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experiment of recreating the present climate was done. In
addition to this, at University of Tsukuba (Kusaka et al.,
2008), a pseudo global warming experiment was done by
using the result of the MIROC-HI model as the boundary
and they succeeded in showing the future increase in the
temperature in the Tokyo metropolitan district as shown in
figure 5.
(a)
(b)
Fig. 4: Frequency histogram of the daily total precipitation
(a) and dayly mean temperature (b). Black dots: AWS
observation, blue line: MRI-NHM original value, green line:
Corrected the total value, red: corrected also the frequency.
The value of one prefecture in Japan is displayed (Tanaka,
2009, personal communication).
Fig. 5: The temperature increase of August to 2070, by
using TERC-RAMS model nested into the MIROC AO-
GCM by using PGWM. The map is around the metropolitan
area of Japan (Kusaka et al., 2008)
We also apply statistical downscaling method to get the
finer structure up to 1km grid, in the rural area. We try to
get the projection data accurate enough to drive the impact
model of both hydrology and agriculture.
4. The response to the present results
This is the report mainly about the comments made in the
meeting for the advisory report base on remarks by those
who represent various institutions. The prediction
information with specific names of different places gave a
strong impact to media representatives. As far as the
regional climate model is concerned, assessment was
conducted in each prefecture respectively and the method
of evaluating warming of the climate in each prefecture
was presented, to which many people took a strong
interest. And when using the urban model, we were able
to produce an almost pinpointing prediction result, which
gave a very strong impression on many people. We think
that this resulted from the method in which we presented
it, but it seemed to give a good impression.
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the Global Environment
Research Fund (S-5-3) of the Ministry of the Environment,
Japan. We are deeply grateful to all the members
participating to this project.
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