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8<br />

Improvement of long-term integrations by increasing RCM domain size<br />

Sin Chan Chou, André Lyra, José Pesquero, Lincoln Alves, Gustavo Sueiro, Diego Chagas, José<br />

Marengo and Vladimir Djurdjevic<br />

National Institute for Space Research - INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brasil, 12630-000, chou@cptec.inpe.br<br />

1. Introduction<br />

Global models are used to generate climate change<br />

according to different future scenarios. However, these<br />

models have rather coarse resolution. The nesting of a<br />

Regional Climate Model (RCM) over the area of interest<br />

allows the reduction of grid size which is more desirable for<br />

impact studies. In addition, the climate generated from a<br />

regional model is strongly dependent on the lateral boundary<br />

conditions (LBC) and, consequently, on the domain size or<br />

the position of the LBCs (Xue et al. 2007).<br />

The objective of this work is to show the dependence of the<br />

tropical South America climate from a RCM on the choice<br />

of the position of the lateral boundary conditions.<br />

2. The models<br />

The driver model is the INGV-SXG coupled GCM (Gualdi<br />

et al 2003a,b) which uses ECHAM4 (Roeckner, 1996) as<br />

atmospheric component, OPA 8.2 (Madec et al, 1999) as<br />

ocean model and LIM as the sea ice model (Fichefet e<br />

Morales Maqueda, 1999). The atmospheric resolution is<br />

about T106L19.<br />

The RCM is the Eta Model (Black, 1994; Mesinger et al,<br />

1988; Janjic, 1994) configured with 40-km horizontal<br />

resolution and 38 vertical layers. The model has been used<br />

for weather and seasonal forecasts over South America<br />

(Chou et al, 2005) and was adapted to run long-term<br />

integrations (Pesquero et al, 2009).<br />

A continuous integration for the present climate period from<br />

1961-1990 was carried out, with the lateral boundary<br />

conditions provided at every 6 hours. The sea surface<br />

temperature was taken from monthly values produced by the<br />

AOGCM. The small domain was setup with 135x293x38<br />

points, with the boundaries positioned about 15 degrees<br />

outside the continent in the tropics, and the larger domain<br />

with 201x333x38 points, spanned additional 20 degrees in<br />

the east-west direction. In the second domain, the<br />

Intertropical Convergence Zone can produced by the RCM.<br />

2). The small domain nested run did not show this double<br />

structure, however, the ITCZ rain was very weak, and<br />

therefore rains over Amazon region and northern part of<br />

Northeast Brazil were underestimated. The larger domain<br />

run exhibited the ITCZ rain position more correctly and<br />

the rain amounts over Amazonia and northern part of<br />

Northeast of Brazil have increased. The precipitation in<br />

subtropical areas and southern parts of the continent was<br />

not clearly affected by the increase of the domain size.<br />

Similar results were found in other seasons of the year<br />

The large positive temperature bias occurred over<br />

Amazonia and northern part of Northeast Brazil in the run<br />

using small domain area. These errors may have been<br />

caused by the reduced amount of precipitation. These<br />

positive bias have reduced or changed sign in the larger<br />

domain run. Again, negligible temperature effects<br />

occurred in subtropical or higher latitudes.<br />

The annual cycle of precipitation over Amazonia region<br />

showed substantial improvement in the larger domain<br />

setup. The amounts during rainy months were more<br />

accurate and the peak occurred in the correct month.<br />

These results are independent of LBC schemes, as it has<br />

been shown by Veljovic (2009) that using another scheme<br />

(Davies, 1976) large scale structure is retained.<br />

Figure 1.<br />

Domains of the Eta Model.<br />

Figure 2. 1961-1990 DJF Eta precipitation<br />

(mm/d): small (lhs) and large (rhs) domains.<br />

4. Some Conclusions<br />

The Eta model improved the large scale tropical<br />

precipitation and temperatures by positioning the lateral<br />

boundaries away from the region of interest. Negligible<br />

effects could be noticed outside the tropics.<br />

3. Results<br />

During DJF, the austral summer, the major precipitation<br />

areas over South America continent occur in the Amazon,<br />

northern part of Northeast Brazil, central and southeastern<br />

parts of Brazil. These areas are associated with the<br />

Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), the South Atlantic<br />

Convergence Zone (SACZ) and frontal passages. The driver<br />

model produced the rain band associated to the ITCZ to the<br />

south of the observed position; a secondary band was<br />

positioned to the north suggesting a double structure (Figure<br />

References<br />

Chou, S.C., Bustamante, J., Gomes, J.L, Evaluation of Eta<br />

Model seasonal precipitation forecasts over South<br />

America. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, v.12,<br />

pp.537 – 555, 2005.<br />

Pesquero, J.F., Chou, S.C, Nobre, C.A, Marengo, J.A,<br />

Climate downscaling over South America for 1961-<br />

1970 using the Eta Model, Theoretical and Applied<br />

Climatology, 2009 DOI: 10.1007/s00704-009-0123-z.

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