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229<br />

Wave estimations using winds from RCA, the Rossby regional climate<br />

model<br />

Barry Broman 1 and Ekaterini.E. Kriezi 2<br />

1 Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Rossby Centre, Norrköping, Sweden; Barry.Broman@smhi.se<br />

2 Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Göteborg, Sweden; Ekaterini.Kriezi@smhi.se<br />

1. Introduction<br />

Waves have now been used in the projections of the climate.<br />

The model SWAN running with winds from the Rossby<br />

Regional Climate Atmospheric model, (RCA). The first<br />

results of this were presented at the International<br />

Symposium US/EU-Baltic 2008 in Tallinn.<br />

2. Future Wave Climate<br />

Hind casts of waves were made with winds from RCA.<br />

When the results were compared to measurements they were<br />

to low. The reason is that the winds in RCA are too week<br />

due to among other thing averaging over the grid cell. In<br />

order to get better results a method were used to “correct”<br />

the winds by using both winds and gusts. This was a great<br />

improvement but more work is needed. In maps and graphs<br />

the comparisons will be given. Below in figure 1 you se an<br />

example of the climate effect on winds after taking the<br />

difference between a reference period and a future<br />

projection.<br />

Figure 1. example of results with the SWAN model<br />

(significant wave heights ): differences in percentiles<br />

between control period and future projection<br />

3. Future plans<br />

The plan is to use results from a coming coupled run<br />

between RCA, the atmospheric model and RCO the<br />

oceanographic model. These will give both winds and ice<br />

which is needed in order to make estimation of eventually<br />

changing wave climate in the Baltic<br />

References<br />

Booij, N., Ris, R.C., Holthuijsen, L.H., 1999. A thirdgeneration<br />

wave model for coastal regions, 1. Model<br />

description and validation. J. Geophys. Res. 104 (C4),<br />

7649–7666.<br />

Broman B, 2007. Estimation of the wave climate for the<br />

Baltic Sea. Poster, Baltic Science Conference, Rostock<br />

2007.<br />

Broman, B., Hammarklint T., Soomere T., Valdmann A.,<br />

2006, Trends and extremes of wave fields in the northeastern<br />

part of the Baltic Proper"<br />

,OCEANOLOGICA,48,2006 pp 165-184.<br />

Davis F. and Newstein H. 1968. The variation of Gust<br />

Factors with Mean wind Speed and with Height.<br />

Journal of Applied Meteorology, Jume 1968, volume<br />

7, 372-378<br />

Gill G.C. 1969. Comments on “The variation of Gust<br />

Factors with<br />

Mean wind Speed and with Height”. Journal of Applied<br />

Meteorology, Notes and correspondence, february<br />

1969, 167<br />

Grabemann I. and Weisse R. 2007 Climate changes<br />

Impact on Extreme Wave conditions in the Noth Sea:<br />

An Esemble Study. Ocean Dynamics, Submitted<br />

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Willén U. and Wyser K., 2005. A 140-year simulation<br />

European climate with new version of the Rossby<br />

Centre regional atmospheric climate model (RCA3),<br />

SMHI, Reports Meteorology and climatology 108<br />

Jönsson A., Broman B., and Rahm L., 2003. Variations in<br />

the Baltic Sea wave fields. Ocean Engineering,<br />

Volume 30, Issue 1, January 2003, 107-126<br />

Nerheim S. 2008. Growing demands for downscaling of<br />

climate<br />

information – examples from predictions of future sea<br />

levels. US/EUBaltic2008<br />

International Symposium, Tallinn Estonia, 27-29 May<br />

2008<br />

Ris, R. C. 1997: Spectral modelling of wind waves in<br />

coastal areas. PhD Thesis, Delft University of<br />

Technology, Delft, Netherlands.<br />

Räisänsen J, Hansson U, Ullerstig A., Döscher R., Graham<br />

L.P., Jones C., Meier M., Samuelsson R., Willén U.,<br />

2003. GCM driven simulations of recent and future<br />

climate with the Rossby Centre coupled Atmospheric<br />

– Baltic Sea regional climate model RCAO. SMHI,<br />

Reports Meteorology and climatology 101<br />

Van der Westhuysen, A.J., M. Zijlema and J.A. Battjes,<br />

2007.<br />

Nonlinear saturation-based whitecapping dissipation in<br />

SWAN for deep and shallow water. Coastal<br />

Engineering, 54, 151-170.<br />

Ekrietsi E. and Broman B. Past and future wave climate in<br />

the Baltic Sea produced by SWAN model with forcing<br />

from the regional climate model RCA of the Rossby<br />

Centre. US/EU-Baltic 2008, Tallinn may 27 -29 2008.

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