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88<br />

of the simulations due to the difference of the initial<br />

conditions. The dark bars in Figure 2 show the results from<br />

the simple vertical interpolation (P2S), whereas the white<br />

bars indicate the incremental interpolation (INC). The<br />

incremental interpolation significantly improves regional<br />

simulation for nearly all ranges of pressure levels with the<br />

exception of precipitation in 17L, 9L, and 3L. The<br />

performance of the 7L results became very similar to that of<br />

17L without the incremental interpolation (P2S-17L), and<br />

even 3L produced a reasonably good regional simulation<br />

compared to P2S-17L. Therefore, from a practical point of<br />

view, approximately 5 pressure levels will be sufficient to<br />

obtain reasonably accurate regional simulations. We should<br />

note that the improvement is more apparent for 2-meter<br />

temperature and 10-meter winds. Reasonable improvement<br />

is also seen in precipitation.<br />

resolution. Integration was done for one year (year of 2047<br />

in A1B scenario, according to MIROC experiment) with<br />

identical initial conditions.<br />

Figure 3 shows monthly precipitation distributions<br />

and their difference from CTL. Due to less vertical<br />

information given by the forcing data, more precipitation<br />

is simulated over the Central Valleys in COA, whereas the<br />

wet condition is fixed in INC, even though exactly same<br />

amount of information has been used. As shown in Figure<br />

4, this is mainly due to more surface convergence<br />

simulated in COA.<br />

Total Precipitation<br />

*Precipitation intensified<br />

over central valley.<br />

improved<br />

Figure 3. Monthly precipitation from 10-km<br />

regional dynamical downscaling of MIROC’s global<br />

future projection results. Upper panels show<br />

monthly distribution and lower panels show<br />

difference from the control (CTL).<br />

Surface Wind field<br />

Figure 2. Ensemble means of area averaged RMS<br />

between CTL and experiments with different numbers<br />

of vertical levels used as forcings are shown for 2-<br />

meter air temperature (a), 10-meter wind speed (b) and<br />

precipitation (c).<br />

4. Application to Regional Future Projection<br />

Though highly expected, few of IPCC/WCRP’s CMIP3<br />

simulation results can be directly used as lateral boundary<br />

condition for dynamical downscaling study because these<br />

data are archived with small number of vertical levels and<br />

scarce temporal interval (at most daily). We therefore<br />

investigated the impact of small number of vertical levels<br />

and longer intervals of forcing data, particularly focused on<br />

a purpose of the regional future projection. Japanese T106<br />

MIROC simulation results are used, and all 23-level data are<br />

used as lateral boundary for the control regional integration<br />

(CTL). Similarly to the previous section, we applied the<br />

simple vertical interpolation from coarse vertical data<br />

(COA) and the incremental interpolation (INC) from the<br />

lowest 9 levels (up to 200 hPa). In this experiment, we used<br />

the ECPC RSM, but for a domain covering western U.S.A.<br />

and Mexico and vicinity oceans in 10 km horizontal<br />

*Virtual convergence<br />

leads more precipitation<br />

improved<br />

and cooling.<br />

Figure 4. Same as Figure 3, but for surface wind<br />

fields.<br />

References<br />

Yoshimura, K. and M. Kanamitsu, Specification of<br />

external forcing for regional model integrations, Mon.<br />

Wea. Rev., 2009. (in print)<br />

Kanamaru, H. and M. Kanamitsu, Scale-selective bias<br />

correction in a downscaling of global analysis using a<br />

regional model, Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 334–350, 2006.

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