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VIII Session 4: Regional Observational Data and Reanalysis High-resolution simulation of a windstorm event to assess sampling characteristics of windstorm measures based on observations Lars Bärring, Włodzimierz Pawlak, Krzysztof Fortuniak and Ulf Andrae.............................. 155 MesoClim – A mesoscale alpine climatology using VERA-reanalyses Benedikt Bica, Stefan Sperka and Reinhold Steinacker .......................................................... 157 Observed and modeled extremes indices in the CECILIA project Ole B. Christensen, Fredrik Boberg, Martin Hirschi, Sonia Seneviratne and Petr Stepanek .. 159 Dynamical downscaling of surface wind circulations over complex terrain Pedro A. Jiménez, J. Fidel González-Rouco, Juan P. Montávez, E. García-Bustamante and J. Navarro .......................................................................................................................... 160 JP10: 59-year 10 km dynamical downscaling of reanalysis over Japan Hideki Kanamaru, Kei Yoshimura, Wataru Ohfuchi, Kozo Ninomiya and Masao Kanamitsu .............................................................................................................. 162 Satellite-based datasets for validation of regional climate models: The CM-SAF product suite and new possibilities for processing with 'climate data operators' Frank Kaspar, J. Schulz, P. Fuchs, R. Hollmann, M. Schröder, R. Müller, K.-G. Karlsson, R. Roebeling, A. Riihelä, B. de Paepe, R. Stöckli and U. Schulzweida ................................. 164 Reflection of shifts in upper-air wind regime in surface meteorological parameters in Estonia during recent decades Sirje Keevallik and Tarmo Soomere ........................................................................................ 166 Regional features of recent climate change in Europe: The aggregated index approach Valeriy Khokhlov and Lyndmila G. Latysh............................................................................. 168 Hindcasting Europe’s climate – A user perspective Thomas Klein ........................................................................................................................... 170 Analysis of surface air temperatures over Ireland from re-analysis Data and observational Data Priscilla A. Mooney, Frank J. Mulligan and Rowan Fealy...................................................... 171 Environment database and the Geographic Information System for socio-economic planning Olakunle Francis Omidiora and Balogun Ahmed .................................................................... 173 The AMMA field campaign and its potential for model validation Jan Polcher and the AMMA partners....................................................................................... 174 Climate change and water pollution interactions in the Republic of Belarus Veranika Selitskaya and Alena Kamarouskaya ....................................................................... 175 Current-climate downscaling of winds and precipitation for the eastern Mediterranean Scott Swerdlin, Thomas Warner, Andrea Hahmann, Dorita Rostkier-Edelstein and Yubao Liu.......................................................................................................................... 176
IX Current climate downscaling at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Thomas Warner, Scott Swerdlin, Yubao Liu and Daran Rife.................................................. 178 Session 5: Results from Large Projects Verification of simulated near surface wind speeds by a multi model ensemble with focus on coastal regions Ivonne Anders, Hans von Storch and Burkhardt Rockel ......................................................... 181 The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP): Status and results Raymond W. Arritt................................................................................................................... 183 MRED: Multi-RCM ensemble downscaling of global seasonal forecasts Raymond W. Arritt................................................................................................................... 184 An atmosphere-ocean regional climate model for the Mediterranean area: Present climate and XXI scenario simulations V. Artale, S. Calmanti, A. Carillo, A. Dell’Aquila, M. Herrmann, G. Pisacane, PM Ruti, G. Sannino, MV Struglia, F. Giorgi, X. Bi, J.S. Pal and S. Rauscher ..................................... 185 Regional climate modelling in Morocco within the project IMPETUS Westafrica Kai Born, H. Paeth, K. Piecha, and A. H. Fink........................................................................ 186 Will future summer time temperatures go berserk? Jens H. Christensen, Fredrik Boberg, Philippe Lucas-Picher and Ole B. Christensen ............ 188 An atmosphere-ocean coupled model for the Mediterranean climate simulation Alberto Elizalde, Daniela Jacob and Uwe Mikolajewicz......................................................... 190 Inter-comparison of Asian monsoon simulated by RCMs in Phase II of RMIP for Asia Jinming Feng, Congbin Fu, Shuyu Wang, Jianping Tang, D. Lee, Y. Sato, H. Kato and J. McGregor....................................................................................................................... 191 From droughts to floods: A statistical assessment from RCM Sandra G. Garcia and J.D. Giraldo........................................................................................... 192 On the validation of RCMs in terms of reproducing the annual cycle Tomas Halenka, Petr Skalak and Michal Belda....................................................................... 193 AMMA-Model Intercomparison Project F. Hourdin, J. Polcher, F. Guichard, F. Favot, J.P. Lafore, J.L. Redelsperger, Ruti PM, A. Dell'Aquila, T. Losada and A.K. Traoer ................................................................................. 195 Projection of the changes in the future extremes over Japan using a cloud-resolving model (JMA-NHM): Change in heavy precipitation Sachie Kanada, M. Nakano, M. Nakamura, S. Hayashi, T. Kato, H. Sasaki, T. Uchiyama, K. Aranami, Y. Honda, K. Kurihara and A. Kitoh ....................................................................... 196
Page 1: 2 nd International Lund RCM Worksho
Page 5 and 6: Associated Organisations ENSEMBLES
Page 7: Preface This Second Lund Regional-s
Page 10 and 11: II High-resolution dynamical downsc
Page 12 and 13: IV Investigation of added value at
Page 14 and 15: VI Soil organic layer: Implications
Page 18 and 19: X Predicting water resources in Wes
Page 20 and 21: XII The impact of atmospheric therm
Page 22 and 23: XIV Observation and simulation with
Page 24 and 25: XVI Favot F .......................
Page 26 and 27: XVIII Ruoho-Airola T...............
Page 28 and 29: 2 5. Influence of SN on the Ensembl
Page 30 and 31: 4 (+/- 5 days) were used to increas
Page 32 and 33: 6 Dynamical downscaling: Assessment
Page 34 and 35: 8 Improvement of long-term integrat
Page 36 and 37: 10 air temperature annual cycle (Fi
Page 38 and 39: 12 Sensitivity study of CRCM-simula
Page 40 and 41: 14 Regional precipitation anomalies
Page 42 and 43: 16 Assessment of precipitation as s
Page 44 and 45: 18 The Asian summer monsoon in ERA4
Page 46 and 47: 20 Added value of limited area mode
Page 48 and 49: 22 Sensitivity of CRCM basin annual
Page 50 and 51: 24 High-resolution dynamical downsc
Page 52 and 53: 26 There is nevertheless a large ag
Page 54 and 55: 28 technique, as it is based on the
Page 56 and 57: 30 4. Heating mechanism In order to
Page 58 and 59: 32 The geographical distribution of
Page 60 and 61: 34 The CCM scheme reveals a distinc
Page 62 and 63: 36 Performance of pattern scaling i
Page 64 and 65: 38 Evaluation of the analyzed large
Page 66 and 67:
40 Sensitivity studies with a stati
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42 5SL, the results suggest that 5S
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44 are however occasional episodes
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46 this season, as well as the high
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48 Figure 1. Precipitation rate (mm
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50 References Biau. G., E. Zorita,
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52 Investigation of regional climat
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54 Selected examples of the added v
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56 The climate change in Europe sim
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58 Simulation of South Asian summer
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7.5 8.5 9.5 10.5 60 For the climato
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62 precipitation field was more clo
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64 3. Results Fig. 2 shows the anal
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66 Is the position of the model dom
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68 question E. Finally a 10-member
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Figure 2. Same as in Fig.1 but for
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72 Will, A., M. Baldauf, B. Rockel,
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74 ( ) with i = 1,K,n; j = 1,K,m;
Page 102 and 103:
76 Investigation of precipitation o
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78 Impacts of the spectral nudging
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80 Extremes and predictability in t
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82 Large-scale skill in regional cl
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84 Figure 3: As Figure 1 but for Wi
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86 The models capture this pattern
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88 of the simulations due to the di
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91 Examining the relative roles con
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93 Dynamical coupling of the HIRHAM
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95 A parameterization of aircraft i
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97 Stratospheric variability and it
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99 Effects of numerical methods on
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101 Development of a climate model
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103 Study of the capability of the
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105 Evaluation of the land surface
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107 Simulation of the precipitation
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109 Climate simulations over North
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111 Soil organic layer: Implication
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113 4. Results The method how to do
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115 Figure 1. Observed (a) and simu
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117 Evaluation of the Rossby Centre
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119 Simulating aerosols in the regi
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121 Moisture availability and the r
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123 Temperature and precipitation s
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125 4. Preliminary results for down
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127 a) Knutson, T.R., J.J. Sirutis,
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129 Effects of variations in climat
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131 3.2. Precipitation The ensemble
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133 knowledge is essential to asses
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135 pronounced biases in the simula
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137 variability was concentrated at
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139 Investigation of ‘Hurricane K
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141 Evaluation of seasonal forecast
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143 NASH J. E., SUTCLIFFE J. V., 19
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145 Climate change assessment over
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147 For relative operating characte
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149 responsible for the excessive s
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151 and 30km). Domains D1 (90 and 6
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153 can be seen in Fig. 2, where th
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155 High-resolution simulation of a
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157 MesoClim - A mesoscale alpine c
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159 Observed and modeled extremes i
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161 analyzed the surface wind behav
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163 summer particularly in the Paci
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165 since 01.01.2004. For the Meteo
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167 Wind, m/s 12 10 8 6 4 2 Vilsand
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169 heterogeneity. For example, lar
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171 Analysis of surface air tempera
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173 Environmental database and the
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Climate change and water pollution
Page 203 and 204:
177 During summer, winds over the M
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179 followed nearly the correct pat
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181 Verification of simulated near
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183 The North American Regional Cli
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185 An atmosphere-ocean regional cl
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187 different rainfall characterist
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189 with increasing temperature. Mo
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191 Inter-comparison of Asian monso
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193 On the validation of RCMs in te
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195 AMMA-Model Intercomparison Proj
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197 parameterization are used in th
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199 Evaluation of European snow cov
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201 Projections of eastern Mediterr
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203 Atmospheric river induced heavy
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205 CLARIS project: Towards climate
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207 Influence of soil moisture init
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209 Projection of the Changes in th
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211 Regional climate model studies
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213 ENSEMBLES regional climate mode
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215 Assessing the performance of se
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217 Applying the Rossby Centre Regi
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219 Interactions between European s
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221 ALADIN-Climate/CZ simulation of
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223 experiment of recreating the pr
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225 Figure 2. the 10-year averaged
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227 Use of regional climate models
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229 Wave estimations using winds fr
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231 Figure 1. Model domain for the
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233 A coupled regional climate mode
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235 Arctic regional coupled downsca
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237 Convection-resolving regional c
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239 4. Outlook Currently a coupled
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241 distribution within the Netherl
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243 Very high-resolution regional c
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245 Impact of convective parameteri
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247 Development of a regional ocean
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249 Regional climate change impact
Page 277 and 278:
251 River runoff projection of futu
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253 Application of regional-scale c
Page 281 and 282:
255 Local air mass dependence of ex
Page 283 and 284:
257 Impact of vegetation on the sim
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259 Climate change impacts on the w
Page 287 and 288:
261 Influence of soil moisture-near
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263 Forest damage in a changing cli
Page 291 and 292:
265 Future challenges for regional
Page 293 and 294:
267 Linking climate factors and ada
Page 295 and 296:
269 GCMs. In the end of the 21 st c
Page 297 and 298:
271 Climate change impacts on extre
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273 Winter storms with high loss po
Page 301 and 302:
275 The impact of land use change a
Page 303 and 304:
277 6. Analysis of Results (Rain) T
Page 305 and 306:
279 (a) (b) Figure 3. Impact of veg
Page 307 and 308:
281 that cold (Fig. 5). Winter temp
Page 309 and 310:
283 Streamflow in the upper Mississ
Page 311 and 312:
285 Dynamical downscaling of urban
Page 313 and 314:
287 Souma, K., K. Tanaka, E. Nakaki
Page 315 and 316:
289 In April 2000, the fire emissio
Page 317 and 318:
291 Impacts of vegetation on global
Page 321 and 322:
International BALTEX Secretariat Pu
Page 323:
No. 34: BALTEX Phase II 2003 - 2012
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