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33<br />

Sensitivity of the simulated East Asian summer climatology to convective<br />

schemes using the NCEP regional spectral model<br />

Hyun-Suk Kang 1 , Song-You Hong 2 , and Won-Tae Kwon 1<br />

1 Climate Research Laboratory, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Korea Meteorological Administration<br />

2 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University. 1 Email: hyunsuk@kma.go.kr<br />

1. Introduction<br />

The representation of subgrid-scale precipitation process is<br />

known as the cumulus parameterization. Several cumulus<br />

parameterization schemes (CPSs) are available for regional<br />

and global atmospheric models; however, they do not<br />

explicitly resolve the convective clouds. Therefore, the CPS<br />

has been considered as one of the most challenging and<br />

uncertain aspects in numerical atmospheric modeling.<br />

Different CPSs have distinct design history; in some cases,<br />

these schemes have completely different conceptual underprintings.<br />

In this context, the objective of this study is to<br />

examine the sensitivity of the simulated East Asian summer<br />

monsoon’s (EASM) climatology to the four CPSs within the<br />

National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)<br />

Regional Spectral Model (RSM) (Juang and Kanamitsu,<br />

1994; Juang et al., 1997). The RSM is capable of<br />

reproducing the EASM in 1987 and 1988 (Hong et al., 1999).<br />

In addition, Hong and Choi (2006) investigated the<br />

sensitivity of the 1997 and 1998 EASM to three CPSs with<br />

the RSM; however, a study on the sensitivity of the longterm<br />

climatology of the EASM to physical processes has<br />

been rarely conducted.<br />

2. Model and Experiments<br />

The spectral representation of the RSM is a two-dimensional<br />

cosine series for perturbations of pressure, divergence,<br />

temperature, and mixing ratio, and a sine series for vorticity.<br />

Linear computations such as horizontal diffusion and semiimplicit<br />

adjustment are only considered as perturbations,<br />

which eliminates the error due to the re-evaluation of linear<br />

forcing from base fields by the regional model. The physical<br />

processes in the RSM follow the package of Hong and<br />

Leetmaa (1999).<br />

The model grids consist of 109 (west-east) by 86 (northsouth)<br />

grid lines at approximately 60 km horizontal<br />

separation, and 28 sigma layers in vertical separation. Initial<br />

conditions and large-scale forcing are obtained from the 6<br />

hourly NCEP-DOE reanalysis (R-2) data (Kanamitsu et al.,<br />

2002). Observed sea surface temperature (SST) is updated<br />

daily from the optimal interpolation SST (OISST) weekly<br />

dataset. The three-month-long simulations were conducted<br />

starting on June the 1st for ten years from 1997 to 2006.<br />

Four different CPSs - SAS, RAS, CCM, and KF2 schemes -<br />

were used to study the sensitivity of the EASM to cumulus<br />

effects. By and large, the four CPSs exhibit unique features.<br />

The SAS scheme has been operational in the NCEP global<br />

forecast system. Thus, its performance has been evaluated<br />

for weather systems all over the world, whereas the RAS<br />

outperforms the SAS in reproducing the climate signal in<br />

response to the SST anomalies over the tropics. The CCM<br />

and KF2 schemes have been successfully applied to climate<br />

and mesoscale modeling studies, respectively, using the<br />

NCAR CCM and MM5 models. Hence, it would be<br />

interesting to clarify the characteristics of the four CPSs in<br />

the simulation of summer monsoonal rainfall over East Asia.<br />

3. Results<br />

3.1 Large-scale Circulations<br />

The 10-year averaged JJA precipitation of the GPCP data<br />

represents monsoonal rain bands extending northeastward<br />

from southern China to the southern part of the Korean<br />

peninsula and Japan (Fig. 1a). In association with the<br />

monsoonal rain band, the southerly and/or southwesterly<br />

low-level jet (LLJ) transports significant moisture from<br />

southern China and the South China Sea across Korea to<br />

Japan, along the western periphery of a subtropical high<br />

over the northwestern Pacific (Fig. 1b). The climatology<br />

of the upper atmospheric circulation provides favorable<br />

dynamic circulation for the monsoon precipitation in the<br />

upper level with an anticyclonic (divergent) circulation<br />

above the monsoonal front (Fig. 1c, d).<br />

Figure 1. The analyzed 10-year JJA climatology averaged<br />

over 1997-2006 for (a) precipitation (mm), (b) 850 hPa<br />

winds and relative humidity (> 70%), (c) 500 hPa<br />

geopotential height and temperature, and (d) 200 hPa<br />

geopotential height and winds.<br />

Overall, the RSM successfully reproduces the large-scale<br />

patterns, regardless of the selected CPS. The PC<br />

coefficients reveal relatively less skill in the simulation of<br />

the lower-level fields. The LLJ transporting warm and<br />

moist air from the south to the heavy rainfall region is one<br />

of the principle components, which is captured by all<br />

experiments, but with a certain systematic biases. A<br />

common wet bias appears in northwestern part of the<br />

model domain, and a dry bias in its south. Compared to<br />

the results from other schemes, dryness is pronounced in<br />

the CCM run, particularly, over southern China and the<br />

ocean. In the CCM run the humidity bias is the largest, but<br />

temperature bias is the smallest. The deviations in the 500<br />

hPa geopotential height (GPH) also show similar error<br />

patterns for SAS, RAS, and KF2 runs, which reveal a<br />

decrease in height along a continental trough, indicating<br />

an exaggerated trough to the west of the Korean peninsula.

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