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85<br />

Present climate simulations (1982-2003) of precipitation and surface<br />

temperature using the RegCM3, RSM, and WRF<br />

Yoo-Bin Yhang, Kyo-Sun Lim, E-Hyung Park and Song-You Hong, ybyhang@yonsei.ac.kr<br />

1. Introduction<br />

Interannual variations of precipitation and surface air<br />

temperature are integral parts of the climate system, where<br />

remote controls by planetary circulation and global surface<br />

anomalies act together with local influences by regional<br />

mesoscale surface characteristics. These two broad factors<br />

(remote and local) can be distinguished by using a regional<br />

climate model (RCM), in which planetary signals are<br />

integrated through lateral boundary conditions while<br />

mesoscale impacts are internally resolved (e.g., Giorgi et al.,<br />

1993; Liang et al., 2001). Given the inadequacies of general<br />

circulation models (GCMs) to simulate regional climate<br />

variability, the RCM downscaling has become a powerful<br />

alterative and is widely applied in studies of seasonalinterannual<br />

climate prediction and future climate change<br />

projection.<br />

It is imperative that any RCM must be rigorously validated<br />

in reproducing historical observations, including both mean<br />

climate and temporal variability, before credible application<br />

for climate change projection. In the published literature,<br />

numerous studies have demonstrated the RCM skill<br />

enhancement for downscaling regional characteristics,<br />

especially of precipitation and surface air temperature,<br />

focusing on mean climate (long-term averaged) biases such<br />

as in the annual cycles (Pan et al., 2001; Roads et al., 2003).<br />

In this study, three different RCMs, the Weather Research<br />

and Forecasting model (WRF), National Centers for the<br />

Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Regional Spectral Model<br />

(Juang et al., 1997), and Regional Climate Model version 3<br />

(RegCM3, Pal et al., 2007), are chosen to examine<br />

downscaling skill. The downscaling sckills of RCMs are<br />

compared with the driving reanalysis, against observation of<br />

interannual variations of precipitation and surface<br />

temperature during 1982-2003 over East Asia. This is<br />

facilitated by using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and<br />

correlation analyses.<br />

2. Model and experimental design<br />

Three regional climate models used in this study are the<br />

RSM, WRF, and RegCM3. The RSM is a primitive equation<br />

model using the sigma-vertical coordinate. The model<br />

includes parameterizations of surface, boundary layer (BL),<br />

and moist processes that account for the physical exchanges<br />

between the land surface, the boundary layer, and the free<br />

atmosphere. The RegCM3 is a primitive equation,<br />

compressible, sigma-vertical coordinate, and limited area<br />

model of which the dynamical core is based on the<br />

hydrostatic version of the fifth-generation Penn State<br />

University-National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU-<br />

NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5; Grell et al. 1994). The<br />

Advanced Research WRF (ARW; Skamarock et al. 2005) is<br />

a community model suitable for both research and<br />

forecasting.<br />

Three-month-long simulations for the summer season (June-<br />

July-August; JJA) were performed for 22 years from 1982 to<br />

2003. The model grids consist of 109 (west-east) by 86<br />

(north-south) grid lines at 60 km horizontal separation with<br />

the polar stereographic map projection. The model<br />

configurations used for each model are summarized in Table<br />

1. The simulations are performed with reanalyses-derived<br />

boundary forcing.<br />

RegCM3 RSM WRF<br />

vertical σ-23 layers σ-28 layers σ-28 layers<br />

levels<br />

dynamics hydrostatic hydrostatic nonhydrostatic<br />

numerics finite<br />

difference<br />

spectral<br />

computation<br />

finite<br />

difference<br />

CPS<br />

Grell<br />

SAS 2005 Kain-Fritsch<br />

(Byun and Hong, (Kain and Fritsch,<br />

(Grell, 1993)<br />

2007)<br />

1993)<br />

PBL<br />

LSM<br />

RAD<br />

Holtslag<br />

(Holtslag ,1990)<br />

BATS<br />

(Dickinson et al.,<br />

1986)<br />

CCM3<br />

(Kiehl, 1998)<br />

YSUPBL<br />

(Hong et al., 2006)<br />

OSU<br />

(Mahrt and Pan,<br />

1984)<br />

GSFC<br />

(Chou and Suarez,<br />

1999)<br />

YSUPBL<br />

(Hong et al., 2006)<br />

Noah<br />

(Chen and Dudhia,<br />

2001)<br />

simple cloudinteractive<br />

(Dudhia, 1989),<br />

RRTM<br />

(Mlawer et al.,<br />

1997)<br />

3. Dominant interannual variation patterns<br />

Figure 1. The first EOF mode and corresponding<br />

principal component of surface temperature.<br />

Figure 1 shows the first EOF mode of summer<br />

temperature and the corresponding principal component<br />

(PC) reanalysis data and simulated by the RegCM3, RSM,<br />

and WRF, where summer is defined as the average of JJA.<br />

The first dominant mode of the reanalysis explains 36% of<br />

the total variance in the model domain, which is<br />

characterized by positive values over the whole domain.

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