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218<br />

5. Future climate<br />

We will compare the simulated climate in the 20 th century to<br />

observational climatologies. Focus is on evaluating the<br />

ability of the combination HadCM3-RCA3 to simulate<br />

aspects of the atmospheric circulation in the area and the<br />

associated rainfall patterns and their seasonal migration. In a<br />

next step it will be illustrated how these aspects change in a<br />

changing climate and to what degree the regional climate<br />

model alters the signal given by the global model.<br />

6. Acknowledgements<br />

This work is part of the ENSEMBLES project funded by the<br />

EC through contract GOCE-CT-2003-505539. The Hadley<br />

Centre is acknowledged for providing boundary data. The<br />

model simulations with RCA3 were performed on the<br />

climate computing resource Tornado funded with a grant<br />

from the Knut and Alice Wallenberg foundation.<br />

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