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Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

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288 <strong>Actuarial</strong> <strong>Modelling</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Claim</strong> <strong>Counts</strong><br />

7.4.4 Per <strong>Claim</strong> Deductible<br />

In this case, there is an analytical solution when the claims are Negative Exponentially<br />

distributed: the deductible d l involved in (7.11) is simply given by ln r l times the<br />

expected claim cost. No explicit solution is available when claim amounts are LogNormally<br />

distributed, and numerical procedures have to be used in this case to find the<br />

deductibles d l .<br />

Table 7.3 displays the results obtained for a deductible per claim for the scale −1/top<br />

and Table 7.4 for the scale −1/ + 2, when the premium paid by the policyholder is<br />

held constant whatever the claim history. As was the case for the annual deductible,<br />

the second column gives the relativities associated with each level <strong>of</strong> the scale in the<br />

case <strong>of</strong> a classical bonus-malus system. The third column gives the relative premium<br />

in the case <strong>of</strong> a scale with the deductible system. The fourth column shows the<br />

deductible to be applied if the loss amounts are Negative Exponentially distributed and<br />

the last column shows the deductible to be applied if the loss amounts are LogNormally<br />

distributed.<br />

Again, the amounts <strong>of</strong> deductible displayed in the last two columns are very high compared<br />

to the annual premium, especially for the scale −1/ + 2. This results from the severe r l s<br />

listed in column 2. In order to get acceptable amounts <strong>of</strong> deductible, keeping the financial<br />

stability <strong>of</strong> the system, in the next section we will combine s<strong>of</strong>tened penalties in the malus<br />

zone with moderate deductibles.<br />

Table 7.3 Results for a deductible per claim varying according to the level occupied in the malus<br />

zone for the scale −1/top.<br />

Level l r l r l with deductible d l if C 1 ∼ xp d l if C 1 ∼ or<br />

5 1973 % 100 % 14 041 16 254<br />

4 1709 % 100 % 11 073 12 191<br />

3 1507 % 100 % 8474 8941<br />

2 1348 % 100 % 6170 6288<br />

1 1220 % 100 % 4108 4080<br />

0 547 % 54.7 % 0 0<br />

Table 7.4 Results for a deductible per claim varying according to the level occupied in the malus<br />

zone for the scale −1/ + 2.<br />

Level l r l r l with deductible d l if C 1 ∼ xp d l if C 1 ∼ or<br />

5 3091 % 100 % 23 317 31 592<br />

4 2414 % 100 % 18 209 22 633<br />

3 2077 % 100 % 15 101 17 803<br />

2 1429 % 100 % 7376 7651<br />

1 1302 % 100 % 5451 5502<br />

0 624 % 62.4 % 0 0

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