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285<br />
Dynamical downscaling of urban climate using CReSiBUC with inclusion of<br />
detailed land surface parameters<br />
Kenji Tanaka 1 , Kazuyoshi Souma 2 , Takahiro Fujii 1 and Makoto Yamauchi 1<br />
1 WRRC, DPRI, Kyoto University, Gokasho Uji, 611-0011, Japan, E-mail: tanaka@wrcs.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp<br />
2 IPRC, SOEST, University of Hawaii, 1680 East West Road, POST Bldg., 4th Floor, Honolulu, HI 96822 U.S.A.<br />
1. Introduction<br />
Recently, a sense of impending crisis for the global warming<br />
came to be realized, and the social needs for the concrete<br />
description of future climate has been increasing. Regional<br />
climate model (RCM) might be indispensable on predicting<br />
detailed characteristics of climate change. Although RCMs<br />
have accomplished remarkable development in recent years,<br />
the requirement from user side on the resolution and the<br />
accuracy has been increasing more and more. Thus, there is<br />
still a gap between precision realized by models and that<br />
required from users.<br />
The research project of S-5-3 "Multi-model ensemble and<br />
downscaling for global warming impact assessment study"<br />
is an ongoing project under the global environment research<br />
fund of Japanese Ministry of Environment. The final goal of<br />
S-5-3 is to provide the detailed and reliable future climate<br />
scenario around Japan for climate change impact assessment<br />
community. Since most of populations are concentrated in<br />
the city area, concrete description of future urban climate is<br />
an important issue. In this study, dynamical downscaling is<br />
performed by the non-hydrostatic meteorological model<br />
CReSiBUC (Moteki et al., 2005) to include the effect of<br />
urban area as realistically as possible.<br />
processes are calculated with empirical constant values of<br />
albedo, evaporation efficiency, and roughness for<br />
simplifying calculations. To the contrary, the SiBUC<br />
calculates budgets of radiation, heat, water, and<br />
momentum while changing parameters for the surface<br />
condition. For example, for an urban area in the SiBUC,<br />
irregularity associated with buildings is considered on the<br />
basis of the urban canyon concept. As shown in Figure 2,<br />
roof height distribution in one model grid cell can be<br />
directly incorporated as geometrical information of urban<br />
area. Additionally, the SiBUC adopts a "mosaic"<br />
approach. In case that a horizontal grid of the CReSS is<br />
including a number of various land use categories, values<br />
on each category are calculated and a value averaged for<br />
these is returned to the CReSS. This mosaic scheme is an<br />
effective facility especially for the domain where multiple<br />
artificial landuse categories of urban, paddy, etc. are<br />
mixed as like Japan.<br />
story<br />
Roof height distribution<br />
1.0<br />
Example for r(1)=0.6, r(2)=0.3, r(3)=0.1<br />
0.6 0.3 0.1<br />
CReSiBUC<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
r(1) r(2) r(3)<br />
fraction<br />
Figure 2. Roof height distribution in urban canopy.<br />
CReSS<br />
Cloud Resolving<br />
Storm Simulator<br />
SiBUC<br />
Simple Biosphere including<br />
Urban Canopy<br />
Figure 1. Coupled model of CReSS and SiBUC.<br />
2. CReSiBUC<br />
Figure 1 shows a schematic image of a coupling of the nonhydrostatic<br />
meteorological model CReSS (Cloud Resolving<br />
Storm Simulator) and the precise land surface model SiBUC<br />
(Simple Biosphere model including Urban Canopy). The<br />
CReSS is a non-hydrostatic meteorological model developed<br />
in Hydrospheric Atmospheric Research Center, Nagoya<br />
University (Tsuboki and Sakakibara, 2002). The CReSS has<br />
a high calculation efficiency that satisfies a condition to use<br />
the "Earth Simulator," which is one of the fastest super<br />
computers in the world. The SiBUC is a land surface<br />
processes model developed in Water Resources Research<br />
Center, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto<br />
University (Tanaka, 2004). The SiBUC calculates surface<br />
fluxes and related hydrological quantities considering<br />
detailed processes. In the normal CReSS, the land surface<br />
3. Land Surface Parameters<br />
Various kind of land surface information must be prepared<br />
to enable the realistic setting of land surface condition. As<br />
for landuse and soil type, 100m resolution datasets are<br />
provided from National and Regional Planning Bureau in<br />
MLIT (http://nlftp.mlit.go.jp/ksj/). SPOT VEGETATION<br />
Products (http://free.vgt.vito.be) are utilized for timevarying<br />
vegetation parameters in 1km resolution.<br />
Tokyo Metropolitan Governmental Office has established<br />
the precise GIS database of urban geometrical information.<br />
Figure 3 is an example of building floor number dataset<br />
for Shinjuku area (about 5km x 5km area). As seen from<br />
this figure, this is a vector data of individual buildings.<br />
This information is converted into roof height distribution<br />
in each model grid. Owing to this kind of precise<br />
information, spatial distribution and its typical diurnal<br />
cycle of anthropogenic heat can be estimated following the<br />
method of Senoo et al.(2004). Figure 4 shows the spatial<br />
distribution of anthropogenic heat around Tokyo at 12JST.<br />
4. Initial and Boundary Conditions<br />
In this S-5-3 project, dynamical downscaling of urban<br />
climate is executed only for the summer season (July and<br />
August). Then, initial condition of land surface state<br />
variables (especially soil wetness) is a big issue when<br />
accounting for the effect of the inter-annual variability<br />
(wet summer & dry summer). Although there are<br />
numerous surface weather observation sites in Japan, few<br />
observe the state of the land surface. We have developed a