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RA 00015.pdf - OAR@ICRISAT

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incomes of the least-affluent groups, who spend a<br />

large amount of their incomes on food grains.<br />

Increased real income will enable them to purchase<br />

additional food grains and hence improve<br />

their nutrition. If yield potentials of cereals,<br />

pulses, oilseeds, and other crops could all be<br />

substantially increased, nutritional improvements<br />

will follow as these all have complementary<br />

nutritional compositions. It is not necessary<br />

that any one of the grains have a "balanced<br />

content" of all nutrients — which is the underlying<br />

premise of cryptic quality breeding programs.<br />

People eat more than one food item each<br />

day. Making available additional quantities<br />

of all foods is the appropriate nutritional<br />

strategy. Nutrition education can help<br />

ensure that the correct mix is consumed. It is<br />

unreasonable to expect any one grain to provide<br />

a balanced diet.<br />

M a r k e t i n g Economics<br />

Table 76 shows that the official estimates of<br />

sorghum arrivals in Indian assembly markets as<br />

a proportion of 1972-1973 production are<br />

around 14 percent. For chickpea they are around<br />

26 percent. Increases in production in subsequent<br />

years, together with relaxation of interstate<br />

and intrastate trade restrictions, leads us<br />

to believe market arrivals may have increased.<br />

ICRISAT's "educated guesstimate" of current<br />

market arrivals for sorghum and millets is<br />

around 15 to 20 percent, while for chickpea and<br />

pigeonpea it is between 35 and 40 percent.<br />

Chickpea has shown a strong upward trend in<br />

arrivals at regulated markets since 1969-1970<br />

(Fig 94). Arrivals of rice and groundnuts have<br />

been relatively steady, while wheat, millets, and<br />

sorghum showed increases between 1969-1970<br />

and 1972-1973, followed by downward trends.<br />

World Sorghum and Millet Trends<br />

World demand for coarse grains in the year 2000<br />

is estimated by the World Food Council to be<br />

double or more the demand experienced in 1970.<br />

About one-fifth will be for direct human consumption<br />

and four-fifths will be fed to animals.<br />

In the LDCs (less-developed countries), demand<br />

for coarse grains is expected to triple by the year<br />

Market Surpluses of Food Grains<br />

Access to markets provides a primary incentive<br />

for farmers to adjust farm organization and<br />

cropping patterns to capitalize on the comparative<br />

regional advantages in production of various<br />

enterprises. A study of the research literature and<br />

published data on market participation by Indian<br />

food-grain producers showed that the bulk<br />

of production does not reach formal market<br />

channels. The proportion of production which<br />

reaches the market varies across regions, crops,<br />

and years. Two factors seem to consistently<br />

influence household marketed surplus (production<br />

minus quantities retained for consumption).<br />

Generally the larger the farm production of food<br />

grains, the larger the amount of marketed surplus.<br />

On the other hand, as family size increases,<br />

the amount of farm food grain marketed tends to<br />

fall.<br />

Table 76. Market arrivals (as a proportion of<br />

production) of wheat, rice, sorghum,<br />

and chickpea from villages to assembly<br />

markets.<br />

Year Wheat Rice Sorghum Chickpea<br />

(%)<br />

1960-61 20 NA a NA NA<br />

1966-67<br />

1967-68<br />

20<br />

24<br />

NA<br />

N A<br />

NA<br />

NA<br />

NA<br />

NA<br />

1968-69 29 22 13 27<br />

1970-71 31 26 13 27<br />

1972-73 31 24 14 26<br />

1974-75 25 b 24 b 1 b 35 b<br />

1976-77 30 b 25 b 17 b 37 b<br />

Source: Indian Agriculture in Brief, 9th, 10th, 12th, 13th,<br />

and 14th editions. Directorate of Economics and<br />

Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture, Government of<br />

India.<br />

a Data not available.<br />

b ICRISAT estimates.<br />

211

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