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X Predicting water resources in West Africa for 2050 Harouna Karambiri, S. Garcia, H. Adamou, L. Decroix, A. Mariko, S. Sambou and E. Vissin ............................................................................................................................ 198 Evaluation of European snow cover as simulated by an ensemble of regional climate models Sven Kotlarski, Daniel Lüthi and Christoph Schär .................................................................. 199 Projections of the eastern Mediterranean climate change simulated in a transient RCM experiment with RegCM3 Simon Krichak, Pinhas Alpert and Pavel Kunin...................................................................... 201 Atmospheric river induced heavy precipitation and flooding in the NARCCAP simulations Lai-Yung Ruby Leung and Yun Qian...................................................................................... 203 Intra-seasonal evolution of the West African monsoon: Results from multiple RCM simulations Neil MacKellar, Philippe Lucas-Picher, Jens H. Christensen and Ole B. Christensen............ 204 CLARIS Project: Towards climate downscaling in South America using RCA3 Claudio G. Menéndez, Anna Sörensson, Patrick Samuelsson, Ulrika Willén, Ulf Hansson, Manuel de Castro and Jean-Philippe Boulanger ...................................................................... 205 Influence of soil moisture initialization on regional climate model simulations of the West African monsoon Wilfran Moufouma-Okia and Dave Rowell............................................................................. 207 Projection of the changes in the future extremes over Japan using a cloud-resolving model (JMA-NHM): Model verification and first results Masuo Nakano, S. Kanada, M. Nakamura, S. Hayashi, T. Kato, H. Sasaki, T. Uchiyama, K. Aranami, Y. Honda, K. Kurihara and A. Kitoh................................................................... 209 Regional climate model studies in CEOP: The Inter-Continental Transferability Study (ICTS) Burkhardt Rockel, Beate Geyer, William J. Gutowski Jr., C.G. Jones, Z. Kodhavala, I. Meinke, D. Paquin and A. Zadra .......................................................................................... 211 ENSEMBLES regional climate model simulations for Western Africa (the “AMMA” region) Markku Rummukainen, Filippo Giorgi and the ENSEMBLES RT3 participants................... 213 Assessing the performance of seasonal snow in the NARCCAP RCMs – An analyses for the upper Colorado river basin Nadine Salzmann and Linda Mearns ....................................................................................... 215 Applying the Rossby Centre regional climate model (RCA3.5) over the ENSEMBLES- AMMA region: Sensitivity studies and future scenarios Patrick Samuelsson, Ulrika Willén, Erik Kjellström and Colin Jones..................................... 217
XI Interactions between European shelves and the Atlantic simulated with a coupled regional atmosphere-ocean-biogeochemistry model Dmitry V. Sein, Joachim Segschneider, Uwe Mikolajewicz and Ernst Maier-Reimer ........... 219 ALADIN-Climate/CZ simulation of the 21 st century climate in the Czech Republic for the A1B emission scenario Petr Skalak, Petr Stepanek and Ales Farda .............................................................................. 221 Overview of the research project of multi-model ensembles and down-scaling methods for assessment of climate change impact, supported by MoE Japan Izuru Takayabu......................................................................................................................... 222 Simulation of Asian monsoon climate by RMIP Models Shuyu Wang, Jinming Feng, Zhe Xiong and Congbing Fu ..................................................... 224 Session 6: The Future of RCMs Use of regional climate models in regional attribution studies Christopher J. Anderson, William J. Gutowski, Jr., Martin P. Hoerling and Xiaowei Quan.................................................................................................................... 227 Wave estimations using winds from RCA, the Rossby regional climate model Barry Broman and Ekaterini E. Kriezi ..................................................................................... 229 Development of a Regional Arctic Climate System Model (RACM) John Cassano, Wieslaw Maslowski, William Gutowski and Dennis Lettenmeier ................. 230 Regional climate simulation with mosaic GCMs Michel Déqué ........................................................................................................................... 232 A coupled regional climate model as a tool for understanding and improving feedback processes in Arctic climate simulations Wolfgang Dorn, Klaus Dethloff and Annette Rinke ............................................................... 233 Arctic regional coupled downscaling of recent and possible future climates Ralf Döscher, T. Königk, K. Wyser, H. E. Markus Meier and P. Pemberton ......................... 235 A regionally coupled atmosphere-ocean and sea ice model of the Arctic Ksenia Glushak, Dmitry Sein and Uwe Mikolajewicz ............................................................ 236 Convection-resolving regional climate modelling and extreme event statistics for recent and future summer climate Christoph Knote, Günther Heinemann and Burkhardt Rockel ................................................ 237 Numerical modelling of trace species cycles in regional climate model systems Baerbel Langmann ................................................................................................................... 238
Page 1: 2 nd International Lund RCM Worksho
Page 5 and 6: Associated Organisations ENSEMBLES
Page 7: Preface This Second Lund Regional-s
Page 10 and 11: II High-resolution dynamical downsc
Page 12 and 13: IV Investigation of added value at
Page 14 and 15: VI Soil organic layer: Implications
Page 16 and 17: VIII Session 4: Regional Observatio
Page 20 and 21: XII The impact of atmospheric therm
Page 22 and 23: XIV Observation and simulation with
Page 24 and 25: XVI Favot F .......................
Page 26 and 27: XVIII Ruoho-Airola T...............
Page 28 and 29: 2 5. Influence of SN on the Ensembl
Page 30 and 31: 4 (+/- 5 days) were used to increas
Page 32 and 33: 6 Dynamical downscaling: Assessment
Page 34 and 35: 8 Improvement of long-term integrat
Page 36 and 37: 10 air temperature annual cycle (Fi
Page 38 and 39: 12 Sensitivity study of CRCM-simula
Page 40 and 41: 14 Regional precipitation anomalies
Page 42 and 43: 16 Assessment of precipitation as s
Page 44 and 45: 18 The Asian summer monsoon in ERA4
Page 46 and 47: 20 Added value of limited area mode
Page 48 and 49: 22 Sensitivity of CRCM basin annual
Page 50 and 51: 24 High-resolution dynamical downsc
Page 52 and 53: 26 There is nevertheless a large ag
Page 54 and 55: 28 technique, as it is based on the
Page 56 and 57: 30 4. Heating mechanism In order to
Page 58 and 59: 32 The geographical distribution of
Page 60 and 61: 34 The CCM scheme reveals a distinc
Page 62 and 63: 36 Performance of pattern scaling i
Page 64 and 65: 38 Evaluation of the analyzed large
Page 66 and 67: 40 Sensitivity studies with a stati
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42 5SL, the results suggest that 5S
Page 70 and 71:
44 are however occasional episodes
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46 this season, as well as the high
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48 Figure 1. Precipitation rate (mm
Page 76 and 77:
50 References Biau. G., E. Zorita,
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52 Investigation of regional climat
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54 Selected examples of the added v
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56 The climate change in Europe sim
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58 Simulation of South Asian summer
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7.5 8.5 9.5 10.5 60 For the climato
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62 precipitation field was more clo
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64 3. Results Fig. 2 shows the anal
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66 Is the position of the model dom
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68 question E. Finally a 10-member
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Figure 2. Same as in Fig.1 but for
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72 Will, A., M. Baldauf, B. Rockel,
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74 ( ) with i = 1,K,n; j = 1,K,m;
Page 102 and 103:
76 Investigation of precipitation o
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78 Impacts of the spectral nudging
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80 Extremes and predictability in t
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82 Large-scale skill in regional cl
Page 110 and 111:
84 Figure 3: As Figure 1 but for Wi
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86 The models capture this pattern
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88 of the simulations due to the di
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91 Examining the relative roles con
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93 Dynamical coupling of the HIRHAM
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95 A parameterization of aircraft i
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97 Stratospheric variability and it
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99 Effects of numerical methods on
Page 127 and 128:
101 Development of a climate model
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103 Study of the capability of the
Page 131 and 132:
105 Evaluation of the land surface
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107 Simulation of the precipitation
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109 Climate simulations over North
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111 Soil organic layer: Implication
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113 4. Results The method how to do
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115 Figure 1. Observed (a) and simu
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117 Evaluation of the Rossby Centre
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119 Simulating aerosols in the regi
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121 Moisture availability and the r
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123 Temperature and precipitation s
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125 4. Preliminary results for down
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127 a) Knutson, T.R., J.J. Sirutis,
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129 Effects of variations in climat
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131 3.2. Precipitation The ensemble
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133 knowledge is essential to asses
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135 pronounced biases in the simula
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137 variability was concentrated at
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139 Investigation of ‘Hurricane K
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141 Evaluation of seasonal forecast
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143 NASH J. E., SUTCLIFFE J. V., 19
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145 Climate change assessment over
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147 For relative operating characte
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149 responsible for the excessive s
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151 and 30km). Domains D1 (90 and 6
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153 can be seen in Fig. 2, where th
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155 High-resolution simulation of a
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157 MesoClim - A mesoscale alpine c
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159 Observed and modeled extremes i
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161 analyzed the surface wind behav
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163 summer particularly in the Paci
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165 since 01.01.2004. For the Meteo
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167 Wind, m/s 12 10 8 6 4 2 Vilsand
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169 heterogeneity. For example, lar
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171 Analysis of surface air tempera
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173 Environmental database and the
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Climate change and water pollution
Page 203 and 204:
177 During summer, winds over the M
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179 followed nearly the correct pat
Page 207 and 208:
181 Verification of simulated near
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183 The North American Regional Cli
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185 An atmosphere-ocean regional cl
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187 different rainfall characterist
Page 215 and 216:
189 with increasing temperature. Mo
Page 217 and 218:
191 Inter-comparison of Asian monso
Page 219 and 220:
193 On the validation of RCMs in te
Page 221 and 222:
195 AMMA-Model Intercomparison Proj
Page 223 and 224:
197 parameterization are used in th
Page 225 and 226:
199 Evaluation of European snow cov
Page 227 and 228:
201 Projections of eastern Mediterr
Page 229 and 230:
203 Atmospheric river induced heavy
Page 231 and 232:
205 CLARIS project: Towards climate
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207 Influence of soil moisture init
Page 235 and 236:
209 Projection of the Changes in th
Page 237 and 238:
211 Regional climate model studies
Page 239 and 240:
213 ENSEMBLES regional climate mode
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215 Assessing the performance of se
Page 243 and 244:
217 Applying the Rossby Centre Regi
Page 245 and 246:
219 Interactions between European s
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221 ALADIN-Climate/CZ simulation of
Page 249 and 250:
223 experiment of recreating the pr
Page 251 and 252:
225 Figure 2. the 10-year averaged
Page 253 and 254:
227 Use of regional climate models
Page 255 and 256:
229 Wave estimations using winds fr
Page 257 and 258:
231 Figure 1. Model domain for the
Page 259 and 260:
233 A coupled regional climate mode
Page 261 and 262:
235 Arctic regional coupled downsca
Page 263 and 264:
237 Convection-resolving regional c
Page 265 and 266:
239 4. Outlook Currently a coupled
Page 267 and 268:
241 distribution within the Netherl
Page 269 and 270:
243 Very high-resolution regional c
Page 271 and 272:
245 Impact of convective parameteri
Page 273 and 274:
247 Development of a regional ocean
Page 275 and 276:
249 Regional climate change impact
Page 277 and 278:
251 River runoff projection of futu
Page 279 and 280:
253 Application of regional-scale c
Page 281 and 282:
255 Local air mass dependence of ex
Page 283 and 284:
257 Impact of vegetation on the sim
Page 285 and 286:
259 Climate change impacts on the w
Page 287 and 288:
261 Influence of soil moisture-near
Page 289 and 290:
263 Forest damage in a changing cli
Page 291 and 292:
265 Future challenges for regional
Page 293 and 294:
267 Linking climate factors and ada
Page 295 and 296:
269 GCMs. In the end of the 21 st c
Page 297 and 298:
271 Climate change impacts on extre
Page 299 and 300:
273 Winter storms with high loss po
Page 301 and 302:
275 The impact of land use change a
Page 303 and 304:
277 6. Analysis of Results (Rain) T
Page 305 and 306:
279 (a) (b) Figure 3. Impact of veg
Page 307 and 308:
281 that cold (Fig. 5). Winter temp
Page 309 and 310:
283 Streamflow in the upper Mississ
Page 311 and 312:
285 Dynamical downscaling of urban
Page 313 and 314:
287 Souma, K., K. Tanaka, E. Nakaki
Page 315 and 316:
289 In April 2000, the fire emissio
Page 317 and 318:
291 Impacts of vegetation on global
Page 321 and 322:
International BALTEX Secretariat Pu
Page 323:
No. 34: BALTEX Phase II 2003 - 2012
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