2008 Conference Program - Midwest Political Science Association

Sunday, April 6-8:00 am
22-15 SPATIAL MODELS OF VOTING
Room UEH 411 on the 4th Floor, Sun at 8:00 am
Chair Scott James Basinger, SUNY, Stony Brook
scott.basinger@stonybrook.edu
Paper Spatial Models of Voting: A Formal-Experimental Approach
This paper develops a new procedure for testing spatial models
of politics and applies it the classic debate about directional and
proximity voting.
Michael Tomz, Stanford University
tomz@stanford.edu
Robert P. Van Houweling, University of California, Berkeley
rpvh@berkeley.edu
Paper Protest Voting in Plurality Elections: A Theory of Voter
Signaling
In this paper we develop a formal model to identify the conditions
under which voters will cast PROTEST VOTES: votes used as
signals of disatisfaction with some aspect of the political status quo.
Daniel Max Kselman, Duke Univeristy
dmk10@duke.edu
Emerson Niou, Duke University
niou@duke.edu
Paper A Spatial Model and Test of Mechanisms in Theories of Voting
Defection
In this paper, I formalize and test conventional wisdom about voting
defection among Democratic and Republican identifiers using data
from the American National Election Studies.
Loan K. Le, University of California, Berkeley
lkle@berkeley.edu
Paper The Impact of Party Strategies on the Determinants of Voting
Choices
This paper proposes a model of voting choice where different
parties may be evaluated by different criteria (or vote functions).
The model is used to test some implications of the issue ownership
model in national elections in Western Europe.
Romain Lachat, University of Montreal
mail@romain-lachat.ch
Disc. Guido Cataife, Washington University, St. Louis
gcataife@artsci.wustl.edu
Scott James Basinger, SUNY, Stony Brook
scott.basinger@stonybrook.edu
23-14 THE BUSINESS OF THE CAMPAIGN
Room Crystal on the 3rd Floor, Sun at 8:00 am
Chair Margaret Carne, Rhodes College
carnem@rhodes.edu
Paper Candidate Traits in a Dynamic Campaign: The Consultant's
View
Research Questions: Do political consultants use ANES traits when
packaging candidates during political campaigns Do political
consultants differentiate between effective traits for governing and
traits for campaigning
Jason Adam Johnson, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
johnsonja@hiram.edu
Paper Forecasting Money: Predicting Campaign Fundraising by the
Major Parties
Traditionally, forecasting models have been used to predict electoral
outcomes. Using those models as the theoretical frame, this paper
constructs a new model aimed at forecasting the amount of money
spent in elections by each major political party.
Mario Guerrero, University of California, Santa Barbara
marioguerrero@umail.ucsb.edu
Paper
Paper
Disc.
The Business of Politics: How Consultant Competition Affects
U.S. Campaigns
Competition among consulting firms and evolving industry business
models affect the campaigns that voters see. Using surveys,
interviews, and network analysis, I reveal consequential differences
across parties and over time in the campaign industry.
Matt Grossmann, Michigan State University
matt@mattg.org
Campaign Innovation on the Demand Side: Theory and
Evidence from Europe
In choosing whether to adopt new campaign approaches from
overseas or elsewhere, party decision-makers are motivated by
three sets of considerations: efficiency, appropriateness, and
organizational power.
Jennifer K. Smith, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee
jksmith@uwm.edu
Thomas F. Schaller, University of Maryland, Baltimore County
schaller@umbc.edu
25-16 PUBLIC OPINION AND THE IRAQ WAR
Room Honore on the Lobby Level, Sun at 8:00 am
Chair Gregory Gordon Holyk, University of Illinois, Chicago
gholyk2@uic.edu
Paper Elite War Analyzing War Opinions Across the Iraq, Gulf, and
Vietnam Wars
Analyzing polls conducted during the Vietnam, Gulf and Iraq wars,
we find that the poorest and richest and the most and least educated
respondents are less likely to support war than those falling in the
middle income and education categories.
Jamie Patrick Chandler, Graduate Center,CUNY
jchandler@gc.cuny.edu
Andrew Gelman, Columbia University
gelman@stat.columbia.edu
John Kastellec, Columbia University
jpk2004@columbia.edu
Paper Elite Leadership Theory and Current War in Iraq
While studying the impact of patterns of elite conflict on opinion,
this paper will shed light to the interplay of political ideology and
awareness in the formation of public opinion during the course of
Iraq war.
Burcu Gezgor, University of Houston
bgezgor@uh.edu
Paper The Effects of 9/11 and the Iraq War on Values Among Elites
This paper explores how political events affect elites' beliefs in
foreign policy values. It examines the impact of 9/11 and the Iraq
war on elites' beliefs in humanitarianism and democracy promotion.
Dukhong Kim, University of Illinois, Chicago
dukhongk@uic.edu
Paper Going to War: When Citizens Matter
We show that increasing information led Democrats to become
more opposed to going to war in Fall 2002, despite the absence of
an anti-war message from Democratic elites and that the effect of
information is conditional on media consumption patterns.
Stanley Feldman, SUNY, Stony Brook
stanley.feldman@sunysb.edu
Leonie Huddy, Stony Brook University
leonie.huddy@sunysb.edu
George E. Marcus, Williams College
George.E.Marcus@williams.edu
Disc. Terri L. Towner, Oakland University
towner@oakland.edu
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