of low temperatures<br />

<strong>and</strong>/or reduced daily consumption is too<br />

small to be <strong>de</strong>tected in the bird catches we ma<strong>de</strong>.<br />

Our general conclusion is that there are large local<br />

variations in the ftxxi supply harvestable to Oystercatcher.<br />

but that the Wad<strong>de</strong>n Sea. unless the mudflats<br />

are covered by ice. offers enough fcxxl for the birds.<br />

pro", ivied thai ihey either switch between prey species<br />

<strong>and</strong>/or between areas This is probably generally true<br />

for <strong>wa<strong>de</strong>rs</strong> in Wad<strong>de</strong>n Sea. since Zwarts & Drent<br />

(1981) <strong>and</strong> Zwarts et al. (1992) arrive at die same conclusion<br />

in <strong>their</strong> work on Oystercatchers on .Schiermonnikoog<br />

<strong>and</strong> Knot along the Frisian coast, respectively.<br />

Nonetheless, the increase of winter mortality at a lower<br />

<strong>food</strong> supply, suggests thai the winter remains a difficult<br />

period for the Oystercatcher. as also found by<br />

Camphuy sen ct al. (1996) who could show thai, over a<br />

long series of 27 years, more Oystercatchers beached<br />

when ihe <strong>food</strong> supply for Oystercatchers in the western<br />

part of the Wad<strong>de</strong>n Sea reached low levels<br />

(Beukema 1993a i.

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