01.06.2015 Views

Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Transient Maximum Accuracy Criterion 299<br />

Table 8.1 Evolution <strong>of</strong> the uniform initial distribution for the former compulsory Belgian bonusmalus<br />

scale.<br />

Level l PrL 0 = l PrL 10 = l PrL 20 = l PrL 30 = l PrL 40 = l PrL 50 = l PrL = l<br />

22 43% 46% 51% 53% 53% 53% 54%<br />

21 43% 34% 36% 37% 38% 38% 38%<br />

20 43% 28% 28% 29% 29% 29% 29%<br />

19 43% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23%<br />

18 43% 23% 21% 20% 19% 19% 19%<br />

17 43% 25% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16%<br />

16 43% 26% 18% 16% 15% 15% 15%<br />

15 43% 26% 18% 15% 14% 14% 13%<br />

14 43% 27% 17% 15% 14% 13% 13%<br />

13 43% 28% 18% 15% 13% 13% 12%<br />

12 43% 41% 20% 15% 14% 13% 12%<br />

11 43% 40% 20% 15% 14% 13% 12%<br />

10 43% 40% 20% 16% 14% 13% 12%<br />

9 43% 40% 22% 17% 15% 14% 14%<br />

8 43% 40% 23% 18% 17% 16% 16%<br />

7 43% 40% 28% 20% 18% 18% 17%<br />

6 43% 39% 28% 21% 19% 18% 18%<br />

5 43% 37% 28% 21% 19% 18% 18%<br />

4 43% 47% 45% 42% 42% 42% 43%<br />

3 43% 42% 40% 38% 38% 38% 38%<br />

2 43% 38% 44% 35% 34% 34% 34%<br />

1 43% 34% 40% 32% 31% 31% 31%<br />

0 43% 236% 393% 469% 490% 497% 503%<br />

Table 8.2 Evolution <strong>of</strong> the transient relativities for the uniform initial distribution for the former<br />

compulsory Belgian bonus-malus scale.<br />

Level l<br />

r 0<br />

l<br />

r 10<br />

l<br />

r 20<br />

l<br />

r 30<br />

l<br />

r 40<br />

l<br />

r 50<br />

l<br />

r l<br />

22 00 % 2641 % 2700 % 2709 % 2712 % 2714 % 2715%<br />

21 00 % 2290 % 2419 % 2450 % 2462 % 2468 % 2474%<br />

20 00 % 2011 % 2195 % 2248 % 2269 % 2279 % 2291%<br />

19 00 % 1792 % 2008 % 2079 % 2110 % 2124 % 2141%<br />

18 00 % 1640 % 1854 % 1937 % 1974 % 1992 % 2014%<br />

17 00 % 1413 % 1704 % 1807 % 1853 % 1876 % 1903%<br />

16 00 % 1321 % 1594 % 1700 % 1750 % 1775 % 1803%<br />

15 00 % 1239 % 1499 % 1608 % 1659 % 1685 % 1714%<br />

14 00 % 1179 % 1422 % 1528 % 1578 % 1603 % 1631%<br />

13 00 % 1149 % 1364 % 1459 % 1504 % 1526 % 1549%<br />

12 00% 869 % 1253 % 1376 % 1427 % 1450 % 1472%<br />

11 00% 857 % 1201 % 1319 % 1365 % 1385 % 1402%

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!