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Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

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<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Classification</strong> 57<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> policyholders<br />

10000<br />

9000<br />

8000<br />

7000<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

9358<br />

5147<br />

Annual claim frequency<br />

.160<br />

.152<br />

.150<br />

.140<br />

.136<br />

.130<br />

.120<br />

.110<br />

.100<br />

.090<br />

.080<br />

.070<br />

.060<br />

.050<br />

.040<br />

.030<br />

.020<br />

.010<br />

Male Female<br />

.000<br />

Male Female<br />

Gender<br />

Gender<br />

Figure 2.3 Composition <strong>of</strong> Portfolio A with respect to Gender (left panel) and observed annual claim<br />

frequencies according to Gender (right panel).<br />

Use<br />

The majority <strong>of</strong> the policyholders (12 745 insured drivers, representing 88.0 % <strong>of</strong> the<br />

portfolio) use their vehicle only for leisure and commuting. There are 1760 pr<strong>of</strong>essional<br />

users (representing 12.0 % <strong>of</strong> the portfolio). Figure 2.5 indicates that the influence <strong>of</strong> the use<br />

<strong>of</strong> the vehicle on the number <strong>of</strong> claims is almost negligible, as the annual observed claim<br />

frequencies are almost equal for the two categories <strong>of</strong> insured drivers: 14.6 % for private<br />

users and 14.3 % for pr<strong>of</strong>essional users.<br />

Premium Split<br />

Figure 2.6 indicates that 10 568 policyholders (representing 74.5 % <strong>of</strong> the portfolio) pay<br />

their premium once a year. The remaining 3937 policyholders (representing 25.5 % <strong>of</strong> the<br />

portfolio) pay their premium twice a year, thrice a year or on a monthly basis. Figure 2.6<br />

also shows the influence <strong>of</strong> the premium split on the number <strong>of</strong> claims: it can be seen that<br />

splitting the premium payment is associated with a considerable increase in the observed<br />

annual claim frequency (from 12.4 % to 21.1 %).

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