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38<br />

Evaluation of the analyzed large-scale features in a global data assimilation<br />

system due to different convective parameterization scheme and their<br />

impact on downscaled climatology using a RCM<br />

Jung-Eun Kim and Song-You Hong<br />

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, japril@yonsei.ac.kr<br />

1. Introduction<br />

Despite the successful application of the RCMs to<br />

dynamical downscaling for climate change assessement and<br />

seasonal climate predictions, the regional predictability and<br />

the evaluation of added values to the GCM outputs are still<br />

not clarified. As reviewed by Giorgi et al. (2001), Leung et<br />

al. (2003), and Wang et al. (2004), the errors in the<br />

downscaled regional climate within a nested RCM result<br />

from the 1) uncertainties in the large-scale fields driven by<br />

GCM and the related unphysical treatment of the lateral<br />

boundary conditions, 2) inaccuracies in the physics and<br />

dynamics in the RCM, and 3) inconsistency between the<br />

regional and global models in dynamics and physics. The<br />

treatment of the lateral boundary conditions, the physics and<br />

dynamics in the RCM has significantly been improved by<br />

the RCM community. However, the first and fourth issues<br />

are still open to the questions.<br />

The skill of an RCM in dynamical downscaling applications<br />

is highly dependent upon the skill of the driving GCM.<br />

However, substantial differences among several reanalysis<br />

datasets, in particular, in the lower-atmospheric circulations<br />

and water vapor flux, lead to another complexity in<br />

improving the RCM (Annamalai et al. 1999). The<br />

consistency between the GCM and RCM is even difficulty<br />

issue to explore since the physics package between the two<br />

models is usually not consistent. These two issues are rather<br />

clear in future development of the RCM, but the uncertainty<br />

due to the inconsistency in the internal forcing due to<br />

physical parameterizations has to be explored to clarify the<br />

RCM’s predictability. Our study aims to explore the impact<br />

on the regional downscaling embedded within large-scale<br />

climate information due to different convective<br />

parameterization scheme<br />

2. Experimental Design<br />

The predicted large-scale features are obtained by the<br />

perfect large-scale experiments runs (GDAS) that are forced<br />

by an analyzed data. The National Centers for<br />

Environmental Prediction (NCEP) regional spectral model<br />

(RSM) is used in this study for downscaling. A detailed<br />

model description is provided by Juang et al. (1997). To<br />

discuss the uncertainty due to the inconsistency of different<br />

cumulus convective parameterization scheme, two<br />

sensitivity experiments are conducted; the simplified<br />

Arakawa-Schubert (SAS; Hong and Pan 1998) and<br />

community-climate model (CCM; Zhang and McPhalane<br />

1995) schemes. The summer of 2004 was selected in this<br />

study, which recorded a near-normal seasonal precipitation<br />

in East Asia (Fig.1a).<br />

3. Result<br />

Figures 1b and 1c show the JJA precipitation from the CCM<br />

and SAS experiments in GDAS, respectively. It is seen that<br />

both runs reproduce the observed precipitation well. Over<br />

land, the local maxima in central China, Korea, and southern<br />

Japan, are commonly captured, irrespective of the<br />

convection scheme in the GDAS. Oceanic precipitation<br />

over the sub-tropics is fairly well simulated. Precipitation<br />

in Mongolia and Siberia is excessive when the CCM<br />

scheme is used in the GDAS run. The pattern correlation<br />

of JJA precipitation is 0.52 and 0.70, for CCM and SAS<br />

experiments, respectively.<br />

(b) Gccm<br />

(a) GPCP<br />

(c) Gsas<br />

Figure 1. (a) Observed JJA accumulated rainfall<br />

from GPCP and the simulated precipitation (mm)<br />

from (b) CCM and (c) SAS runs in GDAS.<br />

(a) Gc_Rc<br />

(c) Gs_Rc<br />

(b) Gc_Rs<br />

(d) Gs_Rs<br />

Figure 2. Simulated 3-month (JJA) accumulated<br />

precipitation (mm) from RCM experiments forced<br />

by GDAS.<br />

Figure 2 shows that the distribution pattern of downscaled<br />

precipitation using the RCM depends more on the<br />

convection scheme in the RCM, rather than that used in<br />

the mother-domain experiments. An excessive<br />

precipitation over the southern China and East China Sea<br />

regions is commonly observed when the CCM scheme in

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