RA 00015.pdf - OAR@ICRISAT

150
140
130
C h i c k p e a s
120
110
G r o u n d n u t s
100
9 0
8 0
Rice
M i l l e t s
S o r g h u m
7 0
W h e a t
6 0
0
1 9 6 9 - 7 0 7 0 - 7 1 7 1 - 7 2 7 2 - 7 3 7 3 - 7 4 7 4 - 7 5
Y e a r
Figure 94.
Index of market arrivals of major food grains in selected regulated markets.
2000. Some 60 percent will be for human
consumption.
Comparing the projected annual compound
growth rates of demand for coarse grains, using
World Food Council data, with past annual
trend growth rates of sorghum and millet production
from 1964 to 1974, a picture of excessdemand
imbalance emerges for the LDCs (Table
77). Demand for coarse grains in the LDCs is
estimated to grow 3.23 percent per year while,
historically, production of sorghum and millet
has grown by only 2.13 percent. The past production
growth rate in LDCs of the SAT has
been even less than this -2.11 percent per year.
The picture for the developed countries shows an
excess-supply position emerging, with an annual
demand growth of 2.14 percent and past production
increasing at 3.48 percent. Hence the
projected future overall world supply-demand
balance for coarse grains seems favorable. If
trade flows permit the excess production in the
developed countries to move to the graindeficient
LDCs, then their position will be
improved.
About 80 percent of the world's sorghum area
(Sorghum vulgare, S. Sudanese, and S. almum) is
located in LDCs of the SAT, but the production
from this area represents only 60 percent of the
world's total output. Since 1964 the area devoted
to sorghum by these countries has increased by
235 000 hectares per year, but the increase has
mainly been in Africa (south of the Sahara),
Mexico, and South and Central America. In SAT
Asia, the sorghum area has declined and yield
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