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nearly suit the requirements of borrowers during<br />
such times. Links are established between factor<br />
and product markets to enable repayments to be<br />
made using a variety of vehicles-such as exchange<br />
labor, grain, etc. Formal credit agencies<br />
could profit by providing more flexibility in<br />
repayment terms through integration of credit<br />
services with factor markets more explicitly.<br />
Effect of "Green Revolution" in W h e a t on<br />
Pulse and Nutrient Production in India<br />
High-yielding varieties of wheat were introduced<br />
into India in the mid-1960's, and their effect on<br />
the production of pulses and major nutrients has<br />
been evaluated by ICR1SAT. Linear trend lines<br />
were fitted to data from the six major wheatgrowing<br />
states of India for the 10-year period<br />
preceding 1964-1965, and separately for the<br />
subsequent 10-year period. The states were Punjab,<br />
Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Rajasthan,<br />
and Madhya Pradesh. It is apparent that 22<br />
percent of the expansion in wheat hectarage<br />
which occurred in the latter period could be<br />
accounted for by reductions in the area sown to<br />
pulses, particularly chickpeas. Eight percent of<br />
the expansion in wheat came at the expense of<br />
winter rice and barley. The vast majority of the<br />
growth in area sown to wheat in the six states was<br />
due to increases in cropping intensities resulting<br />
from the HYVs and the expansion in irrigation,<br />
and an increase in net sown areas.<br />
Total annual trend food-grain production in<br />
1974-1975 in the six states would have been 13.4<br />
percent less, had HYVs of wheat not been<br />
introduced. This takes into account the reduction<br />
in production of pulses, winter rice, and<br />
barley, as well as the increased wheat production.<br />
The following percentage reductions would have<br />
occurred in total annual 1974-1975 production<br />
of various nutrients: protein, 10.0; energy, 13.5;<br />
methionine and cystine, 15.5; tryptophan, 11.3;<br />
leucine, 5.9; and isoieucine, 2.0.<br />
Per-caput production of food grains and the<br />
above nutrients would also have been less had<br />
HYVs of wheat not been introduced. Generally,<br />
the per-caput reductions would amount to between<br />
1 to 2 percentage points less than the above<br />
figures. Total lysine production would have been<br />
about 6.4 percent more had HYVs not been<br />
introduced. Calories, rather than protein or<br />
amino acids, seem to be the first limiting nutrient<br />
in the diets of most Indians (including those in<br />
the least affluent socioeconomic categories). Vitamin<br />
A and vitamin B complex, calcium, copper,<br />
iron, and zinc follow. The small reduction in<br />
lysine is hence an acceptable price to pay for the<br />
substantial increases in production of food<br />
grains, energy, and protein resulting from use of<br />
the HYVs. When the record production year of<br />
1975-1976 is compared with projected pre-green<br />
revolution trends, the production of all nutrients,<br />
including lysine, shows a substantial increase<br />
over what would have occurred had pre-green<br />
revolution conditions continued. The percentage<br />
increases in 1975-1976 nutrient production as a<br />
result of the green revolution are estimated to be<br />
as follows: protein, 20.1; energy, 21.9; lysine, 6.9;<br />
methionine and cystine, 20.9; tryptophan, 32.5;<br />
leucine, 16.2; and isoieucine, 12.1.<br />
Even though the prices of chickpea relative to<br />
wheat have risen since 1964-1965, the real prices<br />
of protein and energy from both sources has<br />
substantially fallen. For chickpea, the real prices<br />
of protein and energy have fallen more than 20<br />
percent between 1964-1965 and 1974-1975. For<br />
wheat the reduction has been more than 33<br />
percent. Every hectare of 1974-1975 wheat<br />
which substitutes for a hectare of chickpea also<br />
adds a further 55 kg of protein and 2527000<br />
kilocalories of energy to what the chickpea<br />
would have produced.<br />
Hence, it is clear that the net nutritional<br />
impact of the new HYVs of wheat introduced in<br />
the mid-1960's in India was both positive and<br />
substantial. The success of these wheats clearly<br />
illustrates how a plant-breeding strategy which<br />
emphasizes increased yield potential can result in<br />
significant improvements in aggregate nutritional<br />
well-being.<br />
Breeding strategies which emphasize yield and<br />
yield stability offer the best prospects for improving<br />
nutritional well-being of the least nutritionally<br />
and economically affluent groups in<br />
the SAT. Increased yields and production of<br />
food grains has a direct impact on prices and real<br />
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