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Scientific Committee Raymond Arritt, Iowa State University, USA Lars Bärring, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute and Lund University, Sweden Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark Ole Bøssing Christensen, Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark Michel Déqué, Météo-France, France Congbin Fu, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Filippo Giorgi, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Italy Richard Jones, Met Office, U.K. Jack Katzfey, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia Rupa Kumar Kolli, World Meteorological Organization, Switzerland René Laprise, Université du Québec à Montréal, Canada Markus Meier, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute and Stockholm University, Sweden Claudio Menendez, Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera, Argentina Roger Pielke Sr., University of Colorado, USA Burkhardt Rockel, GKSS Research Centre, Germany Markku Rummukainen, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden Benjamin Smith, Lund University, Sweden Hans von Storch, GKSS Research Centre and University of Hamburg, Germany Organising Committee Lars Bärring, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute and Lund University, Sweden Ole Bøssing Christensen, Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark Hans-Jörg Isemer, International BALTEX Secretariat, GKSS Research Centre, Germany Anna Maria Jönsson, Lund University, Sweden Marcus Reckermann, International BALTEX Secretariat, GKSS Research Centre, Germany Burkhardt Rockel, GKSS Research Centre, Germany
Preface This Second Lund Regional-scale Climate Modelling Workshop is a follow-up to the first regionalscale climate modelling workshop 1 held in Lund, Sweden in 2004. The overall theme of the first workshop was “High-resolution climate modelling: Assessment, added value and applications.” Now, five years later, it is again time to take stock of the scientific progress in the wide range of topics that regional climate modelling spans. These range from theoretical understanding and parameterisation of meso-scale and regional processes in the atmosphere/ocean/land surface/biosphere system, numerical methods and links between regional climate modelling and global climate/earth system models as well as numerical weather prediction models, evaluation of models using various observational datasets, model intercomparison and ensemble-based methods, production and utility of regional climate scenarios, and the application of regional climate modelling output for impact studies. This Second Lund Regional-scale Climate Modelling Workshop summarises developments and progress achieved in the last five years, discusses open issues and focuses on expected future challenges related to regional climate modelling. Thus, the overall theme for this workshop is 21st Century Challenges in Regional-scale Climate Modelling. The interest in this workshop was overwhelming. We received over 170 paper contributions from scientists all over the world; a total of about 220 participants from 43 countries registered for the workshop. As time is a tight resource in a 5-day workshop, many high-quality papers which were originally intended as oral presentations had to be realigned as posters. Therefore it is our policy not to distinguish between oral and poster presentations in this proceedings volume. It contains abstracts of all papers presented at the workshop, ordered alphabetically within sessions. Half a day of the workshop is dedicated to group and breakout sessions, some of which are open. The workshop is organised by the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Lund University, the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) and GKSS-Forschungszentrum Geesthacht GmbH (GKSS), with support by the International BALTEX Secretariat. The scientific committee was responsible for preparing the workshop content and the scientific programme, while practical and logistic arrangements were managed by the organising committee (see preceding page). We are grateful for a generous endorsement by the following organisations: the World Meteorological Organization (WMO); the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP); the WCRP Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX); the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF); the ENSEMBLES project co-financed by EU FP-6; the North American Regional Climate Change Program (NARCCAP); the Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (Formas); the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (Swedish EPA); and the GEWEX-CEOP Regional Hydroclimate Project BALTEX (Baltic Sea Experiment). This workshop brings together scientists from a wide range of disciplines that share a common interest in regional climate models. We hope that the interdisciplinary programme and the truly international group of participants will stimulate the exchange of views and discussions, and provide a fertile ground for future research directions and new collaborations. April 2009 Burkhardt Rockel, Lars Bärring, and Marcus Reckermann Editors 1 http://www.nateko.lu.se/Elibrary/LeRPG/5/LeRPG5Article.pdf
Page 1: 2 nd International Lund RCM Worksho
Page 5: Associated Organisations ENSEMBLES
Page 10 and 11: II High-resolution dynamical downsc
Page 12 and 13: IV Investigation of added value at
Page 14 and 15: VI Soil organic layer: Implications
Page 16 and 17: VIII Session 4: Regional Observatio
Page 18 and 19: X Predicting water resources in Wes
Page 20 and 21: XII The impact of atmospheric therm
Page 22 and 23: XIV Observation and simulation with
Page 24 and 25: XVI Favot F .......................
Page 26 and 27: XVIII Ruoho-Airola T...............
Page 28 and 29: 2 5. Influence of SN on the Ensembl
Page 30 and 31: 4 (+/- 5 days) were used to increas
Page 32 and 33: 6 Dynamical downscaling: Assessment
Page 34 and 35: 8 Improvement of long-term integrat
Page 36 and 37: 10 air temperature annual cycle (Fi
Page 38 and 39: 12 Sensitivity study of CRCM-simula
Page 40 and 41: 14 Regional precipitation anomalies
Page 42 and 43: 16 Assessment of precipitation as s
Page 44 and 45: 18 The Asian summer monsoon in ERA4
Page 46 and 47: 20 Added value of limited area mode
Page 48 and 49: 22 Sensitivity of CRCM basin annual
Page 50 and 51: 24 High-resolution dynamical downsc
Page 52 and 53: 26 There is nevertheless a large ag
Page 54 and 55: 28 technique, as it is based on the
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30 4. Heating mechanism In order to
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32 The geographical distribution of
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34 The CCM scheme reveals a distinc
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36 Performance of pattern scaling i
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38 Evaluation of the analyzed large
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40 Sensitivity studies with a stati
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42 5SL, the results suggest that 5S
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44 are however occasional episodes
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46 this season, as well as the high
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48 Figure 1. Precipitation rate (mm
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50 References Biau. G., E. Zorita,
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52 Investigation of regional climat
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54 Selected examples of the added v
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56 The climate change in Europe sim
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58 Simulation of South Asian summer
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7.5 8.5 9.5 10.5 60 For the climato
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62 precipitation field was more clo
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64 3. Results Fig. 2 shows the anal
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66 Is the position of the model dom
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68 question E. Finally a 10-member
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Figure 2. Same as in Fig.1 but for
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72 Will, A., M. Baldauf, B. Rockel,
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74 ( ) with i = 1,K,n; j = 1,K,m;
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76 Investigation of precipitation o
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78 Impacts of the spectral nudging
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80 Extremes and predictability in t
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82 Large-scale skill in regional cl
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84 Figure 3: As Figure 1 but for Wi
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86 The models capture this pattern
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88 of the simulations due to the di
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91 Examining the relative roles con
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93 Dynamical coupling of the HIRHAM
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95 A parameterization of aircraft i
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97 Stratospheric variability and it
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99 Effects of numerical methods on
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101 Development of a climate model
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103 Study of the capability of the
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105 Evaluation of the land surface
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107 Simulation of the precipitation
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109 Climate simulations over North
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111 Soil organic layer: Implication
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113 4. Results The method how to do
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115 Figure 1. Observed (a) and simu
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117 Evaluation of the Rossby Centre
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119 Simulating aerosols in the regi
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121 Moisture availability and the r
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123 Temperature and precipitation s
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125 4. Preliminary results for down
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127 a) Knutson, T.R., J.J. Sirutis,
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129 Effects of variations in climat
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131 3.2. Precipitation The ensemble
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133 knowledge is essential to asses
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135 pronounced biases in the simula
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137 variability was concentrated at
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139 Investigation of ‘Hurricane K
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141 Evaluation of seasonal forecast
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143 NASH J. E., SUTCLIFFE J. V., 19
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145 Climate change assessment over
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147 For relative operating characte
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149 responsible for the excessive s
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151 and 30km). Domains D1 (90 and 6
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153 can be seen in Fig. 2, where th
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155 High-resolution simulation of a
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157 MesoClim - A mesoscale alpine c
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159 Observed and modeled extremes i
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161 analyzed the surface wind behav
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163 summer particularly in the Paci
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165 since 01.01.2004. For the Meteo
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167 Wind, m/s 12 10 8 6 4 2 Vilsand
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169 heterogeneity. For example, lar
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171 Analysis of surface air tempera
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173 Environmental database and the
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Climate change and water pollution
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177 During summer, winds over the M
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179 followed nearly the correct pat
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181 Verification of simulated near
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183 The North American Regional Cli
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185 An atmosphere-ocean regional cl
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187 different rainfall characterist
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189 with increasing temperature. Mo
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191 Inter-comparison of Asian monso
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193 On the validation of RCMs in te
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195 AMMA-Model Intercomparison Proj
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197 parameterization are used in th
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199 Evaluation of European snow cov
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201 Projections of eastern Mediterr
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203 Atmospheric river induced heavy
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205 CLARIS project: Towards climate
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207 Influence of soil moisture init
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209 Projection of the Changes in th
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211 Regional climate model studies
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213 ENSEMBLES regional climate mode
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215 Assessing the performance of se
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217 Applying the Rossby Centre Regi
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219 Interactions between European s
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221 ALADIN-Climate/CZ simulation of
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223 experiment of recreating the pr
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225 Figure 2. the 10-year averaged
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227 Use of regional climate models
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229 Wave estimations using winds fr
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231 Figure 1. Model domain for the
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233 A coupled regional climate mode
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235 Arctic regional coupled downsca
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237 Convection-resolving regional c
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239 4. Outlook Currently a coupled
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241 distribution within the Netherl
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243 Very high-resolution regional c
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245 Impact of convective parameteri
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247 Development of a regional ocean
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249 Regional climate change impact
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251 River runoff projection of futu
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253 Application of regional-scale c
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255 Local air mass dependence of ex
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257 Impact of vegetation on the sim
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259 Climate change impacts on the w
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261 Influence of soil moisture-near
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263 Forest damage in a changing cli
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265 Future challenges for regional
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267 Linking climate factors and ada
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269 GCMs. In the end of the 21 st c
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271 Climate change impacts on extre
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273 Winter storms with high loss po
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275 The impact of land use change a
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277 6. Analysis of Results (Rain) T
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279 (a) (b) Figure 3. Impact of veg
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281 that cold (Fig. 5). Winter temp
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283 Streamflow in the upper Mississ
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285 Dynamical downscaling of urban
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287 Souma, K., K. Tanaka, E. Nakaki
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289 In April 2000, the fire emissio
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291 Impacts of vegetation on global
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International BALTEX Secretariat Pu
Page 323:
No. 34: BALTEX Phase II 2003 - 2012
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