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literacy for life; EFA global monitoring report, 2006 - Institut de ...

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<strong>EFA</strong> PROGRESS: WHERE DO WE STAND? / 47<br />

Out-of-primary-school children<br />

Despite the continuing increase in enrolment in<br />

primary education, about 100 million children of<br />

primary school age were not enrolled in primary<br />

school in 2002 (Table 2.4), though the number has<br />

<strong>de</strong>creased by nearly 7 million since 1998. Some<br />

55% of the world’s out-of-primary-school children<br />

are girls, down from 58% in 1998. Sub-Saharan<br />

Africa, and South and West Asia together account<br />

<strong>for</strong> 70% of the <strong>global</strong> total. Nineteen countries<br />

have more than 1 million out-of-primary-school<br />

children, including ten in sub-Saharan Africa<br />

(where countries with relatively small populations,<br />

such as Burkina Faso, Mali or the Niger, thus face<br />

a huge challenge) and the largest three South<br />

Asian countries (India, Pakistan and Bangla<strong>de</strong>sh).<br />

These figures slightly overstate the actual<br />

number of out-of-school children, however, as<br />

they inclu<strong>de</strong> children enrolled at levels other than<br />

primary. As Box 2.2 explains, work is un<strong>de</strong>r way<br />

to improve these statistics.<br />

Internal efficiency of the primary<br />

school system<br />

Gra<strong>de</strong> repetition<br />

Once enrolled, most children should progress<br />

regularly through the gra<strong>de</strong>s, provi<strong>de</strong>d they have<br />

access to schools of good quality. The inci<strong>de</strong>nce<br />

of gra<strong>de</strong> repetition can thus be interpreted as a<br />

proxy <strong>for</strong> school quality and stu<strong>de</strong>nt achievement,<br />

although repetition <strong>de</strong>pends heavily on promotion<br />

policies that make it very context-specific. There<br />

is much <strong>de</strong>bate about the pedagogical usefulness<br />

of repeating a gra<strong>de</strong>. Some countries<br />

automatically promote pupils from one gra<strong>de</strong> to<br />

another, while others apply strict promotion rules<br />

based on achievement, as the 2005 Report<br />

showed. That being said, the inci<strong>de</strong>nce of gra<strong>de</strong><br />

repetition <strong>de</strong>serves examination, and reducing<br />

it is a policy priority in many national education<br />

plans. The percentage of repeaters in primary<br />

education was below 3% in 2002 in a majority<br />

of countries <strong>for</strong> which data are available (see<br />

statistical annex, Table 6). However, the<br />

percentages are much higher – above 15% –<br />

in more than half the countries of sub-Saharan<br />

Africa, peaking at 34% in Gabon and 40% in<br />

Equatorial Guinea. Proportions of repeaters close<br />

to or above 20% are found in Brazil, Guatemala,<br />

the Lao People’s Democratic Republic,<br />

Mauritania, Morocco and Nepal.<br />

Initiatives to reduce gra<strong>de</strong> repetition have been<br />

taken in several countries. For example, Burkina<br />

Faso, Mali and the Niger have attempted to bring<br />

Box 2.2<br />

How many children are out of school?<br />

The number of out-of-school children is probably the most wi<strong>de</strong>ly cited<br />

education statistic, yet it is difficult to compute accurately. The numbers<br />

in Table 2.4, <strong>for</strong> instance, represent all children of primary school age who<br />

are not enrolled in primary schools, whether actually out of the school system<br />

or enrolled at other levels. There<strong>for</strong>e, they are overestimates.<br />

The UNESCO <strong>Institut</strong>e <strong>for</strong> Statistics (UIS) and UNICEF have been working<br />

together to improve the estimation of the out-of-school figures:<br />

On the basis of administrative data, the UIS has estimated that, in 2002,<br />

0.8% of all children of primary-school age were enrolled in pre-primary<br />

schools, and 2.3% in secondary schools. A first step, then, is to stop<br />

including children of primary school age who are actually enrolled in<br />

secondary schools, thus reducing the <strong>global</strong> figure to 85.5 million in 2002.<br />

Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, a lack of reliable data prevents a similar exclusion of<br />

children enrolled in pre-primary schools.<br />

Administrative data will be supplemented wherever possible with<br />

household survey data, which may be more accurate as far as actual<br />

attendance (as opposed to enrolment, measured by the number of children<br />

registered at the beginning of the school year) is concerned. However,<br />

unlike administrative sources, nationally representative household surveys<br />

providing cross-comparable education data are not available annually.<br />

This raises a challenge in generating the time-series data nee<strong>de</strong>d to<br />

monitor progress towards UPE.<br />

the percentage of repeaters down to 10% by<br />

creating three subcycles within the primary<br />

education cycle, disallowing repetition within<br />

each subcycle and restricting it between them<br />

(Damiba, 2005b). Only the Niger succee<strong>de</strong>d in<br />

reaching the target, though, reducing the<br />

percentage of repeaters from 12.2% in 1998 to<br />

7.3% in 2002. The <strong>de</strong>crease in Burkina Faso was<br />

mo<strong>de</strong>rate (from 17.7% to 15.1%), while in Mali<br />

the share of repeaters in total enrolment actually<br />

rose (from 17.4% to 19.8%), suggesting that the<br />

new rules were not effectively implemented.<br />

Retention<br />

Retention of children until the last gra<strong>de</strong> of<br />

primary school is another major challenge <strong>for</strong><br />

education policy. In about one-third of countries<br />

<strong>for</strong> which data are available <strong>for</strong> 2001, less than<br />

two-thirds of a cohort of pupils who had had<br />

access to primary school reached the last gra<strong>de</strong>.<br />

Such low survival rates to the last gra<strong>de</strong> of<br />

primary education are found in nearly 70% of<br />

sub-Saharan African countries, as well as in<br />

Bangla<strong>de</strong>sh, Cambodia, India, the Lao People’s<br />

Democratic Republic, Nepal, Papua New Guinea<br />

and a few countries of Latin America and the<br />

Caribbean. The lowest rate is Malawi’s (22%).<br />

Retention of<br />

children until<br />

the last gra<strong>de</strong><br />

of primary school<br />

is a major<br />

challenge<br />

<strong>for</strong> education<br />

policy

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