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RA 00015.pdf - OAR@ICRISAT

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nearly suit the requirements of borrowers during<br />

such times. Links are established between factor<br />

and product markets to enable repayments to be<br />

made using a variety of vehicles-such as exchange<br />

labor, grain, etc. Formal credit agencies<br />

could profit by providing more flexibility in<br />

repayment terms through integration of credit<br />

services with factor markets more explicitly.<br />

Effect of "Green Revolution" in W h e a t on<br />

Pulse and Nutrient Production in India<br />

High-yielding varieties of wheat were introduced<br />

into India in the mid-1960's, and their effect on<br />

the production of pulses and major nutrients has<br />

been evaluated by ICR1SAT. Linear trend lines<br />

were fitted to data from the six major wheatgrowing<br />

states of India for the 10-year period<br />

preceding 1964-1965, and separately for the<br />

subsequent 10-year period. The states were Punjab,<br />

Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Rajasthan,<br />

and Madhya Pradesh. It is apparent that 22<br />

percent of the expansion in wheat hectarage<br />

which occurred in the latter period could be<br />

accounted for by reductions in the area sown to<br />

pulses, particularly chickpeas. Eight percent of<br />

the expansion in wheat came at the expense of<br />

winter rice and barley. The vast majority of the<br />

growth in area sown to wheat in the six states was<br />

due to increases in cropping intensities resulting<br />

from the HYVs and the expansion in irrigation,<br />

and an increase in net sown areas.<br />

Total annual trend food-grain production in<br />

1974-1975 in the six states would have been 13.4<br />

percent less, had HYVs of wheat not been<br />

introduced. This takes into account the reduction<br />

in production of pulses, winter rice, and<br />

barley, as well as the increased wheat production.<br />

The following percentage reductions would have<br />

occurred in total annual 1974-1975 production<br />

of various nutrients: protein, 10.0; energy, 13.5;<br />

methionine and cystine, 15.5; tryptophan, 11.3;<br />

leucine, 5.9; and isoieucine, 2.0.<br />

Per-caput production of food grains and the<br />

above nutrients would also have been less had<br />

HYVs of wheat not been introduced. Generally,<br />

the per-caput reductions would amount to between<br />

1 to 2 percentage points less than the above<br />

figures. Total lysine production would have been<br />

about 6.4 percent more had HYVs not been<br />

introduced. Calories, rather than protein or<br />

amino acids, seem to be the first limiting nutrient<br />

in the diets of most Indians (including those in<br />

the least affluent socioeconomic categories). Vitamin<br />

A and vitamin B complex, calcium, copper,<br />

iron, and zinc follow. The small reduction in<br />

lysine is hence an acceptable price to pay for the<br />

substantial increases in production of food<br />

grains, energy, and protein resulting from use of<br />

the HYVs. When the record production year of<br />

1975-1976 is compared with projected pre-green<br />

revolution trends, the production of all nutrients,<br />

including lysine, shows a substantial increase<br />

over what would have occurred had pre-green<br />

revolution conditions continued. The percentage<br />

increases in 1975-1976 nutrient production as a<br />

result of the green revolution are estimated to be<br />

as follows: protein, 20.1; energy, 21.9; lysine, 6.9;<br />

methionine and cystine, 20.9; tryptophan, 32.5;<br />

leucine, 16.2; and isoieucine, 12.1.<br />

Even though the prices of chickpea relative to<br />

wheat have risen since 1964-1965, the real prices<br />

of protein and energy from both sources has<br />

substantially fallen. For chickpea, the real prices<br />

of protein and energy have fallen more than 20<br />

percent between 1964-1965 and 1974-1975. For<br />

wheat the reduction has been more than 33<br />

percent. Every hectare of 1974-1975 wheat<br />

which substitutes for a hectare of chickpea also<br />

adds a further 55 kg of protein and 2527000<br />

kilocalories of energy to what the chickpea<br />

would have produced.<br />

Hence, it is clear that the net nutritional<br />

impact of the new HYVs of wheat introduced in<br />

the mid-1960's in India was both positive and<br />

substantial. The success of these wheats clearly<br />

illustrates how a plant-breeding strategy which<br />

emphasizes increased yield potential can result in<br />

significant improvements in aggregate nutritional<br />

well-being.<br />

Breeding strategies which emphasize yield and<br />

yield stability offer the best prospects for improving<br />

nutritional well-being of the least nutritionally<br />

and economically affluent groups in<br />

the SAT. Increased yields and production of<br />

food grains has a direct impact on prices and real<br />

210

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