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Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

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Bonus-Malus Scales 207<br />

∑16<br />

j=13<br />

r j j =<br />

∑16<br />

j=13<br />

r ′ j ≥ 169 %<br />

r ′ j ≤ 194 %<br />

r ′ j j<br />

j = 1316<br />

j = 1316<br />

And we obtain r ′ 13 = 1798 % and r ′ 14 = r ′ 15 = r ′ 16<br />

= 1878 %. The value <strong>of</strong> Q is now 041135.<br />

4.7.5 Linear Relativities for the Belgian Scale<br />

We shall now demonstrate how to get linear relativities for the Belgian scale. In addition to<br />

the constraint <strong>of</strong> building a linear scale, we add a new constraint: the artificial states must<br />

have the same relativity. The minimization problem then becomes :<br />

[ ] ]<br />

min E − r lin<br />

L 2 = min E<br />

[ − − L 2<br />

Table 4.23 Relativities r l and rl<br />

lin for the Belgian<br />

bonus-malus system, taking into account the special<br />

bonus rule and computed on the basis <strong>of</strong> Portfolio A.<br />

Level l<br />

Relativities<br />

General scale Linear scale<br />

22 2843 % 2674%<br />

21 2589 % 2574%<br />

20 2389 % 2475%<br />

19 2225 % 2376%<br />

18 1994 % 2276%<br />

17 1942 % 2177%<br />

16 1869 % 2077%<br />

15 1791 % 1978%<br />

14 1924 % 1879%<br />

13 1798 % 1779%<br />

12 1684 % 1680%<br />

11 1583 % 1580%<br />

10 1495 % 1481%<br />

9 1386 % 1382%<br />

8 1283 % 1282%<br />

7 1207 % 1183%<br />

6 1147 % 1083%<br />

5 1096% 984%<br />

4 870% 885%<br />

3 841% 785%<br />

2 813% 686%<br />

1 786% 586%<br />

0 462% 487%

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